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广发期货《金融》日报-20250812
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-12 02:33
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present daily data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping futures, along with related indicators such as spreads, basis, and price ratios, to help investors understand market trends and price relationships. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Spreads**: Provides current values, changes from the previous day, 1 - year and all - time historical quantiles for various stock index futures spreads, including IF, IH, IC, and IM, covering both spot - futures spreads and inter - delivery spreads [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Presents ratios and their changes for different cross - variety combinations, such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc., along with their historical quantiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis**: Shows the basis, its change, and the percentile since listing for different treasury bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL), as well as the internal rate of return (IRR) for TS [2]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: Reports the inter - delivery spreads and their changes and historical percentiles for different treasury bond futures contracts [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Provides cross - variety spreads and their changes for different combinations of treasury bond futures [2]. Precious Metal Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Prices**: Presents domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, and their changes and percentage changes for gold and silver [4]. - **Basis**: Reports the basis, its change, and historical 1 - year quantiles for different combinations of precious metal spot and futures [4]. - **Price Ratios**: Shows price ratios and their changes for different precious metal combinations [4]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: Provides data on 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yields, the US dollar index, and the offshore RMB exchange rate, along with their changes [4]. - **Inventory and Holdings**: Reports inventory and holding data and their changes for precious metals in different markets [4]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes**: Presents spot quotes and their changes for different shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route [6]. - **Container Shipping Indexes**: Provides settlement price indexes and their changes for different container shipping routes, as well as Shanghai export container freight rates and their changes [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Reports futures prices, their changes, and basis data for container shipping futures contracts [6]. - **Fundamental Data**: Includes data on global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators, along with their changes [6]. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information Report - **Overseas Data**: Lists economic indicators and financial events in the eurozone and the US, including economic sentiment indexes, inflation rates, and small - business confidence indexes [9]. - **Domestic Data**: Presents economic indicators and events in different domestic sectors, such as port inventories, to - port forecasts, and production - sales ratios [9].
《金融》日报-20250811
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 08:20
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports mainly present the latest values, changes compared to the previous day, historical percentile rankings of various futures spreads, prices, and related economic indicators across different sectors including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping, and provide a trading calendar with relevant data and information sources [1][2][6][8][9]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Spreads**: IC, IM, IF, and IH have different current - spot price spreads and inter - period price spreads. For example, the IC current - spot price spread is - 96.50, up 14.64 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 20% and an all - time percentile of 3.3096 [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, CSI 500/SSE 50, and IC/IF are presented, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings. For instance, the CSI 500/CSI 300 ratio is 1.5405, up 0.0002 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 99.10% and an all - time percentile of 58.70% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis and IRR**: Different types of treasury bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL) have their respective basis values, Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and changes compared to the previous day, as well as historical percentile rankings since listing. For example, the TS basis is 1.2966, up 0.0153 from the previous day, with a historical percentile of 12.40% [2]. - **Inter - period and Cross - Variety Spreads**: There are inter - period spreads and cross - variety spreads for different treasury bond futures, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings [2]. Precious Metals - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices of precious metals (gold and silver) are provided, along with their price changes and percentage changes. For example, the AU2510 contract closed at 787.80 yuan/gram on August 8, up 2.78 yuan or 0.35% from the previous day [6]. - **Basis and Ratios**: Basis values between spot and futures, and price ratios between different precious metals are presented, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings [6]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, Inventory, and Positions**: Information on interest rates (such as 10 - year US Treasury bond yield), exchange rates (such as the US dollar index), inventory (such as Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory), and positions (such as SPDR Gold ETF holdings) is provided, along with their changes and percentage changes [6]. Container Shipping - **Spot Quotes**: Spot freight rates from Shanghai to Europe for different shipping companies (MAERSK, CMA CGM, etc.) are given, along with their price changes and percentage changes. For example, MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe freight rate was 2878 US dollars/FEU on August 11, up 88 US dollars or 3.19% from the previous day [8]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes of container shipping (SCFIS, SCFI) for different routes (European, US West, US East) are presented, along with their price changes and percentage changes [8]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of container shipping contracts (EC2602, EC2510, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their price changes and percentage changes [8]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators (port on - time rate, port calls), foreign trade indicators (monthly export amount), and overseas economic indicators (eurozone PMI, US manufacturing PMI) are given, along with their changes and percentage changes [8]. Trading Calendar - **Overseas Data/Information**: Economic indicators and financial events from overseas, such as the MPOB palm oil monthly report, Brazilian secex weekly report, and USDA export inspection and crop growth data in the US, are listed [9]. - **Domestic Data/Information**: Economic indicators and financial events in China, including global manganese ore shipping volume, iron ore shipping and arrival data, and SMM electrolytic copper social inventory, are provided [9].
《金融》日报-20250728
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 13:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various futures markets, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping futures. They provide detailed data on price differences, ratios, and related market indicators, helping investors understand market trends and potential investment opportunities. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Differences**: The reports provide detailed data on the price differences of various stock index futures, including IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the IF term - spot price difference is -3.33, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 34.10% and a full - historical percentile of 34.80% [1]. - **Cross - period Price Differences**: Different cross - period price differences are presented, such as the difference between the next - month and current - month contracts, and the difference between the quarterly - month and current - month contracts for each index futures [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios between different stock index futures, like IC/IF, IC/IH, and IF/IH, are also provided, along with their historical percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis and IRR**: Data on the basis and implied repo rate (IRR) of treasury bond futures, including TS, TF, T, and TL, are given. For example, the TS basis on 2025 - 07 - 25 is 1.4667, with a change of 0.0162 from the previous day and a historical percentile of 19.10% [2]. - **Cross - period Price Differences**: Cross - period price differences for different contracts of treasury bond futures, such as the difference between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts, are presented [2]. - **Cross - variety Price Differences**: Price differences between different treasury bond futures, like TS - TF, TS - T, and TF - T, are also provided [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Futures and Spot Prices**: The reports show the closing prices of domestic and foreign precious metal futures, including AU2510, AG2510, COMEX gold, and COMEX silver, as well as their changes and price - to - spot differences [4]. - **Price Ratios and Spreads**: Ratios between gold and silver futures, such as COMEX gold/silver and SHFE gold/silver, and spreads between different gold and silver products, like gold TD - SHFE gold and silver TD - SHFE silver, are provided [4]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: Information on interest rates (e.g., 10 - year US Treasury bond yield, 2 - year US Treasury bond yield) and exchange rates (e.g., US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate) is also included [4]. Container Shipping Futures - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for container shipping from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies, such as MAERSK, CMA, and MSC, are provided, along with their changes [6]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes, including SCFIS (European route) and SCFIS (US West route), and Shanghai export container freight indexes, such as SCFI composite index and SCFI (European), are presented, along with their changes [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of container shipping futures contracts, like EC2602, EC2604, and EC2508 (the main contract), and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their changes [6]. - **Fundamentals**: Data on container shipping fundamentals, including global container shipping capacity supply, port on - time rates, and overseas economic indicators (e.g., Eurozone composite PMI, EU consumer confidence index), are also given [6]. Trading Calendar - **Overseas Data/Information**: Information on overseas data and information sources for different sectors, such as Brazilian secex weekly reports in the agricultural sector and USDA export inspection and crop growth data in the US, is provided [7]. - **Domestic Data/Information**: Domestic data and information sources for different sectors, including black and non - ferrous metals (e.g., global manganese ore shipments, iron ore shipments), energy and chemicals (e.g., MEG port inventory in East China, Shandong local refinery crude oil arrivals), and special commodities (e.g., glass sales - to - production ratio, polysilicon production and inventory), are presented [7].
《金融》日报-20250725
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 09:11
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present data on various types of futures, including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping futures, as well as related spot prices, spreads, and other indicators. They show the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical quantiles, and other information to help investors understand the market conditions of different futures products [1][2][4][6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Spread Data**: The report provides detailed price spread data for IF, IH, IC, and IM stock index futures, including spot - futures spreads and inter - period spreads. For example, the IF spot - futures spread is - 7.84, with a change of 2.73 from the previous day, and the historical 1 - year quantile is 40.90% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **IRR and Basis**: Information on IRR, basis, and price spreads for TS, TF, T, and TL Treasury bond futures is given. For instance, the TS basis is 1.5781, with a change of 0.0115 from the previous day, and the historical quantile is 23.00% [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Price and Spread**: It shows the closing prices of domestic and foreign precious metal futures, spot prices, and basis. For example, the AU2510 contract closed at 778.74 yuan/gram on July 24, down 1.79% from the previous day, and the gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is - 3.64 [4]. Container Shipping Futures - **Spot and Futures Prices**: The report includes spot quotes for Shanghai - Europe container shipping, container shipping index data, futures prices, and basis. For example, the MAERSK spot price for Shanghai - Europe on July 25 is 3104 dollars/FEU, up 0.16% from the previous day, and the EC2602 futures contract price on July 24 is 1562.3, up 5.75% from the previous day [6]. Data and Information Calendar - **Domestic and Overseas Data**: It lists domestic and overseas economic data and events to be released, such as the US June durable goods orders monthly rate, and domestic 2000 billion yuan 1 - year MLF due on a certain day [9].
金融日报-20250723
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-23 01:57
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Each report presents data and analysis on different futures markets, including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, precious metals, container shipping, and a trading calendar, without a unified core view. 3. Summary by Report Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **IF, IH, IC, and IM Futures**: Presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles of spot - futures spreads and inter - period spreads for IF, IH, IC, and IM futures. For example, the IF spot - futures spread is 37.60% with a change of - 9.16 [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Provides cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, CSI 1000/CSI 300, etc., along with their changes and percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **IRR and Basis**: Shows the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing for the implied repo rate (IRR) and basis of TS, TF, and TL Treasury bond futures [2]. - **Inter - Period and Cross - Variety Spreads**: Presents inter - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - variety spreads (e.g., TS - TF) for different Treasury bond futures, along with their changes and percentiles [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Reports domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, and their changes and percentage changes for gold and silver on July 22 and 21. For example, the AU2510 contract rose 0.40% to 784.84 yuan/gram on July 22 [3]. - **Basis, Ratios, Yields, and Inventories**: Provides basis values, ratios (e.g., COMEX gold/silver), yields of US Treasury bonds, the US dollar index, and inventory data for precious metals, along with their changes [3]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes and Indexes**: Gives spot quotes for Shanghai - Europe shipping prices and various container shipping indexes (e.g., SCFIS, SCFI), along with their changes and percentage changes [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Presents futures prices and basis values for container shipping futures contracts, along with their changes [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Includes data on shipping capacity supply, port performance, export volume, and overseas economic indicators, along with their changes [5]. Trading Calendar - **Overseas and Domestic Data/Information**: Lists overseas and domestic economic indicators and financial events to be released on July 23, including time, data source, and relevant details [6].
金融日报-20250722
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-22 13:14
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, 1 - year historical percentiles, and all - time percentiles of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios on July 22, 2025 [1]. Summary by Category - **Futures - Spot Spreads**: For example, the F futures - spot spread is - 20.81, down 4.06 from the previous day, with a 1 - year percentile of 30.70% and an all - time percentile of 21.70% [1]. - **Inter - delivery Spreads**: Such as the F inter - delivery spread, where the season - month minus the current - month is - 41.00, down 32.20, with a 1 - year percentile of 20.00% and an all - time percentile of 26.40% [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: For instance, the IC/IF ratio is 1.4898, up 0.0051, with a 1 - year percentile of 62.20% and an all - time percentile of 60.20% [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report provides data on IRR, basis, inter - delivery spreads, and cross - variety spreads of treasury bond futures on July 22, 2025, including their changes and historical percentiles [2]. Summary by Category - **IRR**: The 15 - year IRR is 1.6099, down 0.0053 from the previous day, with a historical percentile of 24.90% [2]. - **Basis**: For example, the T basis is 1.5727, down 0.0409, with a historical percentile of 53.80% [2]. - **Inter - delivery Spreads**: Like the TS inter - delivery spread, the current - season minus the alternate - season is - 0.0080, with a historical percentile of 11.60% [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Such as the TS - TF spread, which is - 3.5350 on July 22, 2025, up 0.0210, with a historical percentile of 8.10% [2]. Group 3: Precious Metals Futures - Spot Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report shows the domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and holdings of precious metals on July 22, 2025, along with their changes [4]. Summary by Category - **Futures Closing Prices**: The AU2510 contract closed at 781.70 yuan/gram on July 21, up 4.68 (0.60%) from July 18 [4]. - **Spot Prices**: The London gold price was 3396.67 dollars/ounce on July 21, up 47.01 (1.40%) from July 18 [4]. - **Basis**: The gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 basis is - 4.70, down 1.05, with a 1 - year percentile of 5.60% [4]. - **Ratios**: The COMEX gold/silver ratio is 86.91, down 0.42 (- 0.48%) [4]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.38%, down 0.06 (- 1.4%) [4]. - **Inventory and Holdings**: The SPRD gold ETF holding is 947 tons, up 3.44 (0.36%) [4]. Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Futures - Spot Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The report offers information on Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rates, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data on July 22, 2025 [7]. Summary by Category - **Freight Rates**: The CMA CGM's Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate is 4226 dollars/FEU on July 21, up 124 (3.78%) from July 20 [7]. - **Indices**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 2400.50 points on July 21, down 21.4 (- 0.89%) from July 14 [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1486.4 on July 21, down 8.7 (- 0.58%) from July 18, and the basis of the main contract is 956.5, down 22.1 (- 2.26%) [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply is 3271.67 on July 22, unchanged from July 21 [7]. Group 5: Trading Calendar Core Viewpoints - The report lists overseas and domestic data and information release schedules on July 22, 2025, including various economic indicators and events [9]. Summary by Category - **Overseas Data**: Such as New Zealand's log exports [9]. - **Domestic Data**: For example, the inventory of manganese ore by variety and the throughput of manganese ore in Qinzhou Port for manganese - silicon [9].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250718
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-18 06:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the documents 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The reports present daily data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping industry futures, as well as relevant spot prices, spreads, ratios, and other market - related information [1][2][4][6] 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Spreads**: On July 18, 2025, the F period - spot spread was 19.60% with a change of - 22.69 compared to the previous day. The IC period - spot spread was - 104.46, a change of - 93.87. Different cross - period and cross - variety spreads also had specific values and changes [1] Treasury Bond Futures - **Price Spreads**: On July 18, 2025, the TS basis was 1.6630 with a change of - 0.0146. Different cross - period and cross - variety spreads of treasury bond futures also had corresponding values and changes [2] Precious Metal Futures - **Prices and Spreads**: On July 17, 2025, the AU2510 contract closed at 776.28 yuan/gram, a decrease of 0.38 compared to the previous day. The COMEX gold主力合约 closed at 3345.40 dollars/ounce, a decrease of 8.80. Different basis and price ratios also had specific values and changes [4] Container Shipping Industry Futures - **Spot Quotes**: On July 18, 2025, the Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate reference for MAERSK was 3066 dollars/FEU with no change. The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on July 14 was 2421.94, an increase of 163.9 compared to July 7 [6] - **Fundamentals**: The global container shipping capacity supply on July 18 was 3271.40 million TEU with no change. The export punctuality rate (short - term) decreased by 18.66% [6] Data/Information Calendar - **Overseas**: On July 18, 2025, at 16:00, the euro - zone May seasonally adjusted current account (in billions of euros) was to be released; at 22:00, the US July one - year inflation rate expectation initial value and the US July University of Michigan consumer confidence index initial value were to be released [8] - **Domestic**: Various economic indicators of different industries such as agriculture, black and non - ferrous metals, energy and chemicals, and special commodities were to be released at different times [8]
《金融》日报-20250716
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-16 02:50
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Presents the latest values, historical 1 - year and all - time quantiles, and changes from the previous day of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios on July 16, 2025 [1] Summary by Category - **Futures - Spot Spreads**: IF futures - spot spread is - 38.46, with a change of - 6.60 from the previous day; H futures - spot spread is - 13.03, with a change of - 2.62; IC futures - spot spread is - 10.56, with a change of 1.90; IM futures - spot spread is - 165.43, with a change of - 5.33 [1] - **Inter - delivery Spreads**: Different inter - delivery spreads for IF, IH, IC, and IM are provided, such as IF's next - month minus current - month spread is - 2.80, and its quarterly - month minus current - month spread is - 29.00 [1] - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios like CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 50, CSI 1000/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc. are presented, for example, IC/IF ratio is 1.5094, with a change of 0.0019 [1] Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Displays the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of various treasury bond futures spreads and basis on July 16, 2025 [2] Summary by Category - **Basis**: TS basis is 1.6011, TF basis is 1.6394, T basis is 1.5701, and TL basis is 1.5663 on July 15, 2025 [2] - **Inter - delivery Spreads**: For TS, TF, T, and TL, different inter - delivery spreads are given, such as TS's current - quarter minus next - quarter spread is - 0.0820, with a change of 0.0060 [2] - **Cross - variety Spreads**: Spreads like TS - TF, TS - T, etc. are provided, for example, TS - TF spread is - 3.6070, with a change of - 0.0670 [2] Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Provides domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals on July 16, 2025 [8] Summary by Category - **Futures Closing Prices**: AU2510 contract closed at 780.40 yuan/gram on July 15, down 1.00 yuan from the previous day; AG2510 contract closed at 9225 yuan/kg, up 18 yuan [8] - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3323.14 dollars/ounce, down 19.67 dollars; London silver was at 37.69 dollars/ounce, down 0.43 dollars [8] - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is - 4.27, with a change of - 0.33; silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract basis is - 41, with a change of - 6 [8] - **Ratios**: COMEX gold/silver ratio is 87.68, with a change of 0.41; SHFE gold/silver ratio is 84.60, with a change of - 0.27 [8] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.50%, up 0.07%; US dollar index is 98.63, up 0.52 [8] - **Inventory and Positions**: SHFE gold inventory is 28872, up 15; SHFE silver inventory is 1222959, down 1023 [8] Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Shows spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry on July 16, 2025 [10] Summary by Category - **Spot Quotes**: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate is 3069 dollars/FEU, up 42 dollars; CMA CGM's is 4398 dollars/FEU, up 170 dollars [10] - **Container Shipping Indices**: SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 2421.94, up 163.9; SCFIS (US West route) is 1266.59, down 291.2 [10] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2602 futures price is 1516.4, up 130.3; the basis of the main contract is 965.1, up 89.3 [10] - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply is 3270.26 ATEU, unchanged; Shanghai port on - time rate is 34.57, down 7.93 [10] Group 5: Trading Calendar Core View - Lists overseas and domestic economic indicators and financial events scheduled for July 16, 2025 [11] Summary by Category - **Overseas Data/Information**: Eurozone's 5 - month seasonally adjusted trade balance at 17:00; US June PPI annual and daily rates at 20:30, etc. [11] - **Domestic Data/Information**: Steel Union's weekly production and sales survey of 523 mines for coking coal at night; China's port commercial crude oil inventory at 14:30 [11]
《金融》日报-20250714
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-14 09:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views There is no explicit core view presented in the reports. The reports mainly offer data on various financial products, including futures spreads, prices, and related economic indicators. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Spread Data**: Presents the latest values, historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles, and changes from the previous day for IF, IH, IC, and IM's term - current spreads, inter - term spreads, and cross - variety ratios [1]. - **Term - Current Spreads**: For example, the IF term - current spread is 16.62, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 28.60% and a full - history percentile of 20.70% [1]. - **Inter - Term Spreads**: Such as the next - month minus current - month spread of IF is - 14.60, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 26.20% [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: The ratio of CSI 500 to SSE 50 is 0.0161, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 65.90% [1]. 3.2 Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Spread Data**: Provides the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing for the basis, inter - term spreads, and cross - variety spreads of TS, TF, T, and TL [2]. - **Basis**: The TS basis on July 11, 2025, is 1.5774, with a change of - 0.0001 and a percentile since listing of 23.00% [2]. - **Inter - Term Spreads**: The current - quarter minus next - quarter spread of TS on July 11, 2025, is - 0.1020, with a change of 0.0080 and a percentile since listing of 10.30% [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: The TS - TF spread on July 11, 2025, is - 3.5790, with a change of - 0.0030 and a percentile since listing of 7.10% [2]. 3.3 Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Price and Spread Data**: Covers domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, and ratios of precious metals (gold and silver) [6]. - **Futures Closing Prices**: The AU2510 contract closed at 773.56 yuan/g on July 11, 2025, up 0.26 yuan or 0.03% from the previous day [6]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3354.75 dollars/ounce on July 11, 2025, up 31.41 dollars or 0.95% [6]. - **Basis**: The gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is - 4.26, with a change of - 0.18 and a historical 1 - year percentile of 9.20% [6]. - **Ratios**: The COMEX gold/silver ratio is 86.25, down 2.33 or - 2.63% from the previous day [6]. 3.4 Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Price and Fundamental Data**: Includes spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the shipping industry [9]. - **Spot Quotes**: The Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate reference of MAERSK is 3027 dollars/FEU on July 14, 2025, unchanged from the previous day [9]. - **Container Shipping Indices**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on June 30, 2025, is 2123.24, up 186.1 or 9.61% from June 23 [9]. - **Futures Prices**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1344.0 on July 11, 2025, down 21.7 or - 1.59% from the previous day [9]. - **Basis**: The basis of the main contract is 791.3, up 196.3 or 32.99% from the previous day [9]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply on July 14, 2025, is 3270.28 million TEU, unchanged from the previous day [9]. 3.5 Trading Calendar - **Data and Information Schedule**: Lists overseas and domestic data sources, time, and economic indicators or financial events for different sectors [11]. - **Overseas Data**: In the agricultural products sector, the US provides USDA export inspection and crop growth data, and Brazil provides the secex weekly report [11]. - **Domestic Data**: For macro - data, China's June trade balance (in billions of yuan) is released at 0:00; in the energy - chemical sector, Shandong's local refinery crude oil arrivals (in million tons) are reported at 14:00 by Longzhong Information [11].
《金融》日报-20250707
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 12:09
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the documents Core Viewpoints - The reports present the latest data on various futures, including price differences, spreads, ratios, and related economic indicators, providing investors with information for market analysis and decision - making [1][2][4][7] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Spread - **Price Differences**: The latest values of IF, IH, IC, and IM price differences range from - 23.24 to - 200.00, with changes from - 0.50 to 11.42 compared to the previous day, and historical percentiles from 5.30% to 32.70% [1] - **Inter - period Spreads**: For IF, IH, IC, and IM inter - period spreads, the latest values range from - 8.80 to - 329.80, with changes from - 5.00 to 3.20 compared to the previous day, and historical percentiles from 8.60% to 61.30% [1] - **Cross - variety Ratios**: The cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc., have the latest values from 1.4485 to 2.1619, with changes from - 0.0167 to - 0.0016 compared to the previous day, and historical percentiles from 38.60% to 71.30% [1] 2. Treasury Bond Futures Spread - **Basis**: The latest basis values of TS, TF, T, and TL range from 0.0000 to 1.8885, with changes from - 0.0260 to 0.1426 compared to the previous day, and historical percentiles from 7.60% to 65.10% [2] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of TS, TF, T, and TL have the latest values from - 0.2340 to 0.2800, with changes from - 0.0400 to 0.0200 compared to the previous day, and historical percentiles from 8.00% to 19.80% [2] - **Cross - variety Spreads**: The cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., have the latest values from - 18.6920 to - 0.0010, and historical percentiles from 1.30% to 2.10% [2] 3. Precious Metals Spot and Futures - **Spot Prices**: COMEX silver rose 0.68% to 37.04 dollars per ounce, London gold rose 0.33% to 3336.94 dollars per ounce, etc. [5] - **Futures Closing Prices**: COMEX gold fell 0.97% to 3336.00 dollars per ounce, AU2508 fell 0.54% to 777.06 yuan per gram, etc. [6] - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract was - 5.49, with a historical percentile of 0.80%, and silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract was - 34, with a historical percentile of 27.30% [4] - **Ratios**: COMEX gold/silver ratio was 90.06, down 1.64% [4] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year US Treasury yield rose 1.2% to 4.35%, and the US dollar index fell 0.13% to 96.99 [4] - **Inventory and Positions**: Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory increased 16.25% to 21456 kilograms, and COMEX gold inventory decreased 0.71% to 36785583 ounces [4] 4. Container Shipping - **Spot Quotes**: Shanghai - Europe shipping quotes vary, with Maersk down 5.13% to 2978 dollars per FEU and CMA CGM up 11.40% to 4085 dollars per FEU [7] - **Container Shipping Indexes**: SCFIS (European route) rose 9.61% to 2123.24, and SCFIS (US West route) fell 22.28% to 1619.19 [7] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2508 (main contract) fell 2.48% to 1849.9, and the basis (main contract) rose 33.21% to 822.2 [7] - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged at 3266.65 million TEU, and Shanghai's port punctuality rate rose 46.45% to 42.50 [7] 5. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information - **Overseas Data**: Eurozone's comprehensive PMI rose 0.80% to 50.60, and the US manufacturing PMI index rose 1.03% to 49.00 [7][9] - **Domestic Data**: China's June foreign exchange reserves, iron ore shipments, and other data are to be released, and some data such as SMM electrolytic copper social inventory are expected to be updated [9]