Core Insights - CME has lost its position as the leading exchange for bitcoin futures open interest, with Binance now holding approximately 125,000 BTC ($11.2 billion) compared to CME's 123,000 BTC ($11 billion) [1] Group 1: Open Interest Trends - CME's open interest started the year at 175,000 BTC but has declined due to reduced profitability in the basis trade, where traders buy spot bitcoin and sell futures [2] - Binance's open interest has remained stable throughout the year, appealing to retail traders betting on price movements [2] Group 2: Historical Context - A year ago, CME's open interest peaked at 200,000 BTC as prices approached $100,000, with an annualized basis rate of around 15%, which has now decreased to approximately 5% [3] - The decline in the basis rate indicates diminishing returns for institutional basis traders [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - As spot and futures prices converge, arbitrage opportunities are diminishing, impacting CME's previous dominance in bitcoin futures open interest [4] - CME had been the largest exchange since November 2023, driven by institutional positioning ahead of the anticipated launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, but this advantage appears to have diminished [4]

Bond Market Overview - The US is cutting interest rates while the Bank of Japan has raised rates to 30-year highs, impacting global yields [1] - The 10-year and 30-year bond yields are reaching multi-decade highs due to these changes [1] Economic Sentiment - The University of Michigan sentiment index reported a historically low current situation score, the lowest since the 1970s at 52.9% [2] - This low confidence level typically correlates with declining equity markets, yet equities are currently rising, indicating a disconnect [3] Inflation and Market Reactions - Recent CPI data has been deemed inaccurate, yet the market seems to overlook this, with yields on both 2-year and 10-year bonds increasing [4][5] - The French 10-year bond yield closed at 3.61%, marking a 14-year high, while the Japanese 10-year yield surpassed 2%, a 26-year high [6] Global Interest Rate Trends - The tightening of global monetary policy, particularly from Japan, is affecting investment strategies and arbitrage opportunities worldwide [7]

Core Insights - The focus is on closed-end funds and the opportunities for directional and arbitrage trading created by market price deviations [1][2] - The yield curve has begun to normalize, with long-term yields surpassing short-term yields, indicating potential investment strategies [2] Group 1: Trading Strategies - The company emphasizes the importance of timing in trading closed-end funds and offers early access to discussions for members [1] - Denislav Iliev, an experienced trader, leads a team that identifies mispriced investments in fixed-income and closed-end funds using straightforward financial logic [2] Group 2: Service Features - The service provided includes frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, weekly reviews of over 1200 equities, IPO previews, and hedging strategies [2] - An actively managed portfolio and a chat feature for discussions are also part of the service offerings [2]

Core Insights - Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR) is recognized as a leading global data center operator with a robust financial position [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Digital Realty Trust, Inc. is a prominent player in the data center industry, showcasing strong economic characteristics and financial ratios [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment group led by Denislav Iliev focuses on identifying mispriced investments in fixed-income and closed-end funds, utilizing straightforward financial logic [1] - The service provided by the group includes frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, along with weekly reviews of over 1200 equities and IPO previews [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the comparison between Eagle Point Credit Co LLC (ECC) and SLR Investment Corp. (SLRC), noting that both companies are currently trading at similar discounts [1]. Group 1: Company Analysis - Eagle Point Credit Co LLC (ECC) and SLR Investment Corp. (SLRC) are highlighted as companies of interest for investors focusing on closed-end funds (CEFs) and business development companies (BDCs) [1]. - The analysis is led by Denislav Iliev, an experienced day trader with over 15 years in the field, who manages a team of 40 analysts to identify mispriced investments [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment group Trade With Beta, led by Denislav Iliev, provides features such as frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, weekly reviews of over 1200 equities, IPO previews, and hedging strategies [1]. - The service includes an actively managed portfolio and a chat room for discussions among sophisticated traders and investors [1].

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report 2. Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and spot - futures arbitrage tracking data for various non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on December 16, 2025, to help investors find potential arbitrage opportunities 3. Summary by Directory Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Spot price is 92,270 (domestic) and 11,680 (LME) with a ratio of 8.05; March price is 92,490 (domestic) and 11,685 (LME) with a ratio of 7.91. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.01 with a profit of - 1,177.97, and spot export profit is 635.68 [1] - **Zinc**: Spot price is 23,460 (domestic) and 3,122 (LME) with a ratio of 7.51; March price is 23,470 (domestic) and 3,154 (LME) with a ratio of 5.40. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.43 with a profit of - 2,851.84 [1] - **Aluminum**: Spot price is 21,710 (domestic) and 2,838 (LME) with a ratio of 7.65; March price is 21,920 (domestic) and 2,883 (LME) with a ratio of 7.58. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.32 with a profit of - 1,913.48 [1] - **Nickel**: Spot price is 117,850 (domestic) and 14,395 (LME) with a ratio of 8.19. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.10 with a profit of - 1,653.85 [1] - **Lead**: Spot price is 16,975 (domestic) and 1,919 (LME) with a ratio of 8.84; March price is 17,030 (domestic) and 1,971 (LME) with a ratio of 11.87. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.66 with a profit of 349.88 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are - 1,620, - 1,530, - 1,470, - 1,510, while the theoretical spreads are 572, 1,042, 1,521, 2,000 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are - 155, - 115, - 120, - 95, while the theoretical spreads are 221, 348, 475, 602 respectively [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are - 200, - 155, - 115, - 80, while the theoretical spreads are 221, 344, 466, 589 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are - 40, - 20, - 15, 25, while the theoretical spreads are 210, 317, 423, 529 respectively [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are - 860, - 650, - 400, - 160 [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread is 1,170 with a theoretical spread of 6,738 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts to the spot are 1,775 and 155, while the theoretical spreads are 834 and 1,108 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads of the current - month and next - month contracts to the spot are 125 and - 30, while the theoretical spreads are 198 and 334 respectively [4] Cross - Market Ratio Comparison - The cross - market ratios of copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, and nickel are presented, and the import and export profits are calculated based on the equilibrium ratios [1][3] Cross - Period Spread Comparison - The actual spreads and theoretical spreads between different months and the spot month for copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, nickel, and tin are compared [4] Spot - Futures Spread Comparison - The actual spreads and theoretical spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot for copper and zinc are compared [4] Cross - Market and Cross - Exchange Ratio Comparison - The cross - market ratios of copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, and nickel in domestic and LME markets are compared, and the import and export profits are calculated [1][3] Cross - Period and Spot - Futures Arbitrage Opportunities - By comparing the actual spreads and theoretical spreads in cross - period and spot - futures arbitrage, potential arbitrage opportunities are analyzed [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) as an attractive insurance company known for its stability and financial results [1] - AFG's baby bonds are highlighted as a focus of investment interest, indicating potential opportunities in fixed-income securities [1] - The analysis is led by Denislav Iliev, who has over 15 years of day trading experience and manages a team of 40 analysts to identify mispriced investments [1] Group 2 - The investment group Trade With Beta, led by Denislav Iliev, provides features such as frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, along with weekly reviews of over 1200 equities [1] - The service also includes IPO previews, hedging strategies, and an actively managed portfolio, facilitating discussions among sophisticated traders and investors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) as an attractive insurance company due to its stability and strong financial results [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) is noted for its stability and financial performance, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the insurance sector [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The article discusses the investment strategies employed by Denislav Iliev and his team, which include identifying mispriced investments in fixed-income and closed-end funds [1]. - The service provided by Denislav's group, Trade With Beta, includes frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, along with weekly reviews of over 1200 equities and IPO previews [1].

Financial Overview - Ellington Financial (EFC) is analyzed for its key financial indicators, capital structure, credit ratings, and characteristics of its preferred stocks, providing a solid basis for investment decisions [1]. Investment Strategy - The investment group Trade With Beta, led by Denislav Iliev, focuses on identifying mispriced investments in fixed-income and closed-end funds using straightforward financial logic [1]. - The service includes frequent picks for mispriced preferred stocks and baby bonds, weekly reviews of over 1200 equities, IPO previews, hedging strategies, and an actively managed portfolio [1].

NFT Market Analysis - Beeple's $POOP NFT has a floor price of $35,000 [1] - The total supply of $POOP NFTs is only 156 pieces, making it 64 times scarcer than Bored Apes [1] - Beeple's physical artworks trade for a minimum of $50,000 to $500,000 [1] Market Dynamics & Arbitrage - Art Basel distribution limited bot activity, favoring geographic privilege [1] - Traditional collectors are discovering that NFT secondary markets like OpenSea have only 25% fees compared to 20% gallery fees [1] - The difference in fees between traditional galleries and NFT marketplaces presents an arbitrage opportunity [1]