Core Insights - The company, Quad 7 Capital, is known for its investment strategy called BAD BEAT Investing, which has been operational for nearly 12 years and emphasizes both long and short trades [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in various fields, including business, policy, economics, and game theory [1] - The investment approach focuses on short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades [1] Group 1 - Quad 7 Capital has a proven track record, highlighted by a significant market call in February 2020 to sell everything and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The company aims to educate investors on becoming proficient traders through a comprehensive playbook, providing in-depth research with clear entry and exit targets [1] Group 2 - Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing include understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, access to multiple chat rooms, and receiving daily analyst upgrade/downgrade summaries [2] - The program also offers education on basic options trading and provides extensive trading tools to enhance investor capabilities [2]

Core Insights - ON Semiconductor has seen significant options activity, with over 9 transactions totaling $820,402, including 5 puts valued at $718,262 [1][2]. Options Activity - Whales have targeted a price range of $25.0 to $55.0 for ON Semiconductor over the past 3 months, indicating a strategic interest in this price band [2]. - The volume and open interest data for ON Semiconductor's options provide insights into liquidity and market interest, particularly for strike prices between $25.0 and $55.0 over the last 30 days [3][4]. Noteworthy Options Transactions - A bullish put trade for ON Semiconductor with an expiration date of April 17, 2026, at a strike price of $49.00, had a total trade price of $285,000 and an open interest of 10 contracts [8]. - Another bullish put trade for January 21, 2028, at a strike price of $33.00, totaled $187,700 with an open interest of 100 contracts [8]. - A bearish call trade for January 16, 2026, at a strike price of $50.00, had a total trade price of $67,000 with an open interest of 131 contracts [8]. Company Overview - ON Semiconductor, also known as Onsemi, is a leading supplier of power semiconductors and sensors, primarily serving the automotive and industrial markets. It is the second-largest power chipmaker globally and the largest supplier of image sensors for the automotive sector [9]. - The company is transitioning from a highly vertically integrated model to a hybrid manufacturing strategy, focusing on emerging applications such as electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and renewable energy [9]. Current Market Position - As of the latest data, ON Semiconductor's stock price is $52.5, reflecting a 1.35% increase with a trading volume of 2,640,963 [10]. - Market experts have set a consensus target price of $55.0 for ON Semiconductor, with a neutral rating maintained by an analyst from UBS [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - Boeing is expected to report a significant loss in its upcoming earnings announcement, with an adjusted EPS of negative $246 and revenue of $21.92 billion, amid ongoing labor strikes affecting operations [1]. Earnings Expectations - The company is currently facing a three-month strike with its St. Louis area workers, which has impacted its operational performance and stock price [1]. - Despite the anticipated loss, there are signs of improvement in Boeing's turnaround plan and production numbers [3]. Stock Performance - Boeing's shares have increased by over 25% this year, indicating a strong upward trend despite recent volatility [2]. - The stock has shown a double bottom pattern around the $225 mark, which was previously a support level [5]. - Recent trading activity suggests a potential breakout if the stock can bounce back from the $222 support level [10]. Technical Analysis - The 50-period moving average is trending downward but is approaching a solid support level around $210 [6]. - There is a bullish divergence indicated by the RSI, suggesting potential upward momentum ahead of the earnings announcement [7]. Options Market Activity - Early trading showed a preference for call options, indicating speculative buying ahead of earnings, but the put-call ratio has shifted towards a more defensive stance [12]. - Currently, about 85% of the puts being traded are at the ask or mid, suggesting protective measures rather than speculative selling [12].

Core Insights - Investors are taking a bearish stance on Fluor (NYSE:FLR), with significant options activity indicating potential market movements [1][2] - The overall sentiment among large investors is 36% bullish and 54% bearish, suggesting a cautious outlook [2] - The price range targeted by large investors for Fluor over the last three months is between $40.0 and $67.5 [3] Options Trading Activity - A total of 11 uncommon options trades were detected for Fluor, with 3 puts amounting to $132,762 and 8 calls totaling $1,214,695 [2] - The volume and open interest metrics indicate strong liquidity and investor interest in Fluor's options, particularly within the $40.0 to $67.5 strike price range over the past 30 days [4] Company Overview - Fluor is a leading global provider of engineering, procurement, construction, fabrication, operations, and maintenance services, serving various sectors including oil and gas, chemicals, mining, metals, and transportation [11] - The company generated $16.3 billion in revenue in 2024, indicating a robust market presence [11] Analyst Insights - An industry analyst has set an average target price of $51.0 for Fluor, maintaining a Buy rating [12][13] - The current stock price of FLR is $50.03, reflecting a 3.16% increase, with upcoming earnings expected in 10 days [15]

Core Insights - Whales have adopted a bullish stance on Robinhood Markets, with 38% of trades being bullish and 31% bearish, indicating a positive sentiment among large investors [1] - The major market movers are focusing on a price range between $32.0 and $200.0 for Robinhood Markets over the last three months, suggesting significant interest in this price band [2] - Recent options activity shows a mix of bullish and bearish trades, with a total of 57 trades detected, including 53 calls valued at approximately $3.87 million and 4 puts valued at around $170,804 [1] Options Activity Analysis - The last 30 days have seen notable options activity for Robinhood Markets, with a focus on liquidity and interest for various strike prices [3][4] - The largest options trades include bullish and bearish sentiments, with significant trades such as a bullish sweep for a call option at a strike price of $34.6 totaling $376.9K and a bearish trade at a strike price of $22.0 totaling $356.4K [8] Market Status and Expert Opinions - Robinhood Markets has received ratings from five experts in the last month, with an average target price of $155.8, indicating a generally positive outlook [11] - Analysts from various firms maintain buy ratings with target prices ranging from $145 to $170, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential [12] Company Overview - Robinhood Markets Inc is focused on creating a modern financial services platform, offering a range of products and services through an app-based cloud platform supported by proprietary technology [10] - The company has introduced various features such as cryptocurrency trading, dividend reinvestment, and fractional shares, enhancing its service offerings [10]

Core Insights - Whales have adopted a bearish stance on Carvana, with 41% of trades being bullish and 43% bearish, indicating mixed sentiment among large investors [1] - The price target for Carvana is projected to range between $80.0 and $590.0 based on recent options activity [2] - Analysts have provided an average target price of $473.0 for Carvana, with varying ratings from different firms [11][12] Options Activity - A total of 96 trades were detected for Carvana, with 22 puts amounting to $899,324 and 74 calls totaling $4,714,278 [1] - Noteworthy options activity includes various trades with different sentiments, such as bullish and neutral, across multiple expiration dates and strike prices [8] - The trading volume for Carvana stands at 965,955, with the stock price currently at $354.08, reflecting a 0.82% increase [14] Company Overview - Carvana operates as an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars, generating revenue primarily from used vehicle sales and additional services like financing and insurance [9][10]

Core Insights - Lululemon Athletica Inc has partnered with the NFL and Fanatics to launch an apparel collection for all 32 teams, leading to a 2.7% increase in stock price to $183.27 [1] - Despite a 52% year-to-date deficit, the stock is currently trading 15% above its five-year low of $159.25 reached on September 15 [2] - Short interest has decreased by 4.6% recently, but still represents 8% of the stock's float, indicating a potential for short covering [2] Trading Activity - The stock has seen a higher than usual interest in put options, with a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.14, ranking higher than 91% of readings from the past year [3] - There has been a notable increase in call options trading, with 22,000 calls exchanged today, particularly at the 185- and 190-strike levels [4] - Options are currently considered affordable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 40%, placing it in the 17th percentile of annual readings [5]

Core Viewpoint - UPS is facing significant challenges, with its stock down approximately 30% this year, underperforming compared to both the industrial sector and broader market indices [2][10]. Company Performance - UPS's stock has declined about 35.12%, contrasting sharply with the XLI ETF's increase of around 14% and the S&P 500's rise of nearly 17% [2]. - The company is experiencing a difficult situation, particularly in comparison to its sector, with FedEx down only 12.4% [2]. Technical Analysis - The stock is trending downward but has shown some stabilization around lower levels, with a consistent support floor near 82 [3][6]. - Resistance levels are identified around 89, with a downward sloping trend line indicating a continued descent from previous highs [4][8]. - The 21-day exponential moving average is starting to slope upward, suggesting modest improvement, while the stock is trading near the 63-day exponential moving average [5]. Market Sentiment and Volatility - There is elevated applied volatility leading into the upcoming earnings report, indicating a critical juncture for the company [10]. - The loss of half of its Amazon business is a significant headwind, and the company is currently paying a 7.5% dividend yield, which may be at risk if profitability continues to decline [11]. Options Strategy - A bullish call diagonal strategy is proposed, involving buying an 87 strike call option expiring on November 14 and selling a 93 strike call option expiring on October 31, capturing the earnings event [12][13]. - The strategy is designed to profit if the stock moves above the $88 level, with the option market pricing in a potential move of about 7% [14].

Core Insights - Whales have adopted a bullish stance on SoFi Technologies, with 59% of trades being bullish and 28% bearish, indicating strong investor confidence [1] - The price target for SoFi Technologies has been identified within a range of $7.0 to $42.0 over the last three months, reflecting significant interest from large investors [2] - The average open interest for SoFi options is 13,573.63, with a total volume of 160,410, showcasing active trading in the options market [3] Options Activity - A total of 66 trades were detected for SoFi Technologies, with 10 puts totaling $541,832 and 56 calls amounting to $3,322,164, highlighting a preference for call options [1] - Noteworthy options activity includes various trades with differing sentiments, such as a bearish call trade with a strike price of $30.00 and a bullish call trade with a strike price of $42.00 [9] - The trading volume for SoFi options indicates a significant level of engagement, with specific trades reflecting both bullish and bearish sentiments [9] Company Overview - SoFi Technologies, founded in 2011 and based in San Francisco, has expanded its services from student loan refinancing to a comprehensive suite of financial products, including personal loans, credit cards, and investment accounts [10][11] - The company aims to be a one-stop shop for financial services, operating primarily through its mobile app and website, and has enhanced its offerings through the acquisition of Galileo [11] Analyst Opinions - Recent analyst evaluations suggest a mixed outlook for SoFi Technologies, with an average price target of $21.5 from four analysts, while some maintain lower targets of $18 and others set targets as high as $26 [12][13] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods have issued Underweight and Underperform ratings, respectively, while Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan hold Neutral ratings [13] Current Market Position - As of the latest trading session, SoFi's stock price is $28.84, reflecting a 2.71% increase, with upcoming earnings expected in four days [15] - RSI indicators suggest that the stock may be approaching overbought conditions, indicating potential volatility in the near term [15]

Core Insights - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, is a team of 7 analysts with nearly 12 years of experience in identifying investment opportunities [1] - The firm is recognized for its February 2020 recommendation to sell all positions and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The team possesses expertise across various fields including business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences [1] - BAD BEAT Investing focuses on short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades [1] - The company emphasizes educating investors to become proficient traders through a structured playbook, providing in-depth research with clear entry and exit targets [1] Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing - Investors can learn to understand market dynamics and execute well-researched trade ideas weekly [2] - The service includes access to 4 chat rooms and daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades [2] - Participants can learn basic options trading and utilize extensive trading tools [2]