Earnings Surprise
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Steel Dynamics (STLD) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics (STLD) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with earnings expected to be $2.66 per share, reflecting a 29.8% increase, and revenues projected at $4.7 billion, an 8.2% rise from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 20, and the stock may experience upward movement if the reported figures exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.1% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +0.25% for Steel Dynamics, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Steel Dynamics was expected to post earnings of $2.05 per share but delivered $2.01, resulting in a surprise of -1.95% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Investment Considerations - While an earnings beat can influence stock movement, other factors may also play a significant role in determining stock performance post-earnings release [15]. - Investors are encouraged to consider both the Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank when evaluating Steel Dynamics ahead of its earnings announcement [16].
General Motors’ Q3 2025 Earnings: What to Expect
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-13 04:30
Core Insights - General Motors Company (GM) is preparing to release its Q3 results on October 21, with analysts expecting an adjusted profit of $2.26 per share, a decrease of 23.7% from the previous year's $2.96 per share [2] - GM has a strong earnings surprise history, having exceeded analysts' bottom-line estimates in the last four quarters [2] - The company's stock has increased by 16.1% over the past 52 weeks, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund's 15.9% and the S&P 500 Index's 13.4% [4] Financial Performance - In fiscal 2025, GM's adjusted EPS is projected to be $9.43, down 11% from $10.60 in 2024, with a slight growth of 4.7% expected in fiscal 2026 to $9.87 per share [3] - Following the release of Q2 results, GM's stock fell by 8.1%, despite better-than-expected topline and earnings, with automotive sales declining by 2.7% year-over-year to $42.9 billion [5] - GM's net revenues for Q2 were $47.1 billion, a decrease of 1.8% year-over-year, but 1.9% above analysts' expectations [5] Market Sentiment - Analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for GM, with 13 "Strong Buys," 2 "Moderate Buys," 11 "Holds," and 3 "Strong Sells" among 29 analysts [7] - The mean price target for GM is $60.69, indicating a potential upside of 9.6% from current price levels [7] Challenges - GM's net income on a GAAP basis fell by 35.4% year-over-year to $1.9 billion, raising concerns among investors due to high tariffs imposed by the current Federal administration [6]
3M Company's Quarterly Earnings Preview: What You Need to Know
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-13 04:18
Core Insights - 3M Company, based in Saint Paul, Minnesota, is a diversified conglomerate with a market cap of $79.2 billion, operating in various segments including Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics, and Consumer [1] Financial Performance - 3M is expected to report a non-GAAP profit of $2.11 per share for Q3, reflecting a 6.6% increase from $1.98 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - For the full fiscal year 2025, adjusted EPS is projected to be $7.95, an 8.9% increase from $7.30 in 2024, with further growth expected in fiscal 2026 to $8.50 per share, a 6.9% year-over-year increase [3] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, 3M's stock has gained 11.5%, outperforming the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund's 10.2% but underperforming the S&P 500 Index's 13.4% returns [4] - Following the release of Q2 results, despite better-than-expected performance, 3M's stock price fell by 3.7% [5] Guidance and Analyst Ratings - 3M raised its full-year EPS guidance to a range of $7.75 - $8.00 from the previous $7.60 - $7.90, although this was perceived as not meeting investor expectations due to a significant drop in tariff rates [6] - Analysts maintain a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating for 3M, with 10 "Strong Buys," four "Holds," one "Moderate Sell," and two "Strong Sells," and a mean price target of $164 indicating a 10.3% upside potential [7]
Robust Trading, IB Fee Growth to Aid Morgan Stanley's Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-10 16:56
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley (MS) is expected to announce its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 15, with strong performance anticipated due to robust trading and investment banking activities [1][2][7] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MS' third-quarter revenues is $16.25 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.6% [2] - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter has been revised 2% higher to $2.07, reflecting a 10.1% improvement from the same quarter last year [3][4] Investment Banking Performance - Global mergers and acquisitions (M&As) have rebounded significantly in Q3 2025, contributing positively to Morgan Stanley's advisory fees, which are estimated at $589 million, a 7.9% year-over-year increase [6][8] - The consensus estimate for investment banking (IB) income is $1.51 billion, suggesting a 3.4% year-over-year rise [10][11] Trading Revenues - Trading revenues are expected to be strong, driven by increased client activity and market volatility, with equity trading revenues estimated at $3.22 billion (5.7% increase) and fixed-income trading revenues at $2.05 billion (2.5% increase) [12][13] Net Interest Income (NII) - The consensus estimate for net interest revenues is $2.34 billion, indicating a year-over-year rise of 6.4%, supported by stable funding costs and loan growth [15] Expenses and Cost Management - Total non-interest expenses are anticipated to be $11.4 billion, reflecting a 2.7% year-over-year increase, as the company continues to invest in its franchises [16] Earnings Surprise History - Morgan Stanley has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 20.3% [4] Stock Performance - In Q3, Morgan Stanley's stock performance was strong, performing better than peers like JPMorgan and in line with Goldman Sachs [19]
Analysts Estimate BCB Bancorp (BCBP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-10-10 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for BCB Bancorp (BCBP) due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BCB Bancorp is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.21 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 41.7% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $25.68 million, down 1.9% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.52% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for BCB Bancorp matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with significant predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - BCB Bancorp's current Zacks Rank is 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, BCB Bancorp met the expected earnings of $0.18 per share, resulting in no surprise [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Industry Comparison - In the Zacks Banks - Northeast industry, Equity Bancshares (EQBK) is expected to post earnings of $0.99 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of -24.4% [18]. - Equity Bancshares' revenue is expected to be $69.35 million, up 25.3% from the previous year, with a revised EPS estimate reflecting an 8.4% increase [19].
What to Expect From Automatic Data Processing's Next Quarterly Earnings Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-10 06:55
Core Insights - Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is a leading provider of cloud-based human capital management solutions with a market capitalization of $117.8 billion [1] - The company is expected to report an adjusted profit of $2.44 per share for Q1, reflecting a 4.7% increase from the previous year [2] - ADP has a strong earnings surprise history, having exceeded analysts' bottom-line estimates in the last four quarters [2] Financial Performance - For the full fiscal year 2026, ADP's adjusted EPS is projected to be $10.92, a 9.1% increase from $10.01 in 2025 [3] - In fiscal 2027, earnings are anticipated to rise further by 9.5% year-over-year to $11.96 per share [3] - In Q4 of fiscal 2025, ADP reported net revenues of $5.1 billion, marking a 7.5% year-over-year increase and exceeding expectations by 1.5% [5] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, ADP's stock has decreased by 65 basis points, underperforming the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund's 25.9% increase and the S&P 500 Index's 16.3% returns [4] - Following the release of strong Q4 results, ADP's stock experienced a slight uptick [5] Analyst Sentiment - The overall consensus rating for ADP is "Hold," with 17 analysts providing coverage: three "Strong Buys," 13 "Holds," and one "Strong Sell" [6] - The mean price target for ADP is $318.54, indicating an 11.4% upside potential from current price levels [6]
How to Approach Goldman Stock Ahead of Its Q3 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 16:35
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs is set to release its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 14, with expectations of solid growth in its Global Banking & Markets division and investment banking business, despite rising expenses [1][4][12] Earnings Performance - Goldman has a strong earnings surprise history, with an average surprise of 24.37% over the last four quarters [2][3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 2025 revenues is $14.01 billion, reflecting a 10.4% increase year-over-year, while earnings per share are projected at $10.93, indicating a 30.1% rise from the previous year [4] Revenue Drivers - Market-making revenues are expected to increase due to solid client activity and market volatility, influenced by tariff impacts and Federal Reserve policy changes [5][6] - Investment banking fees are projected to rise by 19.4% to $2.22 billion, supported by a rebound in global M&A activity and a strong IPO market [6][10] - Net Interest Income (NII) is estimated at $2.91 billion, a 12.1% increase year-over-year, aided by stable interest rates and solid loan demand [11] Expense Considerations - Increased expenses are anticipated due to investments in technology and higher transaction-based costs driven by client activity [12] Strategic Focus - Goldman is streamlining operations by retreating from non-core consumer banking ventures and focusing on asset and wealth management, aiming for a more stable revenue base [21] - The company plans to expand its lending services to private equity and asset managers, with a goal to grow its private credit portfolio to $300 billion over five years [22] Valuation Metrics - Goldman is currently trading at a forward P/E of 14.99, slightly above the industry average of 14.75 [18] - The company has increased its quarterly dividend to $4.00 per share, a 33.3% increase, reflecting a strong capital return program [25]
Citizens & Northern (CZNC) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Citizens & Northern (CZNC) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report is $0.51 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +24.4% [3]. - Revenues are anticipated to reach $28.9 million, which is a 5.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 47.17%, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.92%, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Citizens & Northern was expected to post earnings of $0.47 per share but only achieved $0.40, resulting in a surprise of -14.89% [13]. - The company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [14]. Predictive Indicators - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Citizens & Northern currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which does not strongly support the likelihood of an earnings beat [12][17].
Commercial Metals (CMC) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Commercial Metals (CMC) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $1.32 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +46.7%, with revenues projected at $2.07 billion, up 3.6% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.63% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates a positive Earnings ESP of +0.76% for Commercial Metals, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral outlook, but the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and this rank suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Commercial Metals was expected to post earnings of $0.85 per share but only achieved $0.74, resulting in a surprise of -12.94% [13]. - The company has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters, indicating a trend of underperformance [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, other factors may also influence stock movement, and it is essential to consider the broader context beyond just earnings results [15][17].
Earnings Preview: CSX (CSX) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 15:01
Core Viewpoint - CSX is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, with the upcoming earnings report expected to significantly influence its stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for CSX's quarterly earnings is $0.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 6.5% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $3.61 billion, which is a slight decline of 0.2% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.11% higher, indicating a slight reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for CSX is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.31%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - CSX currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CSX was expected to post earnings of $0.42 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $0.44, resulting in a surprise of +4.76% [13]. - Over the last four quarters, CSX has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - CSX does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].