Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 10, with the ChiNext index experiencing a slight pullback while the power grid equipment sector performed strongly [1] - The only power grid equipment ETF (159326) rose by 1.06%, with a trading volume of 837 million yuan, and leading stocks included Hengtong Optic-Electric, Sifang Co., Zhongtian Technology, and others [1] - Domestic investment in power grids is increasing, with the State Grid's "14th Five-Year" fixed asset investment plan reaching 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, coinciding with a global surge in AI computing power and data center electricity demand [1] Group 2 - The power grid equipment ETF (159326) has become a core tool for investing in the sector, with its latest scale exceeding 17.5 billion yuan, having tripled this year and attracting over 12.4 billion yuan in capital [2] - The ETF's constituent stocks cover key areas such as transmission and transformation equipment and grid automation, with the highest weightings in smart grids and ultra-high voltage [2] - This ETF allows investors to effectively manage individual stock volatility risks while capturing the high prosperity dividends of the sector [2]

2026 年 02 月 10 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 1、《双融日报》2026-02-09 2、《双融日报》2026-02-06 3、《双融日报》2026-02-05 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 77 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：电网设备、银行、消费 宏观经济意外下滑、地缘政治风险、流动性收紧超预期、行 业政策低于预期。 c 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 1、电网设备主题：全球 AI 数据中心（AIDC）耗电量巨大， 催生了对高功率、高稳定性变压器等核心电力设备的刚性需 求。目前全球供需严重失衡，美国市场交货周期已长达 127 周。与此同时，国内"十五五"期间，国家电网 4 万亿元的 巨额投资将重点投向特高压、智能化配电网等新型电力系 统，为行业带来了明确的长期订单支撑。相关标的：中 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a strong rebound on February 9, with AI-related concepts collectively rising due to a surge in electricity demand from data centers [1] - The only ETF tracking the power grid equipment sector (159326) saw a gain of 2.87% and a trading volume of 848 million yuan, with leading stocks including Hangzhou Electric, Siyuan Electric, and Zhongtian Technology [1] - The power grid equipment ETF has attracted over 12.6 billion yuan in funds this year, reaching a total size of 17.189 billion yuan, making it the largest power-related ETF in the market [1] Group 2 - The power grid equipment ETF (159326) tracks the China Securities Power Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in the sectors of power transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, and distribution equipment [2] - The smart grid sector has a weight of 90%, and the ultra-high voltage sector has a weight of 67%, both of which are the highest in the market [2] - The ETF includes leading companies such as TBEA, China XD Electric, and Siyuan Electric, which are prominent players in the industry [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the growth in new energy installations is a common reason for the continuous increase in global power investment, with new energy showing greater demand elasticity for power equipment compared to traditional energy sources [1] - The overseas market is experiencing explosive growth in demand driven by multiple factors including new energy installations, replacement of old equipment, high growth in AIDC demand, and extreme weather, while the supply side faces bottlenecks in labor, approvals, and capacity [1] - By 2026, the outlook for Chinese companies going abroad is expected to continue exceeding expectations [1] Group 2 - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, domestic investment in power grids is expected to reach new highs, with a focus on ultra-high voltage, smart meters, and distribution networks in 2026 [1] - The pace of ultra-high voltage advancement has been slightly below expectations, while flexible DC applications are reaching a turning point [1] - The price of smart meters has been continuously declining, and the implementation of new standards is expected to drive a price recovery [1] Group 3 - With the increase in AI server power, the AIDC power supply and distribution methods are evolving towards more efficient architectures, with the global AIDC power equipment market expected to exceed 410 billion yuan by 2030 [1] - A significant turning point in domestic and international demand is anticipated in 2026 [1] Group 4 - The Guotai ETF (159864) tracks the photovoltaic industry index (931151), which selects listed companies involved in silicon materials, silicon wafers, battery cells, modules, and photovoltaic equipment to reflect the overall performance of the photovoltaic industry chain [1] - This index focuses on the photovoltaic industry, characterized by high growth potential and technology-driven features [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective rise in its three major indices, with the electric grid equipment sector experiencing significant gains, particularly the electric grid equipment ETF (159326), which rose by 2.18% and achieved a trading volume of 6.41 billion yuan [1] - The electric grid equipment ETF has recorded a net inflow of over 4.6 billion yuan in the past two days, with its scale increasing more than 3.4 times this year, reaching 171.89 billion yuan, making it the largest electric grid-related ETF in the market [1] - The approval of the major electric grid project for the "Montenegro to Shanghai" crossing by the National Development and Reform Commission marks a strong start for the "14th Five-Year Plan" in electric grid construction [1] Group 2 - The electric grid equipment ETF (159326) is the only ETF tracking the China Securities Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors such as transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, and distribution equipment [2] - The smart grid has a high weight of 90% in the index, while ultra-high voltage equipment accounts for 67%, both being the highest in the market [2] - The ETF includes leading companies such as TBEA, China XD Electric, and others, which are positioned for international expansion [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Hongyuan Co., specializes in the research and production of electromagnetic wires, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.7% in revenue over the past three years. It is recognized as a national "manufacturing single champion enterprise" in the field of electromagnetic wires for ultra/high voltage transformers [3][14]. - The company has a strong market position, holding significant shares in high-voltage transformer projects, with a 24.43% share in direct current converter transformers and a 29.63% share in alternating current transformers in recent bids [5][19]. - The company is actively expanding into the new energy vehicle sector, focusing on high-power drive motors, and has secured orders from domestic and international clients, including VinFast, a Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer [5][19]. Company Overview - Hongyuan Co. has a total market capitalization of 42.24 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 14.67 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 33.17 yuan. The company has a total share capital of 1.27 billion shares, with a circulating share capital of 0.44 billion shares [3]. - The company has achieved a revenue of 1.952 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.97%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 73.84 million yuan, up 4.93% year-on-year [3][6]. Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.724 billion yuan in 2025, 3.417 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.438 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 114 million yuan, 148 million yuan, and 196 million yuan respectively [6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.89 yuan, 1.16 yuan, and 1.54 yuan, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 35.3, 27.2, and 20.5 respectively [6]. Industry Overview - The electromagnetic cable industry in China had a market revenue of 45.18 billion USD in 2022, with an expected CAGR of 7.43%, projected to reach 96.66 billion USD by 2032. The investment in electric power resources in China has increased significantly, from 328.3 billion yuan in 2019 to 1,168.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 28.91% [4]. - The global market for electric wires and cables is expected to reach 267.8 billion USD in 2024, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2025 to 2034 [4]. Competitive Position - The company has established a strong competitive position in the high-voltage transformer electromagnetic wire market, with a significant number of patents (80 in total) and a history of successful bids in major ultra/high voltage projects [5][24]. - The company has a well-developed production system and a stable customer base, including major domestic and international clients, ensuring a reliable supply chain and long-term partnerships [18][19].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company, Hongyuan Co., specializes in the research and production of electromagnetic wires, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.7% in revenue over the past three years. It is recognized as a national "Manufacturing Single Champion" in the field of electromagnetic wires for ultra/high voltage transformers [3][14]. - The company has a strong market position, with a significant share in the ultra/high voltage transformer market, and is actively expanding into the new energy vehicle sector, particularly in high-power drive motors [5][19]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 indicate a steady increase in net profit, with expected figures of 114 million, 148 million, and 196 million yuan, respectively, alongside corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.89, 1.16, and 1.54 yuan [3][6]. Company Overview - Hongyuan Co. has established itself as a leading manufacturer of electromagnetic wires for high voltage transformers, with a diverse product range including paper-wrapped wires, enameled wires, and combination wires [14][19]. - The company has been awarded 80 patents, including 16 invention patents, and has made significant technological advancements in the field, particularly in the application of electromagnetic wires in ultra/high voltage projects [5][24]. Industry Analysis - The electromagnetic cable industry in China is experiencing robust growth, with a market revenue of $45.18 billion in 2022 and an expected CAGR of 7.43%, reaching $96.66 billion by 2032 [4]. - Investment in electrical resources in China has surged from 328.3 billion yuan in 2019 to an anticipated 1,168.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 28.91% [4]. - The global market for electrical cables is projected to reach $267.8 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2025 to 2034 [4].

Group 1 - The top trending stocks in A-shares include Xiexin Integrated, Sanyan Co., Shenjian Co., Data Port, Juliy Suoj, Hangdian Co., Galaxy Electronics, Yongtai Technology, Intercontinental Oil and Gas, and Wuzhou New Spring [1][2] - Xiexin Integrated's rise is attributed to significant breakthroughs in perovskite tandem battery technology, achieving a certification efficiency of 33.31%, and its strategic focus on space photovoltaic equipment development [3] - Sanyan Co. is gaining attention due to a proposed investment of approximately 7.2 billion yuan from Anhui State-owned Wanhui Group, which alleviates uncertainties from its restructuring process [3] Group 2 - Shenjian Co. benefits from the growing commercial aerospace sector, with its subsidiary being a key supplier for major rocket components, enhancing investor interest [4] - Data Port's focus is driven by the "East Data West Calculation" strategy, which supports the data center industry, alongside increasing demand for AI and computing power [4] - Juliy Suoj is recognized as a core supplier in the commercial aerospace and deep-sea equipment sectors, with significant orders extending to 2026 [5] Group 3 - Hangdian Co. is experiencing growth due to multiple favorable themes and national investment plans in the power grid sector, with its business covering ultra-high voltage and optical communication [5] - Galaxy Electronics is gaining traction due to its involvement in military information technology and commercial aerospace, with a significant reduction in losses reported [6] - Yongtai Technology's partnership with CATL is a key catalyst for its market interest, as it aims to deepen integration within the new energy supply chain [6]

Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment score is 44, indicating a "neutral" stance [6][9][21] - Historical trends suggest that when the sentiment score is below or close to 50, the market tends to find support, while scores above 80 may indicate resistance [9][21] Hot Themes Tracking Electric Grid Equipment - The global demand for high-power and high-stability transformers is driven by the significant energy consumption of AI data centers, leading to a severe supply-demand imbalance, particularly in the U.S. where delivery times have reached 127 weeks [6] - China's State Grid is set to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on ultra-high voltage and smart distribution networks, providing long-term order support for the industry [6] - Related stocks include China Western Power (601179) and TBEA Co., Ltd. (600089) [6] Banking Sector - Bank stocks are characterized by high dividend yields, with the CSI Bank Index yielding 6.02%, significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield [6] - In a slowing economy with increased market volatility, bank stocks are becoming important investment targets for long-term funds such as insurance and social security [6] - Related stocks include Agricultural Bank of China (601288) and Ningbo Bank (002142) [6] Consumer Sector - The macro policy for 2026 emphasizes expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption, which is viewed positively by the market [6] - The consumer market is undergoing significant changes, characterized by three new trends: "emotional value" (self-consumption in gold and jewelry), "extreme cost-performance ratio" (bulk snacks and discount stores), and "efficiency innovation" (AI e-commerce and brand expansion) [6] - Related stocks include Yonghui Superstores (601933) and Wangfujing (600859) [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the power industry is expected to undergo high-quality development due to accelerated marketization and ongoing reforms in the electricity system in China, particularly in the context of the "dual carbon" strategy [2] - The report highlights that the investment in the power grid is anticipated to increase, with significant growth in transformer exports to the U.S. and other countries in the first nine months of 2025 [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of gas turbines as a primary solution for addressing electricity shortages in the U.S., with Chinese companies expected to expand their presence in international markets [4] Group 2 - The report notes that the construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) power lines is likely to accelerate due to the rising demand for green electricity, despite a slowdown in construction during the latter part of the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - The investment in distribution networks is expected to become a key focus during the 15th Five-Year Plan, as the reliability of power supply is challenged by the rapid growth in peak electricity load [3] - The profitability of wind power equipment is projected to continue improving, with domestic companies accelerating their international expansion, supported by high bidding volumes and rising prices [5]