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Virtus (VRTS) Surges 6.4%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 09:31
Company Overview - Virtus Investment Partners (VRTS) shares increased by 6.3% to close at $200.71, with notable trading volume exceeding typical levels [1] - The stock has gained 10.5% over the past four weeks, indicating positive momentum [1] Market Sentiment - Broader market optimism regarding potential trade agreements and expectations of earlier interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has positively influenced investor sentiment towards finance stocks [2] - Investors are seeking better investment options for higher yields, which is expected to lead to inflows for asset managers, positively impacting their revenues [2] Earnings Expectations - Virtus is projected to report quarterly earnings of $6.17 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.5% [3] - Expected revenues for the upcoming quarter are $188.7 million, down 7.1% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Estimate Trends - The consensus EPS estimate for Virtus has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting that stock price movements may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook [4] Industry Comparison - Virtus operates within the Zacks Financial - Investment Management industry, where SEI Investments (SEIC) also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and has seen a 7.7% return over the past month [4][5] - SEI's consensus EPS estimate has increased by 2.9% over the past month, reflecting a year-over-year change of 9.5% [5]
Invest in This Dream 5-Stock Diversified Portfolio for Gains in 2H
ZACKS· 2025-07-02 12:16
Market Overview - U.S. stock markets experienced a successful June, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite increasing by 4%, 5.7%, and 5.7% respectively, closing at record-high levels for the first half of 2025 [1] - Despite this success, the first half of 2025 marked the weakest performance for the indexes since 2022, with potential catalysts for the second half including a U.S.-China trade deal, anticipated interest rate cuts by the Fed, and reduced recession fears [2] Imaginary Portfolio - An imaginary diversified portfolio was created, consisting of five stocks that each gained over 50% in the first half of 2025, with further upside potential indicated by favorable Zacks Ranks [3][4] Company Highlights Jabil Inc. (JBL) - Jabil is benefiting from strong momentum in capital equipment, AI-powered data center infrastructure, and digital commerce, with a focus on product diversification [7] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for Jabil are 5.9% and 18.5% respectively for the next year, with a 9% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next-year earnings over the last 30 days [9] Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) - Howmet Aerospace is experiencing growth in the commercial aerospace market, supported by robust build rates and recovery in wide-body aircraft, along with strength in its defense aerospace business [10] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for Howmet are 8.5% and 29% respectively for the current year, with a 0.3% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last seven days [11] CVS Health Corp. (CVS) - CVS Health is investing in technology to reduce costs and enhance customer experience, with improved Medicare Advantage star ratings aiding its position [12] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for CVS are 3.5% and 12.6% respectively for the current year, with a 2.3% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 60 days [14] Carvana Co. (CVNA) - Carvana's acquisition of ADESA's U.S. operations has strengthened its logistics and auction capabilities, with expectations for year-over-year growth in retail unit sales [15][16] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for Carvana are 32.1% and over 100% respectively for the current year, with a 7.8% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 30 days [17] NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) - NRG Energy operates in the energy and home services sector, producing electricity from various sources and expanding operations through both organic and inorganic initiatives [18][19] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for NRG are 2.6% and 17% respectively for the current year, with a 2.8% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 60 days [20]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 13:02
Chile’s economic activity unexpectedly dropped in May on declines across several sectors, supporting the central bank’s outlook for renewed interest rate cuts over the coming quarters. https://t.co/uEBPk1nk2B ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 12:00
RT Bloomberg en Español (@BBGenEspanol)📊 ¿Quieres saber qué está marcando la semana? @SheryAhnNews nos cuenta sobre el plan fiscal de Trump, expectativas de recortes de tasas por parte de la Fed, la caída del dólar y datos clave desde América Latina. https://t.co/w6aeMs9gM2 https://t.co/8d8rv6x2UT ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-06-30 09:40
A slowdown in the US job market will weigh on the S&P 500, offsetting any positive impact from the Fed’s interest rate cuts, according to JPMorgan strategists https://t.co/cEYOYFO5dg ...
Rate Cut Buzz Lifts JPM Stock to New Highs: Is There More Upside Left?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 14:20
Core Insights - JPMorgan's shares reached an all-time high of $289.41, driven by expectations of earlier interest rate cuts due to positive economic data [1] - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts contrasts with market confidence in at least two cuts this year, which may negatively impact JPMorgan's net interest income (NII) [2] - JPMorgan's CFO indicated potential NII growth of $1 billion above previous guidance for 2025, although the current outlook remains unchanged at $94.5 billion [3] Branch Expansion and Acquisitions - JPMorgan operates 4,975 branches, the most of any U.S. bank, and is expanding its presence with new Financial Centers, aiming to double by 2026 [5] - The bank is also enhancing its digital services with remote offices and plans to add 500 branches by 2027 to improve customer relationships and cross-selling opportunities [6] - Strategic acquisitions, including a larger stake in Brazil's C6 Bank and the purchase of First Republic Bank, are diversifying revenues and enhancing digital offerings [8] Capital Markets Performance - JPMorgan's capital markets business saw a significant rebound, with investment banking fees increasing by 37% year-over-year last year, although they declined by 5% in 2023 [9][10] - The bank's markets revenues are expected to grow in the mid-to-high single-digits range due to increased market volatility and client activity [11] - Long-term prospects for the investment banking business remain strong, supported by a solid deal pipeline once economic uncertainty decreases [12] Financial Health and Shareholder Returns - As of March 31, 2025, JPMorgan had total debt of $471.9 billion and cash and deposits of $425.9 billion, maintaining strong liquidity [13] - The company announced a 12% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.40 per share, following previous hikes, and has a $30 billion share repurchase program [14][17] - JPMorgan's stock has outperformed the S&P 500, rising 20.4% this year compared to a 3.7% increase for the index [20] Asset Quality and Earnings Outlook - JPMorgan's asset quality has deteriorated, with provisions increasing significantly in recent years due to macroeconomic challenges [18] - The company expects card net charge-off rates to be around 3.6% this year, with projections for a rise in 2026 [19] - Earnings estimates for 2025 suggest a 6.1% decline year-over-year, while 2026 estimates indicate a 5.3% growth [26][30] Valuation and Market Position - JPMorgan's stock is trading at a forward P/E of 15.26X, above the industry average of 14.55X, indicating a premium valuation [23][25] - Despite the premium, upward earnings revisions and JPMorgan's leadership position in the industry support a cautious buy recommendation for long-term investors [31]
Home Price Increases Cool, Fed Chair on Capitol Hill Today
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 17:26
Market Overview - The stock market shows positive momentum with the Dow up +265 points (+0.62%), S&P 500 up +42 points (+0.70%), Nasdaq up +213 points (+0.97%), and Russell 2000 up +18 points (+0.87%) [1] - Bond yields remain stable with the 10-year yield at +4.35% and the 2-year yield at +3.85% [2] - Oil prices are stable, with WTI at $65 per barrel and ICE Brent crude at $67 [2] Housing Market - The Case-Shiller Home Price Index reports a +2.7% year-over-year increase in home prices, which is below the expected +4% growth [3] - New York City leads in price growth at +7.9%, followed by Chicago at +6.0% and Detroit at +5.5%, while Tampa shows a decline of -2.2% [4] - Thirty-year fixed mortgage rates were in the mid-6% range for most of April, with expectations of further challenges as rates approach 7% [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to testify before the House Financial Services Committee regarding the economy's health and potential interest rate cuts [5] - Powell's previous statements indicate a steady Fed funds rate of 4.25-4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting, with no significant changes expected in his upcoming appearances [6] Consumer Confidence - The June Consumer Confidence index is anticipated to rise to a consensus of 99.5, following a previous increase to 98.0, after a significant drop to 85.7 due to "Liberation Day" tariffs [7] - Historical data shows Consumer Confidence peaked at nearly 140 in 2018 and fell below 30 during the 2009 financial crisis [8]
Mohamed El-Erian: There's is debate whether Middle East conflict will escalate
CNBC Television· 2025-06-23 15:36
Go to CNBC. com. Meeting.>> Investors digesting geopolitical headlines. As the US entered the war between Iran and Israel this weekend. Joining us now to help us understand the economic implications is Allianz chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian.Mohamed, always good to have you. Are you surprised at the market's reaction thus far, both in the equity markets and perhaps the oil markets as well, to something we've not seen before, namely those attacks by the US on the nuclear installations. >> Thanks for ...
Unaudited Interim Results
Globenewswire· 2025-06-19 06:00
Core Viewpoint - The Company reported a decline in net asset value (NAV) and total return for the six months ending March 31, 2025, reflecting challenging market conditions and investment performance [3][4][13]. Financial Highlights - NAV per share decreased from 40.55p to 34.48p, representing a total return of -8.19% [4][13]. - Market capitalization fell from £150.60 million to £124.25 million [4]. - Share price also declined from 42.20p to 33.80p, with a share price discount to NAV per share of 1.97% [4]. - Dividends paid per share increased from 1.50p to 2.75p during the period [4][6]. Investment Activity - The Company invested £3.6 million in qualifying companies during the period, maintaining 92.29% of its portfolio in qualifying investments [6][30]. - An offer for subscription launched on October 9, 2024, aimed to raise up to £20 million, with £5.4 million raised by issuing 14 million shares [6][31]. Performance of Qualifying Investments - Positive contributors included Aquis Exchange (+95.8%, +£1.71 million) and Cohort (+26.1%, +£1.12 million) due to increased defense spending [15][16]. - Negative contributors included Kidly (-100.00%, -£1.26 million) which went into administration, and Zoo Digital (-74.3%, -£1.14 million) which issued a disappointing trading update [20][21]. Non-Qualifying Investments - The non-qualifying portfolio saw a decline of £1.27 million, with notable losses in WH Smith and Hollywood Bowl due to a weaker economic outlook [27][28]. - The fixed income portfolio returned +£0.35 million, offsetting some losses from direct equities [29]. Market Outlook - The UK economy is expected to see a modest GDP growth of +1.0% in 2025, supported by increased public spending despite inflation concerns [10][39]. - The AIM index has shown resilience post 'Liberation Day', indicating potential growth opportunities despite ongoing market volatility [12][40]. Portfolio Structure - The Company maintained a strong liquidity position with net cash of £11.7 million and a focus on recurring revenue, which represented 82% of total revenue [26][29]. - The portfolio's weighting to qualifying investments increased to 58.4%, while cash weighting decreased to 7.6% [36].
摩根士丹利:关键预测
摩根· 2025-06-10 02:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (OW) rating on US stocks, Treasuries, and US Investment Grade Corporate Credit, while recommending a focus on quality assets [4][5][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a global growth slowdown due to the imposition of tariffs by the US, which is expected to impact demand and supply dynamics across various regions [2][8]. - Despite the anticipated slowdown, the report does not foresee a global recession, citing a strong starting point for growth entering the year [2]. - The US GDP growth is projected to decline from 2.5% in 2024 to 1.0% in both 2025 and 2026, with global growth expected to decrease from 3.5% to 2.5% in the same period [2][9]. Economic Outlook - The report anticipates a step-down in global growth, with specific forecasts indicating a 2.5% growth rate for 2025 and 2.8% for 2026 [9]. - Inflation rates are projected to be 2.1% for global inflation in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026, with the US expected to see inflation rates of 3.0% and 2.5% respectively [9]. Sector Recommendations - In the US, the report favors quality cyclicals, large caps, and defensives with lower leverage and cheaper valuations [6]. - For Japan, the focus is on domestic reflation and corporate reform beneficiaries, as well as companies involved in defense and economic security spending [6]. - In Europe, the report suggests repositioning into resilient sectors such as defense, banks, software, telecoms, and diversified financials [6]. - Emerging Markets (EM) recommendations are skewed towards financials and domestic-focused businesses over exporters and semiconductors/hardware [6]. Equity Valuations - The report provides specific price targets and earnings per share (EPS) estimates for major indices, including S&P 500 at 6,000 with a target of 6,500, and MSCI EM at 1,183 with a target of 1,200 [7]. - The expected EPS growth for S&P 500 is +7% for 2025 and +9% for 2026, while MSCI EM is projected to grow by +6% in 2025 and +10% in 2026 [7]. Currency and Interest Rate Forecasts - The report predicts a depreciation of the USD, with the DXY expected to fall by 9% to 91 by mid-2026 due to converging US rates and growth with global peers [14]. - US Treasury yields are expected to remain range-bound until late 2025, with significant rate cuts anticipated in 2026 [14][21]. Commodity Insights - Oil prices are expected to face downward pressure due to potential supply increases, with Brent prices projected to drop into the mid-$50s by 1H26 [16]. - Gold is highlighted as a top pick due to strong central bank demand and safe-haven appeal amid growth concerns [18].