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Gold Gearing Up for Another Solid Run? ETFs to Ride the Trend
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 16:16
Core Insights - Gold prices have surged 28.33% over the past six months and 64.74% year to date, with forecasts indicating further gains in the upcoming year [1][10] - Increased central bank buying, economic uncertainty, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and a weaker dollar are driving the case for greater gold exposure [2][10] Market Dynamics - A weaker U.S. dollar enhances gold demand, making it more affordable for foreign buyers; the U.S. Dollar Index has decreased by 1.06% in the past month and 9.23% year to date [3] - Interest rate cuts by the Fed are expected to weaken the dollar further, supporting gold prices; President Trump's indication of a Fed chair favoring lower rates adds to this optimistic outlook [4] Price Projections - Analysts from JPMorgan and Bank of America predict gold could reach $5,000 per troy ounce by 2026, driven by increased investor interest and geopolitical risks [5] - Morgan Stanley forecasts gold prices at $4,800 per ounce by the fourth quarter, citing stronger Chinese demand and rising central bank purchases [6] Investment Strategies - In the current market, a long-term passive investment strategy is recommended to navigate short-term disruptions; a "buy-the-dip" approach is suggested despite potential near-term pullbacks in gold prices [7][10] - Recommended ETFs for gold exposure include SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), iShares Gold Trust (IAU), and others, with GLD being the most liquid option with an asset base of $145.91 billion [11][12] Gold Miners ETFs - Gold miners ETFs provide exposure to the gold mining industry, which can amplify gains and losses; options include VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) [13] - GDX is noted for its liquidity and significant asset base of $25.17 billion, with SGDM and SGDJ being the most cost-effective options for annual fees [14]
Gold Edges Higher, Aided by Fed Rate-Cut Prospects
WSJ· 2025-12-17 00:05
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have increased due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, which typically enhance the attractiveness of non-interest-bearing precious metals [1] Group 1 - The anticipation of Fed rate cuts is a significant factor driving gold prices higher [1]
US November Payrolls Rise 64,000, Unemployment Rate Edges Up to 4.6%
Youtube· 2025-12-16 14:37
Group 1 - The market is currently optimistic about potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, but the recent jobs report may not prompt immediate action in January [1] - In November, a total of 64,000 jobs were created, following a loss of 105,000 jobs in October, with 162,000 of those being government jobs [2] - The unemployment rate increased significantly from 4.44% in September to an unrounded 5.64% in November, indicating a concerning trend over the two-month period [3] Group 2 - The labor force grew by 323,000 over the two months, but the data lacks clarity on how many individuals were hired or fired during this period [4] - The Labor Department reported a stronger than normal response in the establishment survey for job creation, while the household survey showed a weaker than normal response for the unemployment rate [5] - Overall, the trend is not strongly negative, as there was a rebound in job creation after a poor October, but further analysis will depend on December's numbers [6]
A delayed jobs report and fresh inflation data will dominate markets this week
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-15 23:13
Core Viewpoint - Markets are anticipating significant updates this week that could influence stock trajectories through year-end and into 2026, particularly focusing on November jobs and inflation data [1]. Economic Data Summary - Major U.S. indexes experienced volatility at the start of the week, initially gaining before losing some momentum [2]. - The job market remains a central focus for the Federal Reserve, which recently cut rates by 25 basis points and is prioritizing labor market support over inflation control [3]. - The upcoming jobs report is particularly significant due to a delay caused by the government shutdown, with expectations of 50,000 payroll additions for November [7]. - Analysts suggest a "bad is good regime," where weaker jobs data could lead to bullish stock market reactions as it may prompt further monetary policy easing [4]. - The inflation report scheduled for Thursday is also critical, with expectations of 3.1% year-over-year growth in headline inflation and 3.0% growth in core inflation [7]. - A series of Federal Reserve speakers this week may further shape market expectations regarding interest rates for 2026 [6].
How AI stocks could 'fall a lot,' why one analyst thinks Tesla is a Sell
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-15 22:11
Hello and welcome to Market Domination Overtime. Investors on edge ahead of a big week of economic data. Jared Blickery has a look at the closing action on Wall Street.Jared. >> Yeah, thank you. Big week, but uh we're not seeing it in the majors just yet.So, the Dow kind of a lot of nothing today. You can see it's down a whopping 41 points or 9/10 or 9100s, excuse me, of 1%. NASDAQ though, I will say the tech sector saw some selling today.We saw some rotation in other sectors. We'll look at that in a minute ...
How AI stocks could 'fall a lot,' why one analyst thinks Tesla is a Sell
Youtube· 2025-12-15 22:11
Market Overview - The Dow closed down 41 points, while the NASDAQ fell about half a percent, indicating a lack of significant movement in major indices ahead of important economic data releases [1][2] - The S&P 500 equal-weighted index showed positive performance, suggesting a broader market strength despite the tech sector's decline [3] Sector Performance - The healthcare sector was the top performer, followed by utilities, while technology and energy sectors experienced declines [4] - Defensive sectors showed some strength, indicating a cautious market sentiment as investors await key reports [4] Ford's Strategic Shift - Ford announced a pivot towards gas-powered vehicles, including more trucks and hybrids, while canceling the Lightning EV pickup due to high costs [25][28] - The company plans to convert existing EV plants into truck production facilities and develop a new range-extended EV model with a 700-mile range [25][26] - Ford will also focus on battery storage solutions for grid-scale operators, acquiring battery plants previously in a joint venture with SK [25][26] Financial Implications for Ford - Ford is set to report a $19.5 billion charge related to special items, with $8 billion attributed to EV asset write-downs and $6 billion for restructuring [26][31] - The market reacted positively to Ford's announcement, with a 2% increase in stock price, indicating investor approval of the strategic changes [29][31] Tesla's Market Position - Tesla shares closed near record highs following the launch of a new robo-taxi test in Austin, although analysts view this as an incremental step rather than a significant breakthrough [37][43] - Concerns remain regarding Tesla's high valuation, with the stock trading at over 175 times 2027 EPS estimates, suggesting potential overvaluation [39][41] - The company has faced a decline in domestic sales, particularly after the expiration of the federal EV tax credit, which may impact future performance [41][43] Economic Data Insights - Upcoming economic data includes the November jobs report, with expectations of 50,000 new jobs and a 4.5% unemployment rate, which will influence the Fed's monetary policy [45][46] - Retail sales data is also anticipated, with core retail sales expected to show stronger underlying consumer strength despite a slowdown in headline sales [47]
Morgan Stanley's Katerina Simonetti talks her 2026 market outlook
Youtube· 2025-12-12 23:38
Market Outlook - The expectation for US stocks to outperform global markets in 2026 is prevalent among analysts, with a cautiously optimistic sentiment prevailing [1][4] - There is a consensus that the Federal Reserve will implement rate cuts, with three anticipated in 2026, alongside significant tax refunds and beneficial changes to tax policy for consumers and businesses [4] Technology Sector Insights - The transformative impact of AI, particularly generative AI, is acknowledged, but there is a call for cautious implementation to ensure profitability [2][3] - The focus has shifted from building AI infrastructure to effectively utilizing it and achieving profitability, which will be critical in 2026 [3] Economic Factors - Tariffs are identified as a significant concern that may have delayed effects on the economy, potentially influencing the Fed's decisions on rate cuts [6][7] - The interplay between the economy and labor conditions will be crucial in determining the Fed's actions, with the possibility of fewer rate cuts than expected posing a risk to market stability [7] Investment Strategies - The company advocates for profit-taking strategies, suggesting that investors should take some profits when stocks rise while diversifying investments into sectors that are currently underrepresented [9][10] - There is an emphasis on exploring international investment opportunities where valuations are more attractive compared to the US market [10]
Bitcoin Rebounds After Third Fed Rate Cut — Is a $100K Rally Before 2026 in Play?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-12 09:41
Is a rally possible before the end of 2026? Key Takeaways Bitcoin rebounds despite post-Fed rate cut volatility. Fed rate cuts remain supportive long term. Technical risks still loom. Bitcoin rebounded on Friday after slipping sharply following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s third interest rate cut in as many months, as investors weighed the long-term impact of looser monetary policy. Following the cut, BTC rose more than 2% over the past 24 hours to trade around $92,291 at the time of reporting, re ...
Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver Surge as Fed Cuts Rates and Labor Data Softens
FX Empire· 2025-12-12 03:15
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal research and due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in relation to complex financial instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It highlights that the information is not a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, and users are encouraged to consult competent advisors [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about cryptocurrencies, CFDs, and other financial instruments, which are described as complex and high-risk [1]. - Users are advised to carefully consider their understanding of these instruments and their ability to afford potential losses [1]. - The website encourages conducting personal research before making investment decisions and understanding the associated risks [1].
10 High-Yielding Dividend Stocks to Buy for 2026
Barrons· 2025-12-11 07:30
Core Viewpoint - A stronger economy and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts are expected to benefit dividend stocks in the upcoming year, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like AbbVie, FedEx, and Coca-Cola [1] Company Summaries - AbbVie is highlighted as a potential investment due to its strong dividend yield and resilience in a growing economy [1] - FedEx is mentioned as a favorable option, likely to benefit from increased economic activity and improved shipping demand [1] - Coca-Cola is noted for its consistent dividend payments and strong brand presence, making it an attractive choice for dividend-focused investors [1]