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Altria Stock Trading at a Discount to Industry: Buy or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 14:36
Valuation and Market Position - Altria Group, Inc. is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.46, which is below the Tobacco industry's average of 13.89, the Consumer Staples sector's 16.02, and the S&P 500's 23.46, indicating an attractive valuation [1] - Compared to major peers, Altria remains discounted, with Philip Morris International Inc. at 18.12, Turning Point Brands, Inc. at 24.78, and British American Tobacco p.l.c. at 11.82 [1] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Altria's stock rose 1.1%, outperforming Turning Point Brands' 0.9% gain and Philip Morris' 3% decline, while British American Tobacco led with a 3.4% increase [6] - The Consumer Staples sector and the tobacco industry saw declines of 0.3% and 1.2%, respectively, while the S&P 500 gained 0.8%, highlighting Altria's strong positioning [7] Financial Fundamentals - In Q3 2025, Altria's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 3.6% to $1.45, with year-to-date EPS up 5.9%, driven by higher adjusted operating companies income (OCI) and a lower share count [11] - The smokeable products segment maintained impressive adjusted OCI margins of 64.4%, supported by effective pricing strategies [11] Product Strategy - Marlboro's premium-segment share expanded to 59.6%, reinforcing Altria's pricing power and brand strength, while the Basic brand gained share without detracting from Marlboro [12] - Altria's oral tobacco portfolio, particularly the on! brand, showed growth with a nearly 1% increase in volume and adjusted OCI margins expanding to 69.2% [13] Strategic Initiatives - Altria's collaboration with KT&G aims to enhance international modern oral expansion and explore operational efficiencies in traditional tobacco [14] - The company has consistently returned cash to shareholders, marking its 60th dividend increase in 56 years, which supports its stability and long-term growth [14] Volume Challenges - Altria faces significant volume pressures, with cigarette shipment volumes falling 8.2% in Q3 and 10.6% year-to-date, attributed to macroeconomic strains and competition from unregulated flavored disposable e-vapor products [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Altria's earnings has seen mixed revisions, with the 2025 EPS estimate increasing by 1 cent to $5.44, while the 2026 estimate decreased by 1 cent to $5.56 [18] - Altria is projected to deliver solid earnings growth of 6.3% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026, despite modest adjustments [18]
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-12-09 21:26
SpaceX is reportedly going public in 2026 at a $1.5 trillion valuation.Seems too low in my opinion.One of the most important and valuable companies in the world.Will eventually be $10 trillion. ...
Competitor Analysis: Evaluating Airbnb And Competitors In Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Industry - Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB)
Benzinga· 2025-12-09 15:01
Core Insights - The article provides a comprehensive analysis of Airbnb and its competitors in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry, focusing on financial metrics, market position, and growth prospects to inform investors [1] Company Overview - Airbnb, founded in 2008, is the largest online alternative accommodation travel agency, with over 8 million active listings as of December 31, 2024, and hosts from over 190 countries [2] - In 2024, Airbnb's revenue distribution was 45% from North America, 37% from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 9% from Latin America, and 9% from Asia-Pacific [2] Financial Metrics Comparison - Airbnb's Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is 29.05, which is 0.36x lower than the industry average, indicating favorable growth potential [3] - The Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 8.59 is 0.31x lower than the industry average, suggesting potential undervaluation [3] - The Price to Sales (P/S) ratio of 6.42 is 2.1x higher than the industry average, indicating a potential overvaluation based on sales performance [3] - Airbnb's Return on Equity (ROE) is 16.76%, which is 23.82% below the industry average, suggesting inefficiency in profit generation [3] - The Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) of $1.62 billion is 0.6x below the industry average, indicating potential financial challenges [3] Profitability and Growth - Airbnb's gross profit of $3.55 billion is 1.36x above the industry average, highlighting stronger profitability from core operations [8] - The company's revenue growth of 9.73% exceeds the industry average of 9.19%, indicating strong sales performance [8] Debt-to-Equity Ratio - Airbnb has a lower debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 compared to its top 4 peers, indicating a more favorable balance between debt and equity and less reliance on debt financing [11]
Will Barrick's Higher Costs Undercut Its Profit Momentum Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 14:26
Core Insights - Barrick Mining Corporation's third-quarter profits increased due to higher gold prices, but higher unit costs negatively impacted results [1][7] - The company experienced a 12% year-over-year decline in consolidated gold production, attributed partly to the suspension of operations at the Loulo-Gounkoto mine [2][7] - Barrick's projected cash costs and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) for 2025 indicate a year-over-year increase at the midpoint of the respective ranges [3][7] Financial Performance - Barrick's cash costs per ounce of gold rose approximately 3% year over year, while AISC increased around 2% year over year, with AISC reported at $1,538 [1][3] - The company's shares have surged 158.4% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 134.1% [6] Peer Comparison - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported total cash costs per ounce of $994, an 8% increase year over year, with AISC at $1,373, reflecting a 7% year-over-year rise [4] - Newmont Corporation lowered its AISC to $1,566 per ounce, a 3% decrease from the prior year, while projecting an increase to $1,630 per ounce in 2025 [5] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Barrick's earnings in 2025 and 2026 suggests a year-over-year increase of 77.8% and 51.9%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [8] Valuation Metrics - Barrick is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.03, which is about a 7.5% discount compared to the industry average of 13.01X [9]
Pizza Pizza Royalty: Why QSR Pizza's Bad Quarter Doesn't Break The Long-Term Thesis
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-08 20:32
Core Insights - The article highlights the expertise of a seasoned equity analyst specializing in the U.S. restaurant industry, covering various segments from quick-service to fine dining [1] - The analyst employs advanced financial modeling and sector-specific KPIs to identify hidden value in public equities, particularly focusing on micro and small-cap companies often overlooked by mainstream analysts [1] Company and Industry Analysis - The research firm, Goulart's Restaurant Stocks, is dedicated to thematic research and valuation efforts within the restaurant sector, indicating a strong focus on uncovering investment opportunities [1] - The analyst's background includes an MBA in Controllership and Accounting Forensics, along with a Bachelor's in Business Administration, which supports a robust analytical framework for evaluating companies [1] - The firm also covers related sectors such as consumer discretionary, food & beverage, and casinos & gaming, suggesting a comprehensive approach to market analysis [1]
Market Loves Affirm at 54.6X Premium Valuation: But is Love Blind?
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 17:01
Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is currently valued significantly higher than its industry peers, with a forward P/E multiple of 54.61X compared to the industry average of 34.17X, raising questions about whether the market is recognizing its growth potential or overvaluing it [1][4][21] - The company has shown a 27.8% increase in free cash flow over the past year, reaching $769 million, but its P/FCF of 30.78X is still above the industry average of 28.26X, indicating strong investor confidence in its growth prospects [2][4] - Analysts maintain a positive sentiment towards Affirm, with an average price target of $94.77, suggesting nearly 38% upside potential despite the high valuation multiples [4][21] Financial Performance - Affirm ended the latest fiscal quarter with $1.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents, a 5.5% increase from fiscal 2025, while its funding debt rose to $1.8 billion, resulting in a long-term debt-to-capital ratio of 70.62%, significantly higher than the industry average of 13.38% [8][21] - The company has achieved an 11.6% stock gain year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 10.2%, although it still lags behind the broader S&P 500 Index [9][21] Competitive Landscape - Affirm faces intense competition from well-funded rivals like PayPal and Block, which are expanding aggressively into the BNPL space, supported by their established merchant networks [12][21] - A notable setback occurred when Walmart switched from Affirm to Klarna for its installment options, highlighting the rapid competitive innovations in the payments sector [13][21] Growth Potential - Affirm's growth narrative remains strong, with 96% of transactions in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 coming from repeat customers, indicating a solid user engagement strategy [15][21] - The company is expanding into everyday spending categories, with transactions increasing by 52.2% year-over-year to 41.4 million in the latest quarter [16][21] - The Affirm Card has emerged as a significant growth driver, with 500,000 new cardmembers added in the last quarter and GMV rising 135% to $1.4 billion [17][21] - International expansion is underway, with partnerships like Shopify entering new markets such as France, Germany, and the Netherlands, enhancing its network effect with 420,000 merchant partners and 24.1 million active consumers [18][21] Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a nearly 567% year-over-year increase in earnings for fiscal 2026, reaching $1 per share, with revenue growth projected at 26% for fiscal 2026 and 22.8% for fiscal 2027 [19][20][21] - Affirm has consistently exceeded earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 129.3% [20][21]
4 Things to Watch With DECK Stock in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-06 17:06
Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor has faced significant challenges in 2025, resulting in a 53% decline in stock value year-to-date, raising questions about its ability to recover in 2026 [2][4]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Environment - The primary challenge for Deckers in 2025 has been weakening consumer spending in the U.S., impacting not only Deckers but also other consumer discretionary companies like Lululemon and Nike [5]. - Revenue growth slowed to 9% year-over-year in the fiscal second quarter, with domestic sales increasing only 1.7%, while international sales grew by 29.3%, now accounting for over 40% of total revenue [6]. Group 2: Performance in New Markets - Growth in international markets, particularly in China and the EMEA region, is crucial for Deckers' long-term growth strategy, with the company opening its first store in Germany [9]. - Hoka has shown strong performance in major European markets, gaining market share and experiencing growth in the direct-to-consumer channel [10]. Group 3: Margin Strength - Deckers has historically maintained high gross margins, which improved from 55.9% to 56.2% despite disappointing second-quarter results, indicating effective management of product pricing [11]. Group 4: Valuation - Following a decline of over 50% in 2025, Deckers' stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14, suggesting that significant weakness is already reflected in the stock price [13]. - If the valuation decreases further, it may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, assuming the company can stabilize its business [14].