Now that the Supreme Court is fast-tracking the Trump administration's appeal of the lower court rulings that he exceeded his authority by issuing sweeping tariffs without Congress, thousands of businesses may get what they wanted, some certainty. The high stakes arguments are slated for the first week of November. And joining us now, a man at the center of the lawsuit against the Trump administration, Victor Owen Schwarz, owner of Wine Importer VOS Selections in New York.Also with us, his attorney, Jeffrey ...

Deutsche Bank upping its target from 6550 to 7,000. That's back to its original forecast from the beginning of the year and that is now the second highest target on the street. Here with us with his call is Binky Chada, chief global strategist at Deutsch uh Deutsche Bank.Good to see you Binky. Good to see you Mike. So your the path of your target somewhat reflects the way the market has experienced this year, right.I mean it's a a major scare. We needed to re-evaluate a lot of things. tariffs, the economy, ...

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank has raised its target from 6,550 to 7,000, returning to its original forecast for the year, which is now the second highest target on the market [1]. Market Impact and Economic Factors - The market experienced a significant shock due to tariffs, prompting a reevaluation of various economic factors, including the economy and Federal Reserve policies [2]. - Despite initial negative expectations regarding tariffs, their impact on growth and inflation has been minimal, with earnings growth actually increasing in the second quarter [3]. - Companies have indicated that while the tariffs are a shock, they are manageable, leading to a return to the 7,000 target [4]. Market Positioning and Investor Sentiment - The market is currently at new highs, suggesting that many investors have entered the market, leading to an overweight position [5]. - Systematic strategies have contributed to the market being overweight, while discretionary investors have maintained a neutral position for the past two months, indicating potential upside [6]. Earnings and Buybacks - The combination of market positioning, potential inflows, and buybacks supports the argument for an 8% increase, aligning with the 7,000 target [6]. - If earnings remain stable, buybacks are expected to continue, further supporting market growth [6]. Interest Rates and Market Dynamics - The impact of potential rate cuts is under discussion, with considerations on whether cuts of 50 or 75 basis points by year-end will significantly affect the market [7]. - Current pricing in the market reflects expectations around rates, with medium to long-term rates being more influential than short-term rates [8]. - Near-term rate changes are viewed as less critical unless they deliver a significant surprise [9].

Group 1 - The company is focused on the western part of the country and primarily serves small business customers [1] - There is a cautious outlook regarding the impact of elevated inflation, higher interest rates, and tariff uncertainty on borrowers [2] - Despite concerns, the current business environment remains reasonably stable, with ongoing customer engagement [3]

Market Overview - Market catalysts discuss the market news for September 10, 2025 [1] - The discussion includes market frothiness and market rotation [1] - Crypto is playing a part in the market's froth [1] Legal and Economic Implications - The US Supreme Court will hear President Trump's appeal of a lower court's ruling that most of the president's global tariffs are illegal [1] - Possible resolutions for Trump's tariff case and what they could mean for markets and the US economy are discussed [1] Resources - Yahoo Finance provides free stock ticker data, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, comprehensive market data, advanced tools, and more information [1]

Mexico is looking to raise tariffs on cars made in Asia to as much as 50%, according to Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard https://t.co/ICGF2dztR4 ...

Summary of Global-E Online FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Global-E Online Ltd (NasdaqGS:GLBE) - **Industry**: Cross-border e-commerce Key Points Policy and Tariff Impact - The enforcement of tariffs has not significantly impacted Global-E's business, with the U.S. market representing only about 12% of the company's Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) [2][3][4] - Luxury and celebrity brands have shown resilience to price increases due to tariffs, as consumers are less sensitive to price changes [4][5] - Brands are adjusting prices globally rather than specifically for the U.S. market to avoid social media backlash over price differentiation [4][5] - The removal of the de minimis exemption for products from China and Hong Kong affected about 3% of Global-E's market, but overall impact was minimal [13][18][21] - The company does not anticipate major disruptions in trade patterns despite tariff changes, as the U.S. tariffs are comparable to those imposed by other countries [22][23] Growth Drivers - The introduction of the 3B2C model is seen as a significant growth driver, allowing brands to reduce duty burdens by setting up a local entity in the U.S. [27][28] - The onboarding process for brands to switch to the 3B2C model is quick, taking only days to weeks [31][36] - There is growing interest from both existing and new brands in the 3B2C model due to the desire to offload duty management [36][41] - The company has a positive outlook for the second half of the year, with strong trading patterns and successful onboarding of multiple brands [43][44] AI and Technology - Global-E views AI as an opportunity rather than a threat, leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiencies and customer service [48][52] - The company has automated over 50% of its customer service operations using AI and is working on extending AI support to merchants [51][52] - Proprietary data and a service layer are critical to Global-E's operations, making it difficult for AI to replicate their business model [49][50] Shopify Partnership - The new multi-year partnership with Shopify focuses on a white-label solution for small-sized merchants, which is expected to unlock significant growth potential [55][56] - The partnership has evolved from an exclusive agreement to a more open model, which Global-E believes will not negatively impact its market position [61][62] - The company anticipates maintaining high win rates on Shopify, similar to other platforms, despite the changes in partnership dynamics [62] Other Considerations - The company has not provided specific guidance for 2026 but maintains a positive multi-year outlook based on current trends and brand onboarding success [43][44] - The management expresses confidence in their ability to navigate the evolving market landscape and capitalize on growth opportunities [44][62]

Core Insights - The effectiveness of recent investments and tariffs in revitalizing U.S. manufacturing is uncertain and varies by industry [1][5][6] - The Trump administration claims that its tariff policies have spurred significant investments in manufacturing [5][6] - Major companies like TSMC and Apple are making substantial commitments to expand operations in the U.S., but challenges remain [21][22] Investment Commitments - Pratt Industries has pledged a $5 billion investment to "reindustrialize America" [3] - TSMC announced an additional $100 billion investment to expand its manufacturing footprint in Arizona, building on a previous $65 billion commitment [10][21] - Apple plans to invest an additional $100 billion on top of a previously announced $500 billion for expansions across 10 states [21][22] Tariff Implications - Trump's tariffs have created uncertainty, leading to hesitance in investment and hiring among manufacturers [15][16] - A federal appeals court ruled that Trump's use of emergency powers for tariffs was illegal, with a Supreme Court review pending [7] - Tariffs have raised costs for U.S. manufacturers reliant on imported raw materials and components [20][23] Market Dynamics - The semiconductor sector is particularly affected, with companies like Texas Instruments and TSMC making large investments amid competitive pressures [9][11] - The reliance on global supply chains remains critical, as U.S. manufacturers sourced 31% of their intermediate inputs from imports [21][20] - Economic uncertainty and high tariff costs are impacting profit margins and investment decisions for companies [24][23]

Group 1: Wholesale Price Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) declined by 0.1% in August, contrary to expectations of a 0.3% increase, indicating that businesses are absorbing tariff costs [1][6] - Core PPI, excluding food and energy, also fell by 0.1% month-over-month, with a year-over-year increase of 2.8% [2] - Companies are reportedly holding off on price hikes due to factors such as foreign suppliers discounting, weak domestic demand, and uncertainty regarding future tariff rates [7] Group 2: Impact of Tariffs - Some imported goods, like tobacco and coffee, showed significant price increases, with tobacco rising by 2.3% in August and coffee prices increasing by 6.9%, marking a 33.3% rise over the past year [3] - Overall, wholesalers and retailers have been slow to pass tariff costs onto consumers, as they are aware of consumer inflation concerns [4] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Response - Services prices dropped by 0.2% in August, contributing to the overall decline in the PPI, with trade services experiencing a 1.7% drop, the largest since 2009 [10] - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates, with traders placing 100% odds on a cut at the upcoming meeting, driven by tame inflation data [8][10] - The labor market shows signs of weakness, with average payroll growth at just 29,000 over the past three months, below the breakeven level needed to maintain steady unemployment [12]

Group 1 - The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data indicates a slight decline, which contrasts with persistent price pressures above the Federal Reserve's target [3][7] - Core inflation, measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy, increased to 2.9% in July, while the core consumer price index rose at a 3.1% annual rate [3][5] - The PPI unexpectedly decreased by 0.1% in August, with service costs falling by 0.2%, while the annual increase was 2.6%, surpassing the Fed's long-term inflation target of 2% [7] Group 2 - Traders in interest rate futures have raised the likelihood of a 0.75 percentage point cut in the benchmark interest rate by December, with a 73% probability noted [4] - Fed officials have shown concern regarding signs of weakness in the job market and are leaning towards loosening monetary policy despite inflation being above target [5] - Import duties are expected to raise prices by 1% to 1.5% temporarily, with the impact fading by the second half of 2026 [6]