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2025年中国海水制氢行业产业链、发展现状、海上制氢重点项目及发展趋势研判:技术突破赋能,海水制氢开启场景拓展与集群发展新篇章[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-05-02 23:11
Core Insights - The Chinese offshore hydrogen production industry is making significant breakthroughs, transitioning from demonstration to large-scale commercial applications, showcasing a multi-dimensional development trend [1] - Key projects include the Zhoushan Hydrogen Island, which has achieved stable operation with an annual production of 5,000 tons of hydrogen, and the "Hai Hydrogen 1" platform, which is set to begin trial operations [15][1] - The industry aims to establish a global leading hydrogen-based energy network through technological iteration, scenario expansion, and ecosystem construction [23] Industry Overview - Offshore hydrogen production utilizes marine resources to generate green hydrogen through seawater electrolysis or renewable energy sources like offshore wind and solar power [2] - The technology addresses freshwater resource scarcity and the instability of green electricity, providing new pathways for comprehensive marine energy utilization [2] Technological Pathways - Offshore hydrogen production can be categorized into three main types: direct seawater electrolysis, seawater desalination followed by electrolysis, and biological/thermochemical hydrogen production [3] - Direct seawater electrolysis is cost-effective but faces corrosion challenges, while desalination methods are mature but more expensive [5][3] Industry Chain Development - The Chinese offshore hydrogen industry chain is forming a complete system, transitioning from demonstration to commercialization, with a focus on renewable energy development, seawater desalination, and key material production [7] - The midstream focuses on technological integration, with established pathways for direct electrolysis, desalination, and floating platforms [7] Market Dynamics - China's offshore wind power capacity has rapidly developed, with new installations reaching 40.27 million kilowatts, marking a 9.47% year-on-year increase [8] - The global hydrogen market is expected to see a significant increase in renewable energy's share, with hydrogen's contribution projected to rise from less than 1% to 14% by 2050 [11] Competitive Landscape - The industry features a three-tier competitive structure comprising state-owned enterprises, local energy groups, and specialized technology firms, with state-owned enterprises dominating large-scale projects [19] - Key players include China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, and various local energy companies [2][19] Future Trends - The industry is expected to see technological upgrades and large-scale applications, with a focus on high-power, intelligent, and low-cost solutions [23] - Spatial development will progress from nearshore to deep-sea projects, maximizing the utilization of China's vast marine resources [24] - A complete value network encompassing technology, industry, and ecology is anticipated, contributing to significant carbon emission reductions by 2030 [25]
惠柏新材2025年一季度营收增长148% 扭亏为盈实现开门红
Core Viewpoint - The company, Huibei New Materials, reported a significant increase in revenue and profit in both its 2024 annual report and 2025 Q1 report, driven by strong market demand for its epoxy resin products, particularly in the wind power sector [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.04% [1] - The revenue from epoxy resin for wind turbine blades was 1.096 billion yuan, while new composite materials and electronic insulation epoxy resin generated revenues of 234 million yuan and 86 million yuan, reflecting increases of 32.84% and 13.96% respectively [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 493 million yuan, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 148%, and a net profit of 8.82 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1][3]. Market Position and Product Development - Huibei New Materials is a leading player in the specialty modified epoxy resin sector, with a strong focus on wind power applications [2] - The company has established a solid customer base, including major domestic wind turbine manufacturers, and has received positive feedback for its products [2] - The company has expanded its product line to include various types of epoxy resins, which has contributed to steady revenue growth [3]. Industry Trends - The deep-sea wind power sector is expected to become a key growth area, with government initiatives promoting floating offshore wind projects [4] - China is projected to maintain its leadership in offshore wind power, with new installed capacity expected to exceed 4 GW in 2024, accounting for over 50% of the global market share [4] - The domestic wind power market is anticipated to reach new highs, with new installations expected to hit 110 GW to 120 GW in 2025 [4]. Capacity Expansion - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion to meet rising market demand, with a new factory in Zhuhai set to produce 82,000 tons of new electronic materials annually [5] - The Zhuhai project, with an investment of approximately 400 million yuan, will also introduce high-end LED packaging materials and functional high-purity solid epoxy resins [5] - The growth in demand for core products in wind power, electronic components, and transportation is expected to further enhance the company's growth potential [5].
明阳智能(601615):Q1业绩修复 看好欧洲海风订单落地
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported lower-than-expected annual performance for 2024, primarily due to delays in power station transfers and increased asset impairment losses, but maintains a strong position in the offshore wind sector and a leading layout in Europe, sustaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 27.158 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 346 million yuan, down 8.12% year-on-year [1] - In Q4, the company reported revenue of 6.922 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter declines of 1.29% and 17.99% respectively, and a net profit of -462 million yuan, indicating a shift from profit to loss [1] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded revenue of 7.704 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.30%, with a net profit of 302 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.70% but a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 165.33% [2] Group 2: Market Outlook - The government has emphasized the development of offshore wind power and identified deep-sea technology as a strategic emerging industry, which is expected to support high growth in installed capacity [2] - The company is well-positioned as a domestic leader in offshore wind, with a strong order backlog expected to be gradually delivered, enhancing profitability through effective cost control and improved operational efficiency [2] - In Europe, increased policy support for offshore wind is anticipated to drive significant growth in installed capacity, with a forecast of 11.8 GW of new installations by 2030, corresponding to a CAGR of 28.6% from 2025 to 2030 [3] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to potential impacts from new energy market entry and reduced grid electricity prices, the company has adjusted its assumptions for electricity prices and gross margins, leading to a downward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.206 billion yuan, 3.130 billion yuan, and 3.992 billion yuan, respectively, with reductions of 13.5% and 10.6% for 2025 and 2026 [4] - The company is assigned a target price of 13.58 yuan based on a 14x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting its solid leadership in offshore wind and advantageous positioning in the European market [4]
亨通光电(600487):在手订单充沛 25Q1扣非归母净利润增速显著
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating robust business development across various sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 59.984 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.769 billion yuan, up 28.6% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.268 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.6%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 24.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 557 million yuan, up 8.5% year-on-year and 22.6% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Business Segment Performance - The company's business segments showed varied performance in 2024: - Optical Communication: Revenue of 6.562 billion yuan, down 11.0%, with a gross margin of 25.59%, down 3.77 percentage points [2]. - Smart Grid: Revenue of 22.184 billion yuan, up 14.7%, with a gross margin of 12.58%, down 0.99 percentage points [2]. - Marine Energy and Communication: Revenue of 5.738 billion yuan, up 69.6%, with a gross margin of 33.53%, up 1.91 percentage points [2]. - Industrial and New Energy Intelligence: Revenue of 6.766 billion yuan, up 18.1%, with a gross margin of 13.27%, down 1.86 percentage points [2]. - Copper Conductor: Revenue of 15.007 billion yuan, up 50.9%, with a gross margin of 1.15%, down 1.16 percentage points [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company maintained steady growth in its ultra-high voltage, smart grid, industrial and new energy intelligence, and marine energy and communication sectors, contributing to a significant increase in net profit [2]. Order Backlog and Market Outlook - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a substantial order backlog, including approximately 18 billion yuan in orders for subsea cables, marine engineering, and land cable products, and around 8 billion yuan for marine communication projects [3]. - The offshore wind sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with several projects ready to commence construction in 2025, which may lead to further growth for the company [3]. - The company has recently won multiple contracts in the offshore wind and marine oil and gas sectors, totaling 1.133 billion yuan [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the offshore wind sector and the steady development of its various business lines. Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.467 billion yuan, 4.246 billion yuan, and 4.772 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE multiples of 11x, 9x, and 8x [4].
AI产业发展持续向好,海风和卫星通信展现积极进展
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-28 15:33
行业报告 | 行业研究周报 通信 证券研究报告 AI 产业发展持续向好,海风和卫星通信展现积极进展 本周(04.21-04.25)行业动态: 垣信卫星与泰国国家电信达成战略合作 2025 年 4 月 24 日,上海垣信卫星与泰国国家电信正式签订战略合作框架协议,双 方将以深化商业航天及低轨卫星互联网业务合作为基础,携手推动泰国数字经济发 展。双方合作围绕卫星互联网与垂直行业的融合,探索新技术市场空间,通过市场 化运营实现互利共赢,共同开发低轨卫星新商业模式。 2GW 海上风电投资项目签约 近日,阿塞拜疆总统伊尔哈姆·阿利耶夫来华进行国事访问期间,中能建海外投资 有限公司副总经理与阿塞拜疆能源部副部长代表双方签署阿塞拜疆 2GW 海上风电 投资项目实施协议。本次签约的项目位于阿塞拜疆首都巴库东部里海海域,场址距 离陆地最近距离约 26 公里,场址面积约为 545 平方公里。 本周(04.21-04.25)投资观点: 近期进入公司年报业绩期,同时由于外部政治环境动荡扰动,市场波动较为剧烈, 整体情绪较为低落。但我们仍然看好 AI 行业作为年度投资主线,后续伴随着 DeepSeek R2/V4 等以及包括 Agen ...
明阳电气:业绩稳定兑现,后续双海+数据中心有望贡献增量业绩-20250428
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-28 01:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved stable performance in 2024, with revenue of 6.444 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.62%, and a net profit of 663 million yuan, up 33.8% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 showed revenue of 1.306 billion yuan, a 26.21% increase year-on-year [1][4] - The company is expected to benefit from the growth in offshore wind power and data center sectors, which are anticipated to contribute to incremental performance in the future [1][3] Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financials**: Revenue reached 6.444 billion yuan, net profit was 663 million yuan, and the gross margin was 22.29% [1] - **2025 Q1 Financials**: Revenue was 1.306 billion yuan, net profit was 112 million yuan, with a gross margin of 21.78% [1] - **Revenue Growth**: The company expects revenue to grow to 8.615 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 33.7% [4] - **Profit Forecast**: Projected net profit for 2025 is 888 million yuan, reflecting a 34% year-on-year increase [4] Business Segment Analysis - **Box-type Substation**: Revenue of 4.239 billion yuan, up 22.60% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 21.13% [2] - **Transformers**: Revenue of 1.074 billion yuan, a significant increase of 56.12%, with a gross margin of 25.42% [2] - **Complete Switchgear**: Revenue of 674 million yuan, up 32.65%, with an improved gross margin of 18.06% [2] Strategic Developments - The company has made technological breakthroughs in offshore wind power, including the launch of a 66kV prefabricated intelligent offshore booster system, which has been successfully applied in major projects [2] - The company is expanding its presence in the data center market with the MyPower module, which has secured significant orders from leading internet companies [3] - The company is pursuing a global expansion strategy, focusing on high-margin overseas markets, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia [3]
天顺风能(002531):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:走在转型路上
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 09:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with revenue at 4.86 billion yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year, and net profit at 204 million yuan, down 74.3% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is undergoing a transformation, focusing on offshore wind power and marine engineering equipment manufacturing, while completing the orderly contraction and internal integration of its onshore equipment business [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 7.42 billion yuan, 8.61 billion yuan, and 9.81 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 760 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.30 billion yuan [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 19.53% and a net margin of 4.19%, both declining year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 23.48% and a net margin of 7.51%, with revenue of 926 million yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - Wind Tower Segment: Revenue of 1.67 billion yuan in 2024, down 47.98%, with a gross margin of 7.15% [2]. - Marine Engineering: Revenue of 429 million yuan in 2024, down 71.59%, with a gross margin of 3.08% [2]. - Blade Segment: Revenue of 1.25 billion yuan in 2024, down 20.59%, with a negative gross margin of -0.72% [2]. Future Outlook - The company aims to leverage its manufacturing synergies from its coastal bases in China and Germany to enhance its global capacity layout [3]. - The establishment of a zero-carbon industrial division headquarters in Wuhan is part of the company's strategic upgrade [3].
明阳智能:Q1业绩修复,看好欧洲海风订单落地-20250427
HTSC· 2025-04-27 08:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.58 RMB [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 27.158 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 346 million RMB, down 8.12% year-on-year. The fourth quarter revenue was 6.922 billion RMB, showing a decline both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The report highlights the company's strong position in the offshore wind sector, particularly in Europe, where policy support is expected to drive significant growth in installations. The company has a leading position in offshore wind and is well-positioned to benefit from high demand in this area [1][3]. - The company is expected to see a substantial increase in offshore wind shipments due to ongoing projects in key regions such as Guangdong and Jiangsu, with a strong order backlog anticipated to support revenue growth [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2024, with a forecasted recovery in subsequent years, projecting revenues of 38.101 billion RMB in 2025, 48.817 billion RMB in 2026, and 53.871 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 40.29%, 28.13%, and 10.35% respectively [5]. - The net profit is expected to rebound significantly, with projections of 2.206 billion RMB in 2025, 3.130 billion RMB in 2026, and 3.992 billion RMB in 2027, indicating growth rates of 537.32%, 41.88%, and 27.54% respectively [5]. Market Outlook - The report notes that the European offshore wind market is projected to add 11.8 GW of new installations by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.6% from 2025 to 2030. This growth is expected to benefit the company significantly [3]. - The government has emphasized the development of offshore wind power as a strategic industry, which is likely to enhance the company's prospects in deep-sea projects, supported by its advanced floating wind turbine technology [2]. Valuation - The report adjusts the company's profit forecasts downward due to anticipated changes in electricity pricing and investment returns, projecting net profits of 2.206 billion RMB for 2025, 3.130 billion RMB for 2026, and 3.992 billion RMB for 2027. The target price is set at 13.58 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 14 times for 2025 [4][6].
风电设备行业点评:海风项目进展加快,重视海风行业机会
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-04-24 14:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the wind power equipment industry is "Positive" (first-time rating) [2] Core Viewpoints - The offshore wind industry is expected to enter a period of intensive construction, with sufficient project reserves ready to commence [7] - The trend towards high voltage and direct current in submarine cables is evident, benefiting leading cable manufacturers [7] - European offshore wind is anticipated to develop on a large scale, with domestic manufacturers likely to accelerate their overseas expansion due to capacity shortages [7] - Domestic offshore wind projects are expected to have a high degree of certainty in performance release once operational [7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The offshore wind sector has experienced a downturn for three consecutive years, with new installations dropping significantly from a peak of 16.9 GW in 2021 to 5.1 GW, 6.3 GW, and 4.0 GW in 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [7] Project Developments - In Guangdong, several projects are moving into full construction, with 7 GW across 15 projects approved in 2024 [7] - Jiangsu has initiated three projects totaling 2.65 GW, with further projects expected to commence in 2025 [7] - Shanghai is progressing with preliminary work on a 4.3 GW offshore wind demonstration project [7] Market Trends - The adoption of higher voltage submarine cables is becoming crucial for cost reduction, with leading companies like Dongfang Cable, Zhongtian Technology, and Hengtong Optic-Electric securing significant contracts [7] - European offshore wind capacity is projected to exceed 10 GW by 2028 and 20 GW by 2030, creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to meet overseas demand [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on Dongfang Cable, with additional attention on Zhongtian Technology, Daikin Heavy Industries, Haili Wind Power, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Changlan Technology [7]
风电|国内外海上风电景气度有望持续提升
中信证券研究· 2025-04-23 00:15
文 | 华鹏伟 林劼 国内外海上风电景气度有望持续提升,从而带动产业链出货量增加。国内来看,2 0 2 5年国内新增海上风电的规模有望超过 1 2GW,同比增长有望翻倍,且随着深远海海上风电项目的启动,中长期稳定增长有望获得保障;海外来看,虽然欧洲新建海 风规模为2 . 6GW,同比下降3 0%,但2 0 2 4年欧洲风电核准数量为1 9 . 9GW,同比增长4 6 . 3%,为后续项目发展提供了充足的储 备,2 0 2 5 - 2 0 3 0年,欧洲海风有望迎来新的增长周期。国内外海上风电的发展将带动产业链出货量的增加,且很多企业也把海 上和海外的"两海"战略作为重点,我们建议关注风机、海缆、桩基、铸锻件等环节。 新增风电装机低于预期,多种因素可能影响海上风电装机,贸易壁垒可能对风电整机和零部件出口产生影响,原材料价格波 动。 ▍ 投资策略。 风电行业景气提升,国内外海上风电都有望迎来较快增长,且国内风电零部件已经实现了海外市场的拓展。在国内外海上风电 需求的带动下,对此产业链有所布局的公司也将因此受益。我们建议关注整机以及海缆、桩基、铸锻件等环节。 ▍ 开工项目多,国内海上风电有望迎来较快增长。 成本下降 ...