证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 大金重工（002487） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，向全 套解决方案服务商进发！ 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 9,092 | 11,867 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 34.66 | 30.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.87 | 1,125.70 | 1,786.97 | 2,570.93 | | 同比（%） | (5.58) | 11.46 | 137.55 | 58.74 | 43.87 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 0.74 | 1.77 | 2.80 | 4.03 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 94.49 | 84.77 | 35.69 | 22.48 | 15.63 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭亚男 执业证书：S0600523070003 guoyn@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 胡隽颖 大金重工（002487） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，向全 套解决方案服务商进发！ 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,325 | 3,780 | 6,752 | 9,092 | 11,867 | | 同比（%） | (15.30) | (12.61) | 78.63 | 34.66 | 30.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 425.16 | 473.87 | 1,125.70 | 1,786.97 | 2 ...

Market Overview - On January 28, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% to 4151.24 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.09% to 14342.89 points, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% to 3323.56 points [1] - The gold concept sector continued to rise, with strong performances also seen in phosphate chemicals, scarce resources, and minor metals, while sectors such as TOPCon batteries, perovskite batteries, and space station concepts experienced declines [1] Fund Manager Changes - On January 28, 26 fund managers experienced changes in their positions, with a total of 545 fund products having manager changes in the past 30 days (December 29 to January 28) [3] - On the same day, 38 fund products announced fund manager departures, involving 6 fund managers. The reasons for these changes included personal reasons, completion of agency roles, and job changes [3] Fund Manager Performance - Fund manager He Jiaqi from Huaxia Fund currently manages assets totaling 15.184 billion yuan, with the highest return product being Huaxia Dingli Bond A (002459), achieving a return of 104.14% over 9 years and 71 days [4] - Fund manager Sun Meng from Huaxia Fund manages assets of 14.764 billion yuan, with the highest return product being Huaxia Zhisheng Value Growth A (002871), which achieved a return of 162.46% over 5 years and 318 days [5] Fund Manager Appointments - On January 28, 64 fund products announced new fund manager appointments involving 21 fund managers [5] - Notable new appointments include Sun Meng as the manager for Huaxia Dingli Bond A and Huaxia Dingli Bond C [5] Fund Research Activity - In the past month (December 29 to January 28), Bosera Fund conducted the most company research, engaging with 47 listed companies, followed by Huaxia Fund, Guotai Fund, and Southern Fund, which researched 47, 38, and 38 companies respectively [8] - The chemical products industry was the most researched sector, with 205 instances, followed by the automotive parts industry with 176 instances [8] Individual Stock Research - The most researched stock in the past month was Dajin Heavy Industry, with 67 fund management companies participating in the research. Dajin Heavy Industry specializes in offshore wind power equipment [9] - In the last week (January 21 to January 28), Dajin Heavy Industry remained the top researched company, followed by Sanqi Interactive Entertainment and Xingchen Technology, with 42 and 23 fund institutions respectively [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance and growth potential of Dajin Heavy Industry, driven by Europe's need to reduce reliance on Russian energy and increase local renewable energy production, with Dajin positioned as a key player in offshore wind infrastructure [1][8]. Group 1: Company Performance - Dajin Heavy Industry has become the number one provider of offshore wind infrastructure in Europe, benefiting from the ongoing development of offshore wind projects [1][10]. - The company's stock has reached historical highs, reflecting the market's confidence in its growth prospects [1][8]. - Dajin's recent innovations, including a multi-purpose transport vessel for wind power equipment, have significantly enhanced its operational efficiency and market position [5][14][15]. Group 2: Financial Outlook - Dajin Heavy Industry's overseas orders have reached 10 billion, with an expected delivery of 400,000 tons by the second quarter of 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [7][16]. - Market expectations for Dajin's earnings in the coming year range from 1.7 billion to 2 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 40%-50% anticipated [7][16]. - The company is projected to achieve a price-to-earnings ratio of 17-20 times based on its current market capitalization of 33.5 billion [7][16]. Group 3: Legal Issues - Dajin Heavy Industry is currently facing a lawsuit regarding a construction contract dispute, with potential liabilities amounting to 570 million, which is significant compared to its projected net profit [4][13]. - Despite the legal challenges, the company has a history of successfully resolving similar disputes, suggesting a reasonable chance of a favorable outcome [4][13]. - Even in the event of an unfavorable ruling, the financial impact is expected to be one-time and should not affect the company's long-term cash flow or valuation significantly [5][13].

Core Viewpoint - 大金重工 is experiencing significant growth, with projected net profits for 2025 expected to reach between 1.05 billion to 1.2 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase compared to the previous year [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.50 billion to 12.00 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 121.58% to 153.23% [1][3]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 45.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 99.25%, with a net profit of 8.87 billion yuan, up 214.63% [3]. - The export revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 22.43 billion yuan, nearly doubling year-on-year and accounting for 78.95% of total revenue [1][7]. Market Position and Strategy - 大金重工 is a leading global supplier of offshore wind power equipment, with a strong focus on expanding its overseas market presence [1][5]. - The company is actively pursuing a Hong Kong listing to strengthen its global strategic layout [2][7]. - The company has established a global floating business center and is collaborating with top international floating foundation solution providers to develop next-generation products [5][6]. Research and Development - R&D expenses have been increasing, with a reported 1.93 billion yuan in R&D costs for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 228.65% [5][6]. - The R&D expense ratio for 2025 is reported at 4.19%, indicating a commitment to maintaining industry-leading technological innovation [5]. International Orders and Contracts - As of mid-2025, the company has accumulated over 10 billion yuan in overseas orders, primarily for delivery in the next two years, with projects covering multiple offshore wind farms in Europe [6][7]. - The company has also secured two shipbuilding orders from international clients, totaling approximately 585 million yuan, to be delivered by 2027 [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Daikin Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. expects significant profit growth for 2025, with net profit projected between 1.05 billion to 1.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 121.58% to 153.23% [1] - The company attributes this growth to rapid increases in project delivery and value in the overseas offshore wind power market, along with higher product construction standards leading to increased added value [1] - Daikin Heavy Industries has established a strong brand presence and accumulated quality customer resources since entering the European offshore wind market in 2019, positioning itself among the top players in the global wind power equipment manufacturing industry [1] Group 2 - In March 2025, Daikin Heavy Industries' wholly-owned subsidiary, Penglai Daikin Marine Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., signed a contract worth approximately 135 million USD for the manufacturing, supply, and transportation of monopile foundations with a European energy company [2] - In May 2025, the subsidiary signed a preferred supplier agreement for offshore wind monopile foundations with a total contract value of about 547 million euros [2] - The company is actively building a global logistics system and has secured its first market-based shipbuilding order in October 2025, signing a contract worth approximately 285 million yuan for the construction of a semi-submersible barge with a Norwegian shipowner [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Daikin Heavy Industries, anticipates a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of 1.05 billion to 1.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 121.58% to 153.23% [1][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - The expected growth in net profit is attributed to a rapid increase in the number and value of projects delivered in the overseas offshore wind power market [1][3] - Enhanced product construction standards have led to higher added value, contributing to the overall profitability [1][3] - The company has improved project value through systematic services including construction, transportation, and localized installation of offshore wind equipment [1][3] Group 2: Company Background - Daikin Heavy Industries was established in 2000 and became the first listed company in China for wind power tower piles in 2010, positioning itself as a global leader in offshore wind infrastructure and tower solutions [1][3] - The company specializes in the production and sales of offshore wind single pile foundations, transition pieces, jackets, floating foundations, and tower products, offering a comprehensive "construction + transportation + delivery" solution for offshore wind projects [1][3] Group 3: Growth Strategies - The company has been actively promoting its "second growth curve" by developing overseas offshore wind power equipment, which has yielded positive results with increasing orders from Europe [2][4] - Daikin Heavy Industries is also laying the groundwork for its "third growth curve" by collaborating with leading international floating foundation solution providers and establishing a dedicated global floating business center to develop next-generation floating foundation products [2][4]

格隆汇11月27日｜东吴证券研报指出，大金重工签署过渡段订单，单价超5万元/吨，向全套解决方案服 务商进发！该订单为2.52万吨过渡段，对应单价为5.3万元/吨，订单含存储及后道总装，价格大超市场 预期，也代表着公司从单纯的风机基础设备供应商到交付安装一站式解决方案商的转型。近日，公司成 功运用国产SPMT设备，圆满完成出口欧洲超大型单桩的装船全流程作业，一举创下"首次使用国产 SPMT设备装船"、"首次由装备制造商自有SPMT团队执行装船"两项业内纪录。考虑到公司新接过渡段 订单于27年交付，上修27年盈利预测，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Group 1 - The company has signed a supply contract with European energy firm Skyborn Renewables for the Gennaker offshore wind project in Germany, with a total contract value of 1.339 billion yuan [1] - The contract involves the provision of 63 transition pieces, with each piece approximately 20 meters tall and weighing around 400 tons, totaling 25,200 tons [1] - The unit price of the order is significantly higher than market expectations at 53,000 yuan per ton, indicating a shift from being a simple supplier to a one-stop solution provider for installation [1] Group 2 - The company has successfully completed the loading process for oversized piles using domestically produced SPMT equipment, setting two industry records for the first use of such equipment and execution by its own team [2] - This achievement demonstrates the company's capability to meet stringent European standards and has redefined the DAP (Delivered at Place) delivery model for oversized marine equipment [2] - The company has also signed its first external market contract for building a large deck transport vessel, contributing to incremental performance [2] Group 3 - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 remains unchanged, with expected net profits of 1.1 billion and 1.71 billion yuan respectively; the profit forecast for 2027 has been revised upward to 2.53 billion yuan from 2.31 billion yuan [2] - The net profit growth rates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 133%, 55%, and 48% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 28.7, 18.5, and 12.5 times [2]

Group 1: Macro Strategy Insights - The macroeconomic environment is facing increasing downward pressure, with commodity consumption and exports continuing to be under pressure due to base effects [1][11] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and the delay in the release of November non-farm payroll data have led to a significant reduction in market expectations for a rate cut in December [12][13] - The overall economic growth is expected to be stable, with a projected GDP growth rate of around 4.9% for 2026, driven by investment recovery and consumption subsidies [4][15] Group 2: Industry and Company Analysis - The company has signed a supply contract with Skyborn Renewables for the Gennaker offshore wind project, with a total contract value of 1.339 billion yuan, indicating a significant shift towards providing comprehensive solutions rather than just equipment supply [6] - Yitang Co., Ltd. is recognized as a hidden champion in front-end equipment, with a projected net profit of 650 million yuan in 2025, reflecting strong growth potential in the semiconductor equipment sector [7] - Lexin Technology is expanding its AIoT ecosystem, with a revenue forecast of 2.007 billion yuan in 2024, driven by growth in smart home and AI edge applications [8] - Aotewei has secured a 700 million yuan order for its string welding machines, indicating strong demand in the photovoltaic equipment sector and a robust order pipeline for 2025 [10]