Core Viewpoint - Recent articles from American think tanks and media criticize Taiwan's leader Lai Ching-te for his reckless behavior and suggest a "gradual unification" approach, raising significant attention and interpretation within Taiwan [1][2][3]. Group 1: Criticism of Lai Ching-te - Lai Ching-te is labeled as a "troublemaker" and "peace destroyer" by Chinese officials, with accusations of provoking tensions through his refusal to acknowledge the "1992 Consensus" and promoting "Taiwan independence" [1]. - The U.S. think tank RAND Corporation's report emphasizes the need for Taiwan to act with restraint to avoid escalating tensions with mainland China, highlighting Lai's provocative statements as a contributing factor to instability [2][3]. Group 2: Shift in U.S. Perspective - Articles from U.S. media indicate a shift from hawkish to more restrained views regarding Taiwan, suggesting that while Taiwan is important to U.S. interests, it is not a critical survival issue [4]. - The term "troublemaker 2.0" is used to describe Lai Ching-te, reflecting a growing distrust in his leadership due to his emphasis on "new two-state theory" and ideological rigidity [8]. Group 3: Implications for Taiwan's Future - Analysts warn that Lai's continued provocative stance could lead to adverse consequences for Taiwan, as the U.S. may not provide the expected support in the event of a conflict [5][7]. - The collective anxiety among the Taiwanese public regarding U.S. defense commitments is rising, with increasing skepticism about the reliability of American support [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of the year 2028 for cross-strait relations, highlighting that the mainland has presented a "peaceful bottom line" with a focus on zero tariffs for Taiwanese goods entering the mainland market after unification [2][16]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Zero Tariffs and Economic Benefits - The article states that once the cross-strait common market is established, all Taiwanese goods entering the mainland will enjoy zero tariffs, which is seen as a major benefit for Taiwan [3][11]. - The mainland's market is described as vast, suggesting that it can easily absorb Taiwanese products, enhancing economic ties [3]. Section 2: Political Context and Dialogue - The commentary by Zhong Taiwen addresses the recent statements by the newly elected Kuomintang chairperson Zheng Liwen regarding the "1992 Consensus," aiming to clarify and complete the understanding of this consensus [7]. - There is a call for dialogue among all Taiwanese political figures, emphasizing that as long as they do not advocate for independence and recognize the shared identity of being Chinese, communication is possible [8][10]. Section 3: Future Prospects of Unification - The article discusses the prospects of unification, stating that after peaceful unification, Taiwan's current social system and way of life will be respected, with guarantees for private property, religious beliefs, and legal rights [11]. - The emphasis on "patriots governing Taiwan" and high autonomy is highlighted as a significant aspect of the future relationship [11]. Section 4: Reasons for Current Messaging - The article outlines three reasons for the mainland's recent positive messaging towards Taiwan: the ongoing efforts for peaceful unification, the celebration of the 80th anniversary of Taiwan's recovery, and the implications for the upcoming 2028 Taiwan elections [12]. - The potential for the Democratic Progressive Party to maintain power for 16 years if they win the 2028 elections is noted as a critical concern [13]. Section 5: Legislative Context - The article references the mainland's Anti-Secession Law, which stipulates that the possibility of peaceful unification must not be completely lost, indicating the importance of the 2028 elections in this context [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - The spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office emphasized that the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan advocates for peace, development, communication, and cooperation, while criticizing the current administration for ignoring public sentiment and worsening cross-strait relations [1][2]. Group 1: Cross-Strait Relations - The spokesperson stated that the "1992 Consensus" is the political foundation for cross-strait dialogue and stability, and its denial leads to tension and harm to the interests of Taiwanese people [2]. - The current administration's push for legislative amendments is seen as an attempt to create a "green terror" and escalate cross-strait tensions, which is contrary to the interests of the Taiwanese populace [1][2]. Group 2: Public Sentiment and Governance - Polls indicate that the approval rating for the current administration remains low, reflecting public dissatisfaction with its handling of cross-strait relations and economic policies [1]. - The spokesperson criticized the administration for prioritizing "Taiwan independence" over the welfare of Taiwanese citizens and businesses, which has led to increased public resentment [1]. Group 3: Religious and Social Issues - The spokesperson defended the policy of religious freedom and criticized the current administration for suppressing religious exchanges with the mainland, labeling it as a form of "green terror" [4]. - The establishment of a social media account by the Taiwan Affairs Office has received positive feedback from Taiwanese citizens, indicating a desire for better communication and connection with the mainland [3].

Core Points - The State Council's Taiwan Affairs Office emphasized the importance of promoting peaceful development of cross-strait relations and advancing national reunification as outlined in the recent Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China [1][2] - The meeting held from October 20 to 23 was significant for planning the next five years of economic and social development, which will have a profound impact on the country's progress towards socialist modernization [1] Group 1 - The Fourth Plenary Session clarified the strategic positioning of Taiwan work in the context of national strength and ethnic rejuvenation, providing strong motivation for future efforts [1][2] - The office reiterated the commitment to the "One China" principle and the "1992 Consensus," opposing Taiwan independence and external interference [2] - The emphasis was placed on enhancing economic and cultural exchanges between the two sides, encouraging Taiwanese participation in mainland development opportunities [2] Group 2 - The office expressed willingness to create a broad space for peaceful reunification while retaining the option to use necessary measures if required [2] - The concept of "peaceful reunification and one country, two systems" was highlighted as the best approach to resolving the Taiwan issue [2] - The call for unity among Taiwanese compatriots to oppose separatism and foreign interference was reiterated, aiming for shared prosperity and national rejuvenation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights concerns regarding Taiwan's current political situation, emphasizing that Lai Ching-te's actions have made Taiwan a "global flashpoint" due to his provocative stance on independence [1] Group 1: Political Context - The article notes that increasing international concern and criticism have emerged regarding the Taiwan Strait situation, particularly directed at Lai Ching-te's pro-independence rhetoric [1] - It is stated that the root cause of the complex and severe situation in the Taiwan Strait is Lai Ching-te's refusal to acknowledge the "1992 Consensus," which embodies the one-China principle [1] - Lai Ching-te is labeled as a "peace destroyer" and a "crisis creator" in the Taiwan Strait, indicating a significant shift in regional stability [1] Group 2: Call for Unity - The spokesperson emphasizes that the Taiwan issue is purely an internal matter for China, asserting that the resolution should be handled by the Chinese people on both sides of the Strait [1] - There is a call for Taiwanese compatriots to recognize the extreme dangers and destructive nature of the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) persistent pro-independence stance [1] - The article advocates for a collective effort to return cross-strait relations to a path of peaceful development, aiming to maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing tensions between Taiwan and mainland China, emphasizing the importance of the "1992 Consensus" for improving cross-strait relations and the potential consequences of rejecting it [1] Group 1: Political Context - The Taiwan Affairs Office spokesperson, Peng Qing'en, asserts that adherence to the "1992 Consensus" can lead to improved relations and benefits for Taiwanese compatriots [1] - The Taiwanese Mainland Affairs Council head, Qiu Chui-zheng, states that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) will not accept the "1992 Consensus" as it implies Taiwan is part of China [1] Group 2: Implications for Cross-Strait Relations - Denying the "1992 Consensus" is viewed as a deviation from the one-China principle, which could lead to increased tensions and harm the interests of Taiwanese people [1] - The DPP's long-term efforts to discredit the "1992 Consensus" are seen as damaging to the political foundation of cross-strait relations and detrimental to the common interests of both sides [1] Group 3: Call to Action - The article encourages Taiwanese compatriots to understand the significance of the "1992 Consensus" and to resist separatist actions, advocating for peaceful and integrated development of cross-strait relations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a cross-strait common market will result in zero tariffs for Taiwanese goods entering mainland China, which is seen as a significant benefit for Taiwan [2] Summary by Sections Political Context - The commentary by Zhong Taiwen emphasizes the importance of the "1992 Consensus" and its implications for cross-strait relations, highlighting that both sides adhere to the principle of "one China" [6] - There is a call for dialogue among all Taiwanese political figures, encouraging them to recognize the shared identity of being Chinese and to work towards peaceful development of cross-strait relations [6][9] Economic Implications - The zero tariff policy is identified as the most substantial economic benefit for Taiwan, facilitating easier access to the vast mainland market [2][9] - The commentary suggests that after peaceful unification, Taiwan's current social system and lifestyle will be respected, ensuring the protection of private property, religious beliefs, and legal rights [9] Strategic Timing - The timing of these messages from the mainland is linked to three factors: the ongoing efforts for peaceful unification, the 80th anniversary of Taiwan's recovery, and the upcoming 2028 Taiwan elections [10] - The potential outcome of the 2028 elections, particularly if the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party wins, poses a significant challenge for cross-strait relations [11][13]

Core Viewpoint - The recent series of articles by Chinese state media, signed by "Zhong Taiwen," emphasizes the historical and legal basis for Taiwan's belonging to China, advocating for peaceful reunification and highlighting the benefits of such a union [2][3][4]. Group 1: Articles Overview - The first article discusses Taiwan's historical ties to China, referencing documents like the Cairo Declaration and the Potsdam Proclamation to assert that Taiwan's status has been resolved legally and factually [2]. - The second article outlines the advantages of reunification, stressing that it is not merely a formal act but also a matter of emotional and cultural connection between the people of both sides [2][3]. - The third article argues that unification is an inevitable trend supported by public sentiment and is essential for the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation [3]. Group 2: Political Implications - The articles are seen as a significant shift in Beijing's approach to Taiwan, indicating a new phase in promoting reunification efforts [4][6]. - Analysts suggest that the timing of these articles aligns with broader diplomatic and legal strategies, reinforcing the narrative that Taiwan is an internal matter of China [4][7]. - The articles also serve as a signal to the United States, asserting that Taiwan's status is not open for negotiation and emphasizing the importance of national unity [7][8]. Group 3: Public Sentiment and Reactions - Recent polls indicate a growing public desire in Taiwan for resuming dialogue and exchanges with the mainland, contrasting with the current administration's stance [8]. - The articles have prompted varied responses from Taiwanese political parties, with some advocating for continued peaceful engagement while others maintain a hardline stance against reunification [5][6].

https://t.co/bZtF83uKWD外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#观察 十五五规划建议在关于两岸问题的表述中，未提及“坚持一个中国原则和‘九二共识’”；“高度警惕和坚决遏制‘台独’分裂活动”改为“坚决打击‘台独’分裂势力”。新增“牢牢把握两岸关系主导权主动权”。 ...

#观察 十五五规划建议在关于两岸问题的表述中，未提及“坚持一个中国原则和‘九二共识’”；“高度警惕和坚决遏制‘台独’分裂活动”改为“坚决打击‘台独’分裂势力”。新增“牢牢把握两岸关系主导权主动权”。 ...