另有记者问，据美媒报道，解放军会通过三个步骤"攻台"，并列出所谓"最佳攻台时间"和"最佳登陆地 点"；近日曝光的美国防部机密报告部分细节显示，大陆能在美军先进武器抵台前予以摧毁，意味着美 国已无力"保台"。请问发言人有何评论？ 张晓刚指出，个别媒体枉费心机地臆测解放军行动，居心叵测贩卖"战争焦虑"，只会破坏台海和平稳 定。台湾问题纯属中国内政，不容任何外来干涉。我们愿以最大诚意、尽最大努力争取和平统一的前 景，但决不承诺放弃使用武力，保留采取一切必要措施的选项。如果"台独"分裂势力挑衅逼迫，甚至突 破红线，我们将不得不采取断然措施。解放军全时待战、随时能战、战之必胜，坚决粉碎"台独"分裂和 外来干涉图谋。(完) 张晓刚指出，台湾是中国领土不可分割的一部分，解放军位台岛周边常态练兵备战，组织反分裂反干涉 行动，维护国家主权和领土完整，完全正当必要、合理合法。解放军打"独"促统不停歇，"台独"挑衅一 次我们就加压进逼一步，直至实现祖国完全统一。我们正告民进党当局，认清现实、顺应大势，彻底放 弃"台独"分裂图谋，停止一切挑衅引战行径，才是唯一正确的现实选择。 中新社北京12月25日电 (记者 李纯 郭超凯)在25日 ...

国防部：解放军全时待战，随时能战，战之必胜。 12月25日下午，国防部举行例行记者会，国防部新闻发言人张晓刚大校答记者问。 记者：据美媒报道，解放军会通过三个步骤"攻台"，并列出所谓"最佳攻台时间"和"最佳登陆地点"；近日曝光 的美国防部机密报告部分细节显示，大陆能在美军先进武器抵台前予以摧毁，意味着美国已无力"保台"。请问 发言人有何评论？ F 责编：汪云鹏 校对： 彭其华 百万用户都在看 凌晨！全线大涨！美联储，突发警告！ 2026年A股休市安排来了 利好来了！摩尔线程，重磅发布 降息，大消息！ 违法和不良信息举报电话：0755-83514034 邮箱：bwb@stcn.com 券中社 × 券商中国 券 中 社 扫码下载券中社APP 扫码关注券商中国公众号 quanshangcn qzs.stcn.com 舞中 券中社APP 券 商 中 国 是 证 券 市 场 权 威 媒 体 《 证 券 时 报 》 旗 下 新 媒 体 , 券 商 中 国 对 该 平 台 所 刊 载 的 原 创 内 容 享 有 著 作 权 , 未 经 授 权 禁 止 转 载 ， 否 则 将 追 究 相 应 法 律 责 任 。 看券商中国 ...

Group 1 - Japan feels frustrated with the insufficient public support from the US for Prime Minister Kishi's comments regarding Taiwan, urging for more explicit backing from the Trump administration [1][12][15] - Following a diplomatic dispute between China and Japan, the US has expressed limited support, with only a statement from the US Ambassador to Japan, while other forms of public backing have been absent [1][5][16] - Reports indicate that the US has paused plans to impose sanctions on China related to alleged cyberattacks to maintain the trade truce established in late October [1][13] Group 2 - US officials have indicated that there will be no new significant export controls on China after the recent summit, aiming to avoid disrupting the improving US-China relations [2][13] - Despite the lack of public support from the US, Japan does not believe that the US will waver in its commitment to Japan, although disappointment over the absence of high-level backing persists [4][15] - Former US officials argue that the US should have welcomed Kishi's statements about Japan's potential support in the event of a conflict over Taiwan, highlighting the irony of the current lack of support [4][5][15] Group 3 - Japan's Defense Ministry reported that Chinese naval activities, including the Liaoning aircraft carrier's operations, have led to increased tensions, with Japan claiming radar lock incidents involving its aircraft [8][19] - The Chinese military has responded to Japan's claims, asserting that their training exercises were conducted within designated areas and accusing Japan of misrepresenting the situation [11][23] - The ongoing tensions have prompted China to issue travel warnings and suspend imports of Japanese seafood, which some Japanese media view as retaliatory measures [7][18]

Core Viewpoint - The article critiques the recent wargaming reports by American think tanks regarding the Taiwan Strait situation, arguing that the foundational knowledge of these experts about modern China is insufficient, leading to flawed conclusions [2][4]. Group 1: Wargaming Reports - The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) released a report in January 2023 titled "The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan," which outlined 24 battle scenarios, with the US, Japan, and Taiwan winning in 22 of them [4][5]. - The report has been widely circulated and commented on by Japanese and Taiwanese media, indicating a coordinated narrative supporting Japanese Prime Minister's statements on Taiwan [6][7]. - CSIS has conducted wargaming exercises for three consecutive years, with different focuses each year: nuclear deterrence in 2024 and blockade scenarios in 2025, totaling 65 scenarios across all years [8][11][12]. Group 2: American Think Tanks' Perspectives - Analysts from American think tanks exhibit a "savior complex" regarding Taiwan, influenced by historical, political, and financial factors, leading to a biased perspective [9]. - The reports acknowledge the significant military and economic disparity between Taiwan and China, emphasizing that Taiwan cannot face China alone and requires US assistance to maintain its democratic system [10]. - The wargaming exercises are criticized for their limited practical military value, as they primarily serve as a basis for future propaganda rather than actionable strategies [14][15]. Group 3: Proposed Solutions - American think tanks have suggested two main responses to potential Chinese military actions: military intervention and economic sanctions, though the latter is seen as beyond their expertise [17][19]. - A new approach introduced by CSIS includes diplomatic mediation, suggesting that the US should provide China with a way to save face, such as allowing international observers in Taiwan's customs and reiterating the "1992 Consensus" [20][22]. - The article argues that ultimately, China's strategy regarding Taiwan will not be significantly influenced by American interventions, rendering the think tanks' wargaming efforts largely ineffective [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing military pressure from mainland China on Taiwan and the notably muted response from Japan, highlighting a shift in Japan's stance due to economic and security concerns [1][4][15]. Military Dynamics - Mainland China's military activities have escalated, showcasing a "systematic suppression" approach rather than mere reconnaissance, which significantly increases pressure on Taiwan [4][18]. - The recent military maneuvers include the involvement of advanced aircraft, indicating a comprehensive capability demonstration [4]. Japan's Response - Japan's previous strong statements regarding Taiwan have been replaced by a notable silence, reflecting a shift in priorities towards its own economic and security interests [6][15]. - The Japanese government has taken steps to clarify its position with China, indicating a desire to avoid further escalation [13]. Economic Implications - The potential decline in Chinese tourists and students could have a significant negative impact on Japan's economy, particularly in sectors like aviation, retail, and services [8][11]. - Japan's economic recovery is fragile, and any disruption from reduced Chinese engagement could lead to a chain reaction affecting various industries [11]. Political Context - The article suggests that some Taiwanese political figures have relied on Japan's support as a deterrent against mainland China, but Japan's recent actions reveal a more self-preserving approach [15][18]. - The dynamics of the Taiwan Strait are shifting, with Japan's focus on its own safety and economic stability taking precedence over its commitments to Taiwan [18].

2025.11. 14 日前， 日本首相高市早苗发表关于中国大陆对台湾动武可能构成日本"存亡危机事态"的言论。据报道，高市在国会答辩时坚称，有关言论符合日本政府 看法，无意撤回或取消。 在11月13日的例行记者会上，外交部发言人林剑表示："如日方胆敢武力介入台海局势，将构成侵略行为，中方必将迎头痛击！我们将坚决行使《联合国 宪章》和国际法赋予的自卫权，坚定捍卫国家主权和领土完整。我们正告日方，必须深刻反省历史罪责，立即停止干涉中国内政、挑衅越线的错误言行， 不要在台湾问题上玩火，玩火者必自焚！" 本文字数：467，阅读时长大约1分钟 来源 | 综合自 环球时报 长安街知事 11月13日，中国军号在社交平台X上发布日语海报：如日方胆敢武力介入台海局势，中方必将迎头痛击！ 长安街知事注意到，中国军号是中国人民解放军新闻传播中心官方账号，提供有关中国军事任务和国防发展的权威最新消息。 微信编辑 | 夏木 第一财经持续追踪财经热点。若您掌握公司动态、行业趋势、金融事件等有价值的线索，欢迎提供。 专用邮箱： bianjibu@yicai.com （注：我们会对线索进行核实。您的隐私将严格保密。） 推荐阅读 汉堡王中国也 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the contradictory stance of Trump regarding China, portraying a tough image while fearing the impact on trade agreements [1][4] - It emphasizes China's significant leverage in global trade, particularly in rare earth minerals, which are crucial for the US chip industry and military equipment [3] - The article notes the substantial trade volume between the US and China, amounting to $300 billion in the first half of the year, with American farmers heavily reliant on the Chinese market for crops like soybeans and corn [3] Group 2 - The article discusses the potential consequences of China selling off its over $1 trillion in US debt, which could lead to a significant stock market crash in the US [4] - It contrasts Trump's aggressive trade policies towards India, where he imposed a 25% tariff, later increasing it to 50%, highlighting a perceived double standard in US foreign policy [5][6] - The article mentions the ongoing military pressure from Russia in Ukraine, with Putin's strategy of maintaining military offensives while engaging in negotiations [10]