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Tesla's surprising delivery data hide a serious problem
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-14 16:47
Core Insights - Tesla's stock has surged 72% over the past six months, driven by strong third-quarter deliveries of 497,099 electric vehicles, exceeding analyst expectations of fewer than 440,000 [1][3]. Delivery Performance - Tesla delivered 497,099 vehicles in Q3 2025, up from 462,890 in the same period last year, indicating a robust year-over-year growth [1][4]. - The production for the quarter was 447,000 vehicles, which is down year-over-year, suggesting a fundamental shrinkage in production capacity [6]. Market Dynamics - The expiration of the $7,500 EV tax credit at the end of September incentivized car buyers to purchase electric vehicles, benefiting Tesla significantly [3]. - Despite the strong delivery numbers, there are concerns regarding the sales performance of Tesla's other models, which have not seen an increase, indicating limited growth outside of the core Model Y and Model X [6]. Valuation Concerns - Analysts have mixed views on Tesla's valuation, with some, like Cathie Wood from Ark Invest, believing it is undervalued with a five-year price target of $2,600, largely based on potential from Robotaxi and autonomous driving software [7]. - Other analysts, such as Jed Dorsheimer from William Blair, maintain a more cautious stance, suggesting that Robotaxi is crucial for Tesla's future, contributing significantly to their price target [8].
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
Autonomous Driving Technology - Tesla's self-driving technology showcases incredible capabilities navigating busy traffic, tight corners, and stunning views [1] - The Robotaxi ride demonstrates the future of autonomous driving [1] Robotaxi Ride Experience - First-ever Robotaxi ride for @ray4tesla through downtown Los Gatos and mountainous roads [1] - The ride is described as an unforgettable adventure [1] Key Players - Mentions Tesla, Tesla AI, and Elon Musk [1]
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
Autonomous Driving Technology - Tesla's self-driving technology showcases incredible capabilities in navigating busy traffic, tight corners, and scenic roads [1] - The Robotaxi ride demonstrates the future of autonomous driving [1] Robotaxi Service - First ever Robotaxi ride experience was given to @ray4tesla [1] - The Robotaxi ride took place in downtown Los Gatos and mountainous roads [1]
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
Autonomous Driving Technology - Tesla's cutting-edge self-driving technology showcases incredible capabilities [1] - Tesla's Robotaxi navigates busy traffic, tight corners, and scenic mountainous roads [1] Robotaxi Demonstration - First ever Tesla Robotaxi ride through downtown Los Gatos [1] - Robotaxi ride demonstrates the future of autonomous driving [1]
Tesla Under Fire—But Gene Munster Says NHTSA's Massive FSD Investigation Might Be The Best Thing To Happen To Elon Musk Yet - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-10-10 07:47
Deepwater Asset Management's investor Gene Munster thinks the ongoing NHTSA probe into Tesla Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Full Self-Driving (FSD) system could prove to be beneficial for the EV giant.Check out the current price of TSLA here.Tesla Stands Alone In Consumer Autonomy, Says Gene MunsterIn a video shared on the social media platform X on Thursday, the investor shared his thoughts on the probe into Tesla. "I don't think that they're [NHTSA] going after Tesla per se," the investor said, adding that the reas ...
As NHTSA Opens Tesla FSD Investigation, Gary Black Says Elon Musk's EV Giant Needs PR Staff: 'For Years I've Argued…' - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-10-10 05:30
As the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) launched an investigation into traffic violations committed by Tesla Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, Future Fund LLC's managing director, Gary Black, thinks the EV giant needs better PR.Check out the current price of TSLA here.Tesla Needs PR Staff To ‘Fight Off' RegulationTaking to the social media platform X on Thursday, Black outlined the need for Tesla to employ a PR staff. "For years I've argued $TSLA needs a 1-2 person P ...
Tesla's ‘Full Self-Driving' software under investigation for traffic safety violations
TechCrunch· 2025-10-09 12:15
Core Points - The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has initiated an investigation into Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology due to reports of vehicles running red lights and entering wrong lanes [1][2] - This investigation follows over 50 reports of violations, including four incidents that resulted in injuries, marking one of the first targeted probes into Tesla's FSD software [2] - The NHTSA had previously investigated Tesla's FSD in October 2024 after crashes in low-visibility conditions, and closed a separate investigation into Tesla's Autopilot system in April 2024, which identified 13 fatal crashes [3] Investigation Details - The NHTSA's Office of Defects Investigation (ODI) has received at least 18 complaints and one media report alleging that Tesla's FSD software failed to stop at red lights [5] - ODI has identified six reports from Tesla under the Standing General Order for Crash Reporting, which requires companies to report crashes involving autonomous vehicles [5] - The investigation was opened concurrently with the release of a new version of Tesla's FSD software, which incorporates training data from a limited robotaxi pilot in Austin, Texas [4] Specific Incidents - ODI has noted multiple incidents at the same intersection in Joppa, Maryland, where red light issues were reported, and Tesla has taken action to address these problems [6] - Additional complaints include instances where FSD entered opposing lanes or crossed double-yellow markings, and attempted to turn onto roads against traffic signs [7] - Reports indicate that FSD executed lane changes into opposing lanes with little notice to drivers, raising safety concerns [9] Investigation Process - The NHTSA has opened a "Preliminary Evaluation," a step that could lead to a recall if necessary, with a typical investigation timeline of eight months [10] - There are concerns that a federal government shutdown may impact the investigation timeline [10]
Analysis-Musk's Tesla package pays him billions even if he misses 'Mars-shot' goals
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-09 10:03
Core Insights - Tesla's board has proposed an unprecedented executive pay package for Elon Musk, potentially worth $878 billion over 10 years, contingent on achieving significant milestones in transforming Tesla and society [1][2] - Despite the ambitious nature of the goals, analysis suggests Musk could earn tens of billions without meeting most targets, with a possibility of collecting over $50 billion by achieving only a few easier objectives [3] - Achieving just two of the simpler targets, along with modest stock growth, could yield Musk $26 billion, surpassing the combined lifetime pay of the next eight highest-paid CEOs [4] Performance Goals - Musk's vehicle sales targets are considered relatively easy, with a projection of selling 1.2 million cars annually over the next decade potentially resulting in $8.2 billion in stock compensation, assuming Tesla's market value increases from $1.4 trillion to $2 trillion by 2035 [5] - The recent introduction of lower-cost versions of the Model Y SUV and Model 3 sedan aims to counteract declining sales, while other product development goals are vaguely defined, allowing for substantial payouts without significantly enhancing profits [6] Compensation Structure - The Tesla board emphasized that the proposed pay package is effectively worth nothing to Musk unless shareholders see a near doubling of the company's value and operational milestones are achieved [7] - Musk must remain an executive for at least seven-and-a-half years to receive any stock compensation, although he would gain voting rights associated with the shares as soon as they are earned [7]
Tesla Q3 Deliveries Smash Estimates, But Wall Street Wasn't Impressed. What Gives?
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-09 08:23
Core Insights - Tesla reported third-quarter deliveries of nearly 497,100, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of 447,600 and marking a 7% year-over-year increase, a significant recovery from a 12% decline in the first half of 2024 [2][4] - The surge in deliveries was influenced by the expiration of the $7,500 EV tax credit on September 30, prompting consumers to purchase vehicles before potential price increases [3][4] - Despite the strong delivery numbers, Tesla's stock dipped post-announcement, likely due to a recent 60% increase in share price over the past six months [5] Delivery Performance - Tesla's U.S. sales saw a 35% year-over-year increase in Q3, attributed to consumer rush before the tax credit expiration [4] - Analysts had anticipated a strong quarter, with estimates ranging from 450,000 to 500,000 deliveries, and some viewed the results as a "massive bounceback" [4] Market Sentiment - Tesla remains a highly debated stock, with bulls emphasizing its innovation in AI and bears concerned about its high valuation of nearly 250 times forward earnings [6] - Current trading price is around $440 per share, with price targets ranging from $19 to $600, indicating a divided market perspective [6] Future Prospects - The future of Tesla is seen as heavily reliant on its autonomous driving and humanoid robot businesses, which are still in early development stages [7][8] - Analysts believe that successful execution in these areas could significantly increase Tesla's market cap to between $2 trillion and $3 trillion by 2026 or 2027 [4] Competitive Landscape - Tesla's robotaxi business could potentially be built at a lower cost compared to competitors like WayMo, but the technology's safety and commercial viability remain uncertain [8]
Tesla Bull Dan Ives Says Affordable Trim Levels 1st Step Towards 500K Quarterly Delivery Run: FSD 14.1 Could Help Reach $2 Trillion Market Cap - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Benzinga· 2025-10-08 06:53
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) bull and Wedbush Securities' investor Dan Ives has expressed optimism over the EV giant's affordable models as well as the Full Self-Driving (FSD) V14.1 updates.Check out the current price of TSLA stock here.Lower-Priced Model First Step Towards 500K DeliveriesIn a new investor's note released on Tuesday following the announcement of affordable models in the company's lineup, Ives reiterated his bullish stance on the company's stock performance. "We believe the launch of a lower cos ...