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Here's Why Investors Should Give ZTO Express Stock a Miss Now
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 17:31
Core Viewpoint - ZTO Express (ZTO) is currently facing multiple challenges, making it an unattractive investment option [1] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ZTO's third-quarter 2025 earnings has decreased by 7.35% over the past 60 days, with a 3.89% downward revision for the current year [2] - ZTO's shares have declined by 7% over the past six months, while the transportation-services industry has grown by 4.9% [3] - ZTO's earnings are projected to decline by 10.78% year over year for 2025 [7] Cost and Revenue Challenges - In 2024, ZTO experienced a 14.2% year-over-year increase in total cost of revenues, which further escalated to a 21.5% increase in the first half of 2025 [8][9] - The company has revised its 2025 parcel volume forecast down to 38.8-40.1 billion from a previous estimate of 40.8-42.2 billion, indicating a reduction in expected year-over-year growth from 20-24% to 14-18% [8][9] Competitive Landscape - The domestic express delivery market is highly competitive, with major players like SF Express and STO Express posing significant challenges to ZTO [10] - ZTO's industry rank is currently at 223 out of 248 groups, placing it in the bottom 9% of Zacks industries, which suggests that the overall industry performance is weak [11]
Countdown to Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 14:16
Core Insights - Analysts project Affirm Holdings (AFRM) will report quarterly earnings of $0.11 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 178.6% [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $839.88 million, marking a 27.4% increase from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted upward by 22.6%, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [3] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the Merchant network is projected at $234.97 million, a year-over-year change of +29.8% [5] - Revenue from the Card network is expected to be $59.11 million, indicating a change of +37.5% from the prior-year quarter [5] - Interest income revenue is forecasted to reach $416.13 million, suggesting a change of +23.3% year over year [5] - Servicing income is estimated at $33.77 million, reflecting a change of +22.4% from the prior-year quarter [6] - Gain on sales of loans is predicted to be $90.96 million, indicating a change of +30% from the year-ago quarter [6] Key Company Metrics - The consensus estimate for Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) is $9577.07 billion, compared to $7241.00 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - Transactions per Active Consumer are expected to reach 6, up from 5 in the previous year [7] - Active Consumers are projected to reach 22, compared to 19 a year ago [7] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Affirm Holdings have returned +18.5%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.7% change [8] - Currently, AFRM holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [8]
Ahead of Abercrombie (ANF) Q2 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:15
Core Insights - Analysts project Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) will report quarterly earnings of $2.27 per share, a decline of 9.2% year over year, with revenues expected to reach $1.19 billion, an increase of 4.8% from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.3% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor actions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net sales- Hollister' will reach $614.55 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 11.4% - 'Net sales- Abercrombie' is projected at $579.33 million, indicating a slight decline of 0.5% year over year - The estimated 'Comparable store sales - Total - YoY change' is 3.0%, down from 21.0% in the previous year [5] Comparable Store Sales - 'Comparable store sales - Hollister - YoY change' is expected to be 11.7%, down from 17.0% last year - 'Comparable store sales - Abercrombie - YoY change' is projected at -6.3%, a significant drop from 26.0% in the same quarter last year [6] Store Count - The consensus estimate for 'Number of stores - Total (EOP)' is 806, compared to 750 in the previous year [6] Stock Performance - Abercrombie shares have returned -1% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by 1.1% - With a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), ANF is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [7]
HP (HPQ) Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that HP (HPQ) will report quarterly earnings of $0.74 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.8%, with revenues expected to reach $13.85 billion, an increase of 2.4% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.6% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Commercial PS' will reach $7.11 billion, a year-over-year increase of 6.4% [5]. - The estimate for 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Consumer PS' stands at $2.89 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 7.4% [5]. - The average prediction for 'Net revenue- Personal Systems' is $10.00 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of 6.7% [5]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Supplies' is expected to reach $2.58 billion, reflecting a decline of 4.6% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Commercial Printing' is forecasted at $1.10 billion, indicating a decrease of 4.2% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Consumer Printing' is projected at $275.02 million, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 6.1% [7]. - Overall, 'Net revenue- Printing' is expected to reach $3.95 billion, indicating a decline of 4.6% from the year-ago quarter [7]. Operational Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Days in accounts payable' to be 133 days, compared to 131 days in the same quarter of the previous year [8]. - 'Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable' is expected to reach 32 days, up from 31 days in the year-ago figure [8]. - 'Days of supply in inventory' is projected to be 69 days, compared to 67 days in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Earnings from operations- Personal Systems' is estimated at $529.65 million, down from $599.00 million in the previous year [9]. - 'Earnings from operations- Printing' is projected at $721.47 million, slightly up from $715.00 million in the prior year [10]. Market Performance - Over the past month, HP shares have recorded returns of 3.5%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 1.1% change [10]. - Based on its Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), HPQ is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [10].
Exploring Analyst Estimates for BILL Holdings (BILL) Q4 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:15
Core Insights - BILL Holdings (BILL) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, a decline of 28.1% year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $375.7 million, reflecting a 9.3% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.3% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3] Key Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- Interest on funds held for customers' to be $35.92 million, a decrease of 15.2% from the prior-year quarter [5] - 'Revenue- Subscription and transaction fees' is projected to reach $339.06 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of 12.5% [5] - Total Payment Volume is expected to be $83.40 billion, up from $76.00 billion a year ago [6] - The estimated 'Transactions Processed' is 32.42 million, compared to 28.00 million in the same quarter of the previous year [6] Stock Performance - Over the past month, BILL Holdings shares have recorded a return of -8.8%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed by +1.1% [6] - BILL Holdings holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance will likely align with the overall market in the upcoming period [6]
Does Precision Drilling (PDS) Have the Potential to Rally 32.9% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Precision Drilling (PDS) shares have shown a modest gain of 0.7% recently, but analysts suggest a significant upside potential with a mean price target of $71.06, indicating a 32.9% increase from the current price of $53.47 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean price target is based on eight short-term estimates with a standard deviation of $9.08, where the lowest estimate is $55.76 (4.3% increase) and the highest is $87.60 (63.8% increase) [2] - A low standard deviation among price targets suggests a strong consensus among analysts regarding the stock's potential movement [9] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Agreement - Analysts have shown increasing optimism about PDS's earnings prospects, with a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions, which historically correlates with stock price movements [11] - Over the past 30 days, one earnings estimate has increased, leading to a 40.2% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year [12] Zacks Rank and Investment Potential - PDS holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for upside [13] - While consensus price targets may not be entirely reliable, the implied direction of price movement appears to be a useful guide for investors [14]
Wall Street Analysts Believe Micron (MU) Could Rally 30.04%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Micron's stock has seen a 6.7% increase over the past four weeks, closing at $117.21, with a potential upside of 30% based on Wall Street analysts' mean price target of $152.42 [1][4]. Price Targets and Estimates - The mean estimate consists of 33 short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $26.08, indicating variability among analysts [2]. - The lowest estimate is $75.00, suggesting a 36% decline from the current price, while the highest estimate is $200.00, indicating a potential surge of 70.6% [2]. - A low standard deviation among price targets suggests a high degree of agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement [9]. Earnings Estimates - Analysts are optimistic about Micron's earnings prospects, as indicated by a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions, which has shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [11]. - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 3.6%, with seven estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [12]. Zacks Rank - Micron currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13].
Ooma (OOMA) Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 14:16
Group 1 - Ooma (OOMA) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.20 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 33.3% [1] - Revenues are anticipated to be $65.73 million, which is a 2.5% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' projections [1] Group 2 - The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- Product and other' is $4.73 million, showing a change of +3.7% from the prior-year quarter [4] - 'Revenue- Subscription and services' is projected to reach $60.99 million, indicating a change of +2.4% from the previous year [4] - The estimate for 'Core users' is 1.23 million, slightly down from 1.24 million a year ago [4] Group 3 - The 'Net dollar subscription retention rate' is projected to be 99.0%, down from 100.0% in the same quarter last year [5] - Analysts predict 'Annualized exit recurring revenue (AERR)' will reach $242.91 million, compared to $233.00 million in the same quarter of the previous year [5] - Over the past month, Ooma shares have decreased by 6.7%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by 1.7% [5]
Wall Street Analysts Predict a 25.38% Upside in Perpetua Resources (PPTA): Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Perpetua Resources Corp. (PPTA) shows potential for upside with a mean price target of $22.03, indicating a 25.4% increase from the current price of $17.57 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Consensus - The average price target for PPTA ranges from a low of $17.00 to a high of $30.00, with a standard deviation of $4.99, suggesting variability in analyst estimates [2] - The lowest estimate indicates a potential decline of 3.2%, while the highest suggests a 70.8% upside [2] - A low standard deviation indicates strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement direction [9] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Optimism - Analysts have shown increasing optimism about PPTA's earnings prospects, with a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions [11] - Over the last 30 days, one estimate has increased, leading to a 7% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate [12] - PPTA holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] Caution on Price Targets - While price targets are often sought after, they can mislead investors, and reliance solely on them may not yield favorable returns [7][10] - Analysts may set overly optimistic price targets due to business incentives, which can inflate expectations [8]
Is It Worth Investing in Robinhood Markets (HOOD) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 14:30
Core Viewpoint - Analyst recommendations play a significant role in influencing stock prices, but their reliability is questionable, particularly for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) [1][5][10] Group 1: Brokerage Recommendations - Robinhood Markets has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.82, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on 22 brokerage firms [2][14] - Out of the 22 recommendations, 13 are Strong Buy and 2 are Buy, accounting for 59.1% and 9.1% of all recommendations respectively [2] Group 2: Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies show they often fail to guide investors effectively [5][10] - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias due to vested interests, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10] Group 3: Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), is a more reliable indicator of near-term price performance, driven by earnings estimate revisions [8][11] - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently than the ABR, reflecting timely changes in earnings estimates and business trends [12] Group 4: Earnings Estimates for Robinhood - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Robinhood Markets has increased by 16.3% over the past month to $1.52, indicating growing optimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [13] - The recent change in consensus estimates, along with other factors, has resulted in a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) for Robinhood Markets, suggesting potential for stock appreciation [14]