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Apple Analyst Holds The Line After $300 Billion Rout: What Could Turn Things Around
Benzinga· 2025-04-04 19:02
Core Viewpoint - Apple Inc. has faced significant stock declines due to new tariffs, with a nearly 10% drop leading to a loss of about $300 billion in market capitalization, marking its worst drop since January 2013 [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - Apple stock lost 13.7% in market value over two days, the most significant decline since January 2013 [1] - As of the latest check, AAPL stock is down 6.8% at $189.34 [5] Group 2: Financial Impact - Analyst Laura Martin estimates that Apple's earnings per share (EPS) could fall by over $2 on an adjusted basis, a 28% decrease from her current fiscal 2025 EPS estimate of $7.32 [2] - Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett estimated potential tariff costs for Apple could reach $39.5 billion, with nearly 100% of iPhones sold in the U.S. manufactured in China [4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Wall Street is estimating a 30% chance that Apple will receive an exemption from the tariffs, referencing a previous exemption granted in 2018 [3] - Apple has committed to investing $500 billion in the U.S. over four years, which is expected to create 20,000 new jobs in various sectors [3] - The potential worst-case scenario includes China retaliating by banning Apple product sales, which accounted for 17% of Apple's total sales in fiscal 2024 [4]
How Will Williams-Sonoma Offset Tariff Risks?
Benzinga· 2025-04-04 18:37
Telsey Advisory Group analyst Cristina Fernández shared key points from a meeting with Williams-Sonoma, Inc. WSM CFO Jeff Howie and Chief Accounting Officer & Head of IR Jeremy Brooks this week.The analyst writes that the company emphasized its strengths, including an $8 billion revenue scale, a strong balance sheet with $1.2 billion in cash and no debt, and supply chain expertise while acknowledging potential tariff headwinds announced by the Trump administration.Read: Mark Cuban Warns Of Price Hikes, Says ...
ASML vs. AMAT: Which Semiconductor Equipment Stock Is the Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-04-04 13:45
Core Viewpoint - ASML Holding and Applied Materials are key players in the semiconductor supply chain, with ASML holding a dominant position in EUV lithography and Applied Materials providing a broad range of semiconductor fabrication equipment [1][2]. Group 1: ASML Holding - ASML Holding has a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, crucial for producing advanced semiconductors [3][4]. - The company is investing in next-generation technologies like High-NA EUV, which are essential for smaller semiconductor nodes [5]. - In Q4 2024, ASML reported a 24% increase in revenues and a 30% increase in earnings year-over-year, with a record backlog of €36 billion indicating strong future revenue visibility [6]. - ASML's revenue growth guidance for Q1 2025 is 46.5%, and for the full year 2025, it is 15% [6]. - Geopolitical risks, particularly export restrictions to China, pose challenges, as China accounted for approximately 41% of ASML's lithography shipments in 2024 [7]. Group 2: Applied Materials - Applied Materials is the largest supplier of semiconductor fabrication equipment, with a strong position in AI-driven semiconductor technology [8]. - In fiscal 2024, revenues from advanced semiconductor nodes exceeded $2.5 billion, with expectations to double in fiscal 2025 [9]. - In Q1 fiscal 2025, Applied Materials reported a 7% increase in revenues and a 12% increase in non-GAAP EPS [9]. - The company faces challenges from U.S. export restrictions to China, which are expected to reduce fiscal 2025 revenues by $400 million [10]. - A slowdown in the ICAPS segment could negatively impact Applied Materials' overall performance [11]. Group 3: Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, ASML shares have decreased by 10.1%, while Applied Materials shares have declined by 16.7% [13]. - ASML is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 23.56X, below its three-year median of 30.04X, while Applied Materials has a forward sales multiple of 14.13X, significantly lower than its median of 18.14X [14]. - ASML's valuations reflect high growth expectations and improving profitability, suggesting that its premium may be justified if execution is sustained [15]. Group 4: Estimates Comparison - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ASML's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 12.4% and 21.9%, respectively [18]. - For Applied Materials, the estimates for fiscal 2025 sales and EPS imply a year-over-year increase of 6% and 8.2%, respectively, with recent downward revisions [20]. Conclusion - ASML Holding has a stronger growth profile and a monopoly in EUV technology, making it a more compelling long-term investment compared to Applied Materials, which faces more uncertain growth prospects [21].
2 "Magnificent Seven" Stocks Down 19% and 25% You'll Wish You'd Bought on the Dip
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-04 09:47
Market Overview - The stock market has started 2025 on a shaky note, with the S&P 500 index down nearly 12% from its recent all-time high, following back-to-back annual gains of over 25% in 2023 and 2024, a rare occurrence in its history since 1957 [1] Investment Opportunities - The recent market sell-off presents a unique opportunity for investors to acquire high-quality stocks at discounted prices, particularly focusing on the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, which have a combined value of $14.3 trillion [2] Microsoft Analysis - Microsoft has invested approximately $14 billion in OpenAI since 2019 to enhance its AI capabilities, leading to the development of its AI assistant, Copilot, integrated into various software products [3][4] - Organizations that adopted Copilot for Microsoft 365 have expanded their licenses tenfold, with usage increasing by 60% in just three months [5] - Microsoft's Azure cloud platform reported a 157% year-over-year revenue growth in AI services during the second quarter, contributing 13 percentage points to the overall 31% revenue growth of Azure [6][7] - Microsoft stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 30.2, representing an 8.9% discount to its 10-year average P/E ratio of 33.2, marking a rare buying opportunity [8][9] Amazon Analysis - Amazon, the largest e-commerce company, also leads in the cloud computing sector with its AWS platform, which is larger than Microsoft Azure by revenue [10] - AWS has developed its own data center chips, Trainium and Inferentia, which can reduce costs for developers by up to 40%, and offers a platform called Bedrock with over 100 ready-made LLMs [11][12] - Amazon's virtual assistant "Q" embedded in AWS helps businesses identify trends and accelerate software development, enhancing productivity across various roles [13] - In 2024, Amazon generated $637.9 billion in total revenue, with AWS contributing $107.5 billion and accounting for 58% of the company's operating income [14] - Amazon's EPS increased by 90% in 2024, resulting in a P/E ratio of around 32, the lowest valuation since 2009, indicating a potential buying opportunity [15][16][17]
Jensen Huang Recently Delivered Incredible News for Nvidia Investors
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-04 08:27
Core Insights - Nvidia is experiencing unprecedented demand for its GPUs, particularly for AI applications, leading to a market capitalization increase of over $2.3 trillion since the start of 2023 [1] - The recent decline in Nvidia's stock price presents a potential buying opportunity for investors [2] Group 1: AI and GPU Demand - New AI models require 100 times the computing power of previous models, driving demand for Nvidia's data center GPUs [3] - The shift from "one-shot" responses to reasoning models necessitates significantly more computing power, with each response consuming 10 times more tokens [5] - Nvidia's new Blackwell GPU architecture can perform AI inference 30 times faster than its previous generation, with the Blackwell Ultra architecture expected to deliver 50 times more performance [6] Group 2: Market Opportunities - The top four cloud providers have ordered 3.6 million Blackwell GPUs, nearly triple the number of Hopper chips purchased last year, indicating strong market demand [7] - AI infrastructure spending is projected to exceed $1 trillion annually by 2028, with a significant portion allocated to AI accelerator chips [9] - Nvidia's data center business generated $115.2 billion in revenue for fiscal 2025, a 142% increase from the previous year, suggesting substantial growth potential [10] Group 3: Stock Valuation - Nvidia's stock has dropped 27% from its all-time high, making it an attractive investment opportunity with a current P/E ratio of 36.9, the lowest in three years [11] - Wall Street estimates suggest Nvidia's EPS for fiscal 2026 will be $4.53, resulting in a forward P/E ratio of 23.9, indicating significant upside potential [12] - Long-term returns for Nvidia shareholders may be realized over the next three to five years, based on projected growth in AI infrastructure spending [13]
Why Intel Stock Jumped in a Brutal Day for the Market
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 21:19
Core Viewpoint - Intel's stock showed resilience by gaining 2.1% despite a significant market sell-off, attributed to a potential partnership with TSMC that could enhance its foundry operations [1][2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Intel's share price increased by 2.1% on a day when the S&P 500 fell by 4.9% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 6% [1]. - Earlier in the trading session, Intel's stock was up as much as 8.7% [1]. Group 2: Market Context - The broader market experienced substantial sell-offs due to new tariffs announced by the Trump administration [2]. - Despite the bearish market conditions, Intel's stock managed to close in the green, indicating strong investor interest [2]. Group 3: Potential Partnership with TSMC - A preliminary agreement between Intel and TSMC could lead to TSMC acquiring a 20% stake in Intel's chip foundry unit, forming a new joint venture [3]. - TSMC's involvement would include sharing key trade secrets and assisting Intel in operating its foundry unit, which could significantly benefit Intel's long-term outlook in the semiconductor industry [3]. - The partnership is seen as a strategic move to enhance Intel's capabilities in the high-margin AI chip market, where demand for foundry services is increasing [4].
Here's How Tariffs Could Affect This Industry Giant. Should Investors Be Worried?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 14:23
Core Viewpoint - President Trump's new tariff plan, announced on April 2, includes updated tariffs on over 180 countries, with rates ranging from 10% to over 90%, impacting U.S. companies that rely on imports, particularly large tech firms [1] Company-Specific Analysis - Nvidia, a leading GPU producer, is significantly affected by the new tariffs, especially since it relies heavily on imports from Taiwan and China, which now face reciprocal tariffs of 32% and 34% respectively [2][3] - While semiconductors, crucial for Nvidia's GPUs and AI chips, are mostly exempt from the tariffs, the company still faces a 25% tariff on aluminum and steel used in its data center hardware, increasing costs from $1,000 to $1,250 for certain items [3][4] - Nvidia's revenue and net income have seen impressive growth due to rising demand for its products, but the new tariffs are expected to negatively impact earnings and profit margins in the short term [5][6] - The company has the option to pass increased costs onto customers, but this could risk losing price-sensitive customers amid recession fears, potentially harming Nvidia in the long run [7] - Despite the challenges posed by the tariffs, Nvidia is financially well-prepared with over $43 billion in cash and short-term investments, providing flexibility to navigate current conditions [8] - Nvidia's key partner, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, plans to increase U.S. operations, which may mitigate tariff impacts over time, and anticipated growth in AI could help offset immediate financial challenges [9] - For investors concerned about short-term stock performance, dollar-cost averaging is suggested as a strategy to manage volatility while maintaining confidence in Nvidia's long-term potential [10][11]
Prediction: 4 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Apple by 2030
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 10:15
Apple (AAPL 0.40%) is the world's largest company -- by about half a trillion dollars as I write this. So surpassing it in value is not a thing just any company can do. But I'm willing to make the bold prediction that there are stocks that could be bigger than Apple by 2030. In fact, considering the current state of Apple's business and the growth trajectories of some of its competitors, I think it's highly likely that Apple will lose its title of the world's largest company within the next few years.There ...
Down 28%, Should You Buy the Dip on Nvidia?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-02 10:45
Few technologies captured the market's attention quite like artificial intelligence (AI) over the course of the last few years. It comes as no surprise, however, given the enormity of the technology's potential power -- at least according to its ambassadors. The Sam Altmans (CEO of OpenAI) and Dario Amodeis (CEO of Anthropic) of the world see a not-too-distant future in which their products transform our economy and fundamentally reshaped the way most firms do business.But have you ever met a tech CEO that ...
4 No-Brainer "Magnificent Seven" Stocks to Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-02 08:25
The so-called "Magnificent Seven" stocks have helped power the market higher for the past few years. However, just like other stocks, these names have pulled back in recent weeks over macroeconomic concerns affecting earnings, some angst about the potential for diminishing returns related to artificial intelligence (AI), and uncertainty over tariff actions by the Trump administration. But pullbacks tend to be short-term setbacks for great companies that eventually find ways to recover. Let's look at the bes ...