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四周连涨!摩根大通已上调新兴市场货币评级
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-15 06:11
Group 1 - Southeast Asian countries have experienced four consecutive weeks of gains, with India leading the way [1] - The Indian stock market, represented by the SENSEX, has shown strong mid-term trends, defying initial expectations of a downturn [1] - The Emerging Asia ETF (SH520580) has seen significant trading activity, with a trading volume of 700 million and a turnover rate of 142% [3] Group 2 - The Emerging Asia ETF has a weight distribution of 53% in India, 19% in Indonesia, 15% in Malaysia, and 13% in Thailand, benefiting from low correlation with A-shares and U.S. stocks [4] - Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating on emerging market currencies from "underweight" to "neutral," indicating a potential shift in the dollar cycle and optimistic investor sentiment [5] - The ETF has recorded an 18% cumulative increase since April 8, with recent financing purchases of 0.08 billion, 0.06 billion, and 0.15 billion [7] Group 3 - The Emerging Asia ETF (520580) includes 50 leading companies from emerging markets, focusing on sectors such as finance, energy, technology, and consumer goods, with nearly half of its exposure in the Indian market [6] - The ETF's characteristics of "high growth and low correlation" may provide alpha opportunities in the context of a changing dollar cycle and enhanced regional economic resilience [7]
可持续的超额收益是绝对收益的时间积分形态
中泰证券资管· 2025-04-18 05:16
超额(相对)收益与绝对收益真的是不可兼得的鱼和熊掌吗?长期主义者会给出不一样的答案——可持续 的超额(相对)收益本质上是绝对收益的时间积分形态。 物理学家费曼说:"量子力学之所以难以理解,是因为我们总用经典世界的语言描述它。"资本市场同样如 此——当投资者用线性思维理解非线性的收益获得机制,必然陷入认知困境,如粒子位置与动量不可同时 精确测定一样。 在投资领域同样存在"风险、收益、可持续性"的不确定性三角 : ★ 宣称高绝对收益者,往往承受隐性尾部风险(长期资本管理公司的陨落); ★ 标榜可持续性者,常以牺牲收益锐度为代价(固定收益类产品的平庸回报); ★ 追求超额收益者,难逃时间维度的均值回归(连续跑赢市场的主动管理基金数量了了)。 对投资者而言,就像一场在迷雾中前行的冒险,收益的测不准性让投资领域充满了悬念与变数,许多投资 者陷入"超额(相对)收益与绝对收益对立"的思维困境。 这并非文字游戏,而是数学规律的必然。当某组合每年以2%的幅度持续跑赢标普500指数,30年后的累计 超额收益将高达81.1%,相当于在美股百年长牛的贝塔地基上,用阿尔法的复利魔法建造出一座收益金字 塔。 历史反复验证:当管理人以长期 ...