Core Viewpoint - Investors are encouraged to allocate more to private markets, which are expected to yield higher returns compared to traditional public markets, with a projected 15% return for a typical 60/40 portfolio, double the average from 2005 to 2024 [1] Private Market Insights - The focus is on private equity, private credit, and private real estate, with middle market private equity trading at approximately 11 times EBITDA compared to the Russell 2000's 19 times, indicating better growth potential at a lower cost [2] - Middle market private equity offers growth at a reasonable price, with revenue growth of 1.5 to 2.5 times nominal GDP, purchased at a 60% to 80% discount to the Russell 2000 [3] Market Volatility and Diversification - Middle market private equity is expected to compete with the S&P and NASDAQ over time while exhibiting less volatility and drawdown risk, providing true diversification [4] - The middle market is identified as a significant growth engine in the U.S. economy, comprising approximately 200,000 companies [5] Economic Growth and Investment Opportunities - The asset class is projected to experience gross revenue growth of 1.5 to 2.5 times nominal GDP growth, presenting vast investment opportunities [6] - Investing in sectors like HVAC, paving, and specialty foods can yield attractive growth rates of 10% to 15% at reasonable prices, contrasting with the high stakes of broader market trends tied to AI [7] Nominal GDP and Revenue Impact - Strong nominal GDP growth is anticipated, driven by robust real GDP growth and significant business fixed investment, particularly related to AI [11] - Nominal GDP is crucial for driving revenue across both large-cap listed companies and middle market private equity, emphasizing the importance of maintaining strong nominal GDP growth without high inflation [12][13]

Core Insights - Nvidia has experienced a remarkable growth of nearly 23,000% over the past decade, primarily driven by its focus on artificial intelligence (AI) [1][2] - The company is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory, potentially enabling investors to build substantial portfolios over the long term [2] Nvidia's Success Factors - Nvidia's chips are dominant in AI model training and are essential for real-world applications, despite competition from Alphabet's Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) [3] - The company is expanding into various sectors such as healthcare, automotive, and telecommunications, developing AI platforms for specific industry applications like autonomous driving [4] - Nvidia's growth is supported by high-profile partnerships, including a recent deal with Groq, which is expected to enhance growth through a licensing agreement for inference technology [5][6] Competitive Landscape - Traditional competitors like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) are aggressively entering the AI chip market, while companies like Amazon are gaining popularity among retail investors [8] - Concerns exist regarding Nvidia's ability to maintain its market position against these competitors, particularly if alternative data center models gain traction [9] Financial Performance and Market Sentiment - Approximately 90% of Nvidia's second-quarter revenue is linked to AI infrastructure demand, indicating a strong reliance on this sector [10] - The company's innovative capabilities and strong market position may allow it to capitalize on emerging trends, with 97% of investors rating NVDA shares as a 'Buy' [10] - Nvidia's potential for long-term growth remains significant, contingent on its commitment to innovation as emphasized by CEO Jensen Huang [11]

Core Insights - Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE: CNQ) has significantly increased its dividend by 9,300% over 24 years and currently offers a yield that is more than four times that of the average S&P 500 company, with an average annual dividend increase of 21% this century [2][3] - The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 15, making it half as expensive as the broader market, raising questions about potential risks [2][3] Industry Overview - The oil and gas sector may be approaching a significant downturn, reminiscent of the 70% crash in oil prices a decade ago, which could impact Canadian Natural Resources despite its strong management and past resilience [3][4] - Factors that typically drive oil prices higher, such as geopolitical tensions and economic growth, have not prevented a 10% decline in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices over the past three months [5] - The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in oil production is leading to unprecedented efficiency, allowing companies to streamline operations and reduce costs, which may contribute to a supply shock similar to that experienced in 2014 and 2015 [6][8]

Core Insights - The discussion centers around the impact of AI on productivity and economic growth, with a focus on the expectations for 2026 and the implications for corporate earnings and stock prices [1][2][3] Group 1: AI and Productivity - AI is seen as a key driver of productivity, allowing for economic growth without significant inflationary pressures, which is favorable for central bankers [1][2] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell has acknowledged that AI usage is likely increasing productivity, with GDP growth expectations for 2026 raised to 2.3% from 1.8% [2] - The Fed has also lowered its inflation expectations for next year to 2.4% from 2.6%, indicating a belief that productivity gains from AI can coexist with moderate inflation [2] Group 2: Corporate Earnings and Stock Market - The estimated earnings per share for the S&P 500 in 2024 is projected to be $3922, which would set a new record [1][3] - Concerns about high valuations in the stock market are countered by the expectation of record corporate profits, suggesting that high stock prices may be justified [3][4] - Companies are focusing on increasing revenue per employee rather than hiring more staff, which could lead to significant outperformance for those that can effectively leverage AI [2][3] Group 3: Micron Technology - Micron has seen its stock price triple this year, driven by demand for its DRAM products, particularly for AI data centers [2][3] - The company has announced it will no longer produce memory chips for the consumer segment due to high demand from AI applications, indicating a shift in focus [2] - Micron's stock is considered vulnerable to price fluctuations based on memory chip prices, which could impact its future performance [3]

bigjom jom / Shutterstock.com Quick Read BKLC surged 40% from April to December 2025 and outperformed SPY by 1.2% year-to-date. The top three holdings (NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft) represent nearly 20% of the portfolio. BKLC charges 0% in fees versus VOO’s 0.03% but has only $5B in assets compared to VOO’s $1.5T. A recent study identified one single habit that doubled Americans’ retirement savings and moved retirement from dream, to reality. Read more here. When a large-cap ETF with zero fees cli ...

Core Viewpoint - Cango Inc. is undergoing a significant transformation from a car trading platform to a bitcoin mining and high-performance computing center, with its largest shareholder, Enduring Wealth Capital Ltd., increasing its voting stake to nearly 50% through a $10.5 million investment in newly issued Class B shares [1][4]. Group 1: Shareholder Changes - Enduring Wealth Capital Ltd. will purchase 7 million newly issued Class B shares for $10.5 million, equating to a price of $1.50 per share, which is an 8% premium over Cango's previous closing price of $1.39 [2]. - Following this investment, EWCL's voting rights will increase from 36.68% to 49.61%, granting it near-majority control of Cango [3]. - Cango's current major stakeholders include Golden TechGen Ltd., which holds 12.23% of voting rights, and co-founders Zhang Xiaojun and Lin Jiayuan, whose voting rights have decreased to about 12% [8]. Group 2: Business Transformation - Cango is shifting its focus from a China-based car trading platform to bitcoin trading and cryptocurrency mining facilities, which are similar to data centers for AI applications [4]. - The company aims to reduce its reliance on bitcoin mining, which has led to volatility in its financial metrics, and transition towards operating high-performance computing centers [5][6]. - The transition involves replacing its executive and shareholding teams with individuals experienced in the financial sector, including new management from EWCL, which is associated with Antalpha Ventures [7].

Aside from AWS, Amazon's retail division continues to scale smoothly. Revenue in North America increased by 11% YoY, while overseas revenue increased by 10%, and paid unit growth reached 11%. Faster delivery, same-day grocery growth, and AI-powered shopping tools are all driving more engagement and conversion. Meanwhile, advertising income increased by 22% YoY to $17.7 billion, benefiting from Amazon's full-funnel ad ecosystem and new partnerships.Amazon is making substantial investments to meet AI-driven c ...

I want to talk to you about this because I talked to a lot of transport executives and they talked to me about what their customers are saying about nearshoring and reshoring. You have a prediction for us. You say about 80% of US companies are going to bring their manufacturing back to the US. Are you saying all their manufacturing some.Give us a sense of the kind of nuance in that prediction. >> Sure. Sure.So we got two predictions for 2026 and one of them is made in America made to win. Uh so reshoring is ...

We recently published 8 Stocks on Jim Cramer’s Radar.  Prologis, Inc. (NYSE:PLD) is one of the stocks on Jim Cramer's radar. Prologis, Inc. (NYSE:PLD) is a real estate company that focuses on the logistics industry. The stock has performed well in 2025 as it is up 23.45% year-to-date. On November 17th, Bank of America kept a Buy rating on the shares and increased the share price target to $144 from $137. Cramer has sparingly discussed Prologis, Inc. (NYSE:PLD) in 2025. For instance, he commented on the fi ...

Silver prices slumped 8.7%, but they have still more than doubled overall in 2025.“The price action of silver is the big story today and it’s what’s been driving the returns for the whole index in Canada, considering that now materials are getting very big in the index. The whole sector in Canada is down almost 3% on the day on the back of this little silver correction,” Gauthier said.He added that during this time of year, markets are slow and move on lower volume, making it prone to volatility.Going into ...