Summary of Mondelez International (MDLZ) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Mondelez International (MDLZ) - **Date of Conference**: June 04, 2025 - **Speakers**: Dirk Brandeplut (CEO) and Luca Zaramella (CFO) Key Industry Insights Consumer Health Trends - **US Consumer Confidence**: Low, with significant declines noted in March and April 2025, leading to cautious spending behavior, especially among lower social classes [6][7] - **Snacking Categories**: Overall slowdown observed, with biscuits performing relatively better than other snacking categories, gaining market share despite a 2% volume decline in the category [8] - **Mexico**: Similar consumer nervousness due to tariffs and unemployment risks, resulting in category slowdowns [9][10] - **Europe**: More positive consumer sentiment, with better performance in biscuits and chocolate categories due to wage indexation [11][12] - **China**: Consumer confidence at a low, but Mondelez is gaining market share with high single-digit growth [13][14] - **India**: Shift from premium to basic products in response to inflation, with signs of recovery in consumer sentiment [15] - **Brazil**: Strong consumer performance and market share gains, viewed as a bright spot [16] Strategic Strengths - **Geographical Spread**: 75% of Mondelez's business is outside the US, providing resilience against local market challenges [17][18] - **Distribution Focus**: Aggressive distribution strategy to ensure product availability in various retail formats [18][19] - **Category Resilience**: Long-term growth expected in key categories like biscuits and chocolate, with historical growth rates of 2% volume and 3-5% net revenue [19][20] Chocolate and Cocoa Market Dynamics - **Pricing Strategy**: Successful implementation of pricing increases and revenue growth management (RGM) strategies, with a focus on offering products at various price points [22][23] - **Market Share Gains**: Despite inflation, Mondelez has gained market share in key markets, particularly during the Easter season [23][25] - **Elasticity Concerns**: Monitoring consumer reactions to price changes, with a belief that cocoa prices will eventually decrease [24][26][61] Growth Strategies in the US - **Product Packaging Adjustments**: Shift from larger family packs to smaller packs priced under $4 to meet consumer budget constraints [36] - **In-store Activations**: Focus on brand activations and promotions to drive consumer interest and sales [38] - **Channel Shifts**: Opportunity to capture market share in underrepresented channels [39] Emerging Markets Focus - **Brand Equity and Distribution**: Emphasis on building brand equity and expanding distribution in emerging markets like China, India, Brazil, and Mexico [40][41][42][44] - **Adaptation to Local Markets**: Tailoring products and pricing strategies to meet local consumer needs and preferences [41][43] Cakes and Pastries Opportunity - **Market Potential**: Cakes and pastries viewed as a natural extension of Mondelez's product offerings, with opportunities for premiumization and consolidation [48][49][51][52] M&A Strategy - **Active M&A Interest**: Mondelez has a list of potential acquisition targets and remains disciplined in pursuing strategic opportunities [63][66][70] - **Capital Deployment**: Focus on stock buybacks while maintaining flexibility for future acquisitions [70][71] Regulatory and Health Trends - **Health and Wellness Trends**: Monitoring shifts towards health and wellness, with a focus on indulgent snacking remaining strong [75][76] - **Regulatory Adaptation**: Prepared to adapt to potential regulatory changes in the US, with a proactive approach to health-related discussions [78][79] Cultural and Operational Improvements - **Local First Strategy**: Emphasis on local adaptation while enhancing centralized innovation efforts [84][85] - **Long-term Strategy Execution**: Need for improved long-term strategic planning alongside current operational management [86][87]

May 27, 2025 10:12 PM GMT Global Macro Commentary | Global May 27 Sharp super-long JGB rally amid speculation for lower long-end issuance; positive EU and US trade developments support US assets; USTs bull-flatten; miss in France CPI; LatAm currencies outperform; Fed's Barkin warns of effects of uncertainty; DXY at 99.58 (0.5%); US 10y at 4.444% (-6.7bp) Please refer to our recent publications and collaborations (Euro Area Rates Strategy: More Room to Go; Hong Kong Macro Strategy, Economics, Property & Bank ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter earnings performance exceeded expectations, with reported net sales increasing by 4% driven by the Sovos acquisition and organic net sales growth of 1% [5][29] - Adjusted EBIT increased by 2% year-over-year, resulting in a slight margin decrease due to lower net pricing realization [9][30] - Adjusted EPS was down 3%, with a net positive contribution from the Sovos acquisition [10][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Meals and Beverages division reported organic net sales growth of 6%, driven by volume and mix growth of 7% [13][35] - Snacks business experienced a 5% decline in organic net sales, primarily due to lower volume and mix [20][36] - The overall consumption of Meals and Beverages leadership brands increased by 2%, while Snacks leadership brand consumption declined by 3% [11][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In-market consumption for Meals and Beverages outpaced category consumption, while Snacks lagged behind due to competitive pressures [7][10] - The consumer environment showed a preference for home-cooked meals, leading to increased demand for Meals and Beverages products [11][62] - The Snacks category faced a 3% decline in in-market consumption, attributed to deteriorating consumer confidence and increased competition [20][72] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on near-term in-market execution and mitigating tariff impacts while investing in brand growth and capabilities [8][27] - A growth office has been established to enhance consumer insights, brand activation, and innovation [27] - The company aims to improve efficiency and effectiveness across the organization to facilitate long-term growth [27][41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are making more deliberate spending decisions, impacting the Snacks business negatively [6][26] - The company expects adjusted earnings to be at the low end of the guidance range due to slower recovery in the Snacks business [7][39] - There is optimism regarding the sustainability of the at-home cooking trend, which has positively impacted the Meals and Beverages division [60][64] Other Important Information - The company has estimated the net incremental headwind of tariff-related costs to be up to $0.03 to $0.05 per share for fiscal 2025 [39][40] - Capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 are expected to be approximately 4.5% of net sales, reflecting a decrease from prior guidance [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the pressure on the Snacks business? - Management indicated that about two-thirds of the pressure is due to overall category performance and one-third from in-market execution, with a focus on innovation and value [45][47] Question: What are the key factors for fiscal 2026? - Management noted that recovery in the Snacks business is expected to take place in fiscal 2026, with a need for increased marketing support [52][54] Question: How sustainable is the at-home cooking trend? - Management expressed optimism about the sustainability of the at-home cooking trend, supported by the company's diverse portfolio [60][64] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on future guidance? - Management clarified that the estimated tariff impact is being phased in and should not be annualized at this time due to the evolving trade landscape [75][80] Question: What is the growth expectation for Rao's? - Management expects high single-digit growth for Rao's in fiscal 2025, with confidence in the brand's trajectory [83][84]

Core Viewpoint - Carnival's stock has seen significant volatility in 2023, currently trading around $23, down from a 52-week high of $28.72, despite more than doubling since 2022 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Carnival reported record quarterly revenue of $5.8 billion in Q1, with operating income nearly doubling year over year to $543 million, driven by strong demand across its cruise brands [6] - Analysts expect Carnival's earnings per share to improve from $1.42 in fiscal 2024 to $1.86 in fiscal 2025, despite the company carrying $27 billion in debt [9] - The company saved $94 million in interest expense last quarter due to lower debt, which has positively impacted profitability [8] Group 2: Market Demand and Pricing - Demand for cruises is exceeding the limited availability of rooms, leading to higher pricing and historically high prices for 2025, with bookings extending into 2026 [7] - The consensus price target for Carnival's stock is $27.73, indicating a potential upside of 20% from current prices [3] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - Declining consumer confidence could weaken demand for cruise vacations, with consumer confidence down for five consecutive months as of April [2][10] - Potential new taxes on cruise lines could negatively impact Carnival's profitability, as indicated by comments from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick [11] Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming launch of Celebration Key, an exclusive destination, is expected to drive strong demand through 2030, potentially offsetting risks and contributing to revenue growth [13] - If Carnival's earnings reach analyst estimates of $2.46 in 2027, with a fair P/E of 15, the share price could rise to nearly $37, implying a 60% upside over the next few years [13]

U.S. consumers have regained some of their faith in the nation’s economy over the past month, or since the United States and China announced a trade truce and temporarily halted tariffs. Markets have since rebounded sharply and consumers are a lot more confident now.Although trade anxiety persists, the situation has improved a lot from the lows seen in March and early April. This saw consumer confidence rebounding sharply in May. Given this positive sentiment, it would be ideal to invest in consumer discret ...

由于利率下调，悉尼拍卖会上购房者纷纷大手笔出价，一栋破旧小屋竟以高出卖家预期70万澳元的价格 售出。 据RealEstate网站报道，专家称，尽管降息对房市的推动作用早已预期，但此次市场反弹强劲超出了原 先的预想。 据悉，这场拍卖会有15位注册竞标者参加。与此同时，Lane Cove一栋三居室住宅 也卖出了远高于预期 的价格。 这套位于Sutherland Ave的房屋的底价是275万澳元，首次出价便超出了5万澳元。 （图片来源：RealEstate） 初步数据显示，上周拍卖成功率约73%，高于降息前一周的65%左右，是今年以来第 二繁忙的市场活动 周。 位于Ryde的一间老旧木板小屋成为市场热点，在拍卖会上以230万澳元售出，大大 超出卖家160万澳元 的底价。 （图片来源：RealEstate） 拍卖师Chris Scerri指出，降息是促成高于预期价格的因素之一。 他表示，降息对 市场的主要影响在于"信心提振"，鼓励竞标者出价更高。 婴儿潮一代和千禧一代尤其看好这一时机，近一半表示当前适合买房。 澳洲统计局 的贷款数据显示了类似趋势：今年的自住房贷款数量比去年增长约4.1%，平均贷款 额增长 了8.3% ...

Many investors were eager to see how retail giant Target's (TGT -0.79%) latest quarter would look, and, unfortunately, it wasn't great. The company missed analysts' consensus estimates for sales and earnings, and management lowered the company's full-year outlook.Target has been on a rough path over the past few years, and the next 12 months could be rocky as well. Here's where Target stock could be in one year. From bad to worseTarget's sales declined in 2024, and investors were hoping that 2025 might be t ...

Core Viewpoint - Ralph Lauren plans to raise prices to offset tariff costs, supported by strong demand from high-end customers [1] Pricing Strategy - The company is assessing additional pricing actions for fall 2025 and spring 2026 to mitigate tariff impacts, building on proactive pricing already planned for 2025 in North America and Asia [2] - Ralph Lauren has increased its average unit retail (AUR) every quarter for the past eight years, with a high single-digit increase in AUR expected for the current quarter compared to the previous year [2] Brand and Quality Enhancement - The company has elevated its AUR by enhancing brand quality, adjusting geographic and channel mixes, reducing discounts, and selectively raising prices [3] - These strategies provide confidence in managing cost headwinds while maintaining strong pricing power [3] Consumer Resilience - Despite weakening consumer confidence in the U.S. and potential broader consumer pullback, Ralph Lauren's core consumers remain resilient [4] - The company has not observed changes in sales trajectories across its regions (APAC, EMEA, North America), with full-price sales continuing to grow [5] Market Context - The remarks from Ralph Lauren follow reports of soft demand from luxury conglomerate LVMH due to weaker consumer confidence in China and other markets [5] - In contrast, luxury group Richemont plans to limit price increases to avoid customer backlash seen by some competitors [6]

Core Insights - Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. is preparing to provide updates to stockholders ahead of its Annual Meeting scheduled for June 23, 2025, focusing on its innovative business model and strategic growth initiatives [1] Group 1: Portfolio Assets - The company will update investors on its portfolio assets, which include Tevogen Bio Oncology, Tevogen Bio Specialty Care, and Tevogen.AI, valued at over $10 billion as of October 2024 [2] Group 2: Corporate Highlights - Tevogen will detail two strategic initiatives: Tevogen.AI and Tevogen Generics & Biosimilars, alongside plans to expand its operational footprint with an upgraded headquarters [3] Group 3: Financial Market Dynamics - Management is monitoring stock dynamics, noting the impact of a limited tradable float and the growing institutional ownership, which reflects strong investor confidence and long-term holding patterns [4]

Target reported a 3.8% decrease in comparable sales for the first quarter and said it expects to see a low single-digit decline in sales for fiscal 2025.“In the first quarter, our team and our business faced an exceptionally challenging environment that affected our performance with declines in both traffic and sales, most notably in our discretionary categories,” Target Chair and CEO Brian Cornell said Wednesday (May 21) during the retailer’s quarterly earnings call.Cornell attributed the drop in part to f ...