Group 1 - The EU has approved a new round of sanctions against Russia, which includes banning EU operators from using the "Nord Stream" pipeline and setting a price cap for oil imports [2] - The sanctions aim to target the core of the "Russian war machine," including the banking, energy, and military industries, with a new dynamic oil price cap mechanism [2] - The sanctions will continue until the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, as stated by EU officials [2] Group 2 - China has expressed strong opposition to the inclusion of two Chinese financial institutions in the EU's sanctions list, calling it a severe and harmful action [1] - China has emphasized its commitment to promoting peace talks regarding the Ukraine issue and has not provided lethal weapons to any conflict parties [1] - The Chinese government has stated that it will take resolute measures to protect its legitimate rights and interests in response to the sanctions [1]

金十数据7月18日讯，德国总理默茨接受了美国的指责，即欧洲在为自己的防务和安全提供资金方面做 得太少，但现在相信双方拥有共识。他表示："我们知道，我们必须自己做得更多，过去我们一直是搭 便车的人。他们要求我们做得更多，我们也在做得更多。"默茨访问英国是为了加强两国防务关系，这 是一项历史性友好条约的一部分，该条约还旨在解决非法移民问题，促进青年交流。默茨称，他已经与 美国总统特朗普见过三次面，他们的关系很好。"我认为特朗普总统和我们意见一致；我们正在努力结 束（俄乌）冲突。""我们每周通一次电话；我们正在协调我们的努力。一个是乌克兰问题，第二个是我 们的贸易辩论和关税。" （英国广播公司） 德国总理默茨：欧洲搭了美国的便车 ...

Core Viewpoint - The European Union has implemented its 18th round of sanctions against Russia, which includes a ban on new transactions related to the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines [1] Group 1 - The sanctions are part of ongoing measures in response to the geopolitical situation stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - The focus on Nord Stream pipelines indicates a strategic move to limit Russia's energy export capabilities [1]

扎哈罗娃表示，毫无疑问，如果没有生产这些远程武器系统国家的军事人员的直接参与(接收北约卫星 侦察数据、设置导弹飞行路径程序等)，这些远程武器系统的使用不可能由乌军部队独立完成。如果这 些远程武器被使用，相关外国军人直接参与对俄作战行动的策划和实施，这些国家将承担由此产生的一 切后果。 俄罗斯外交部发言人扎哈罗娃17日在例行记者会上表示，如果某些西方国家允许乌克兰使用其生产的远 程武器袭击俄纵深目标，俄方有权动用武器对这些国家的军事设施实施打击。如果冲突进一步升级，俄 方将予以"果断回击"。 扎哈罗娃指出，2024年11月，俄罗斯总统普京明确阐述了俄方对西方国家允许乌方使用其远程武器系统 对俄领土纵深进行打击的决定的立场。"这一立场至今未变"。 （文章来源：中国新闻网） 扎哈罗娃表示，目前俄乌谈判"陷入停滞"，原因在于乌方要么在回避谈判，要么尚未确定何时才能准备 好进行谈判。俄罗斯代表团愿意前往伊斯坦布尔参加俄乌第三轮直接谈判，希望乌方也能本着业已达成 的一致意见行事，并继续谈判进程。她表示，目前尚未看到乌方关于愿意举行第三轮谈判的信号或反 应。 针对美方要求俄乌50天内达成协议的言论，扎哈罗娃表示，俄罗斯对乌 ...

3. 俄罗斯联邦安全委员会副主席梅德韦杰夫：西方基本上与俄罗斯处于全面战争状态。俄罗斯应该全面 回应西方，必要时进行预防性打击。 其他情况： 1. 乌克兰议会批准乌克兰总理什梅加尔担任国防部长。 2. 北约最高军事指挥官格林克维奇：即使乌克兰问题出现和平解决方案，俄罗斯仍将是一个威胁。 冲突情况： 1. 乌克兰无人机据称袭击了莫斯科和圣彼得堡。 2. 乌克兰武装部队总参谋部：过去一天俄军损失了约1190名士兵，以及4辆坦克、1辆装甲运兵车和43套 火炮系统等装备。 3. 俄罗斯国防部：俄罗斯联邦武装部队"解放"了三个定居点，包括哈尔科夫地区的杰吉亚尔内、"顿涅 茨克人民共和国"的波波夫亚尔和扎波罗热地区的卡缅斯科耶。 金十数据整理：俄乌冲突最新24小时局势跟踪（7月18日） ...

Group 1: Global Energy Trade and Sanctions - Russia's crude oil exports to the Asia-Pacific region increased by 17% year-on-year as of June [1] - The impact of global sanctions on Russia is diminishing, with rising market uncertainty due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - In 2024, U.S. imports from Russia are projected to be only $3.5 billion, primarily consisting of fertilizers, metals, and limited energy [2] - Russia's exports to the U.S. account for less than 0.5% of its total exports, making U.S. tariff threats less impactful [2] - Russia's trade with China and India is expected to grow, with bilateral trade projected to exceed $90 billion by mid-2025 [2][3] Group 2: Military Aid and Global Response - Trump announced increased military aid to Ukraine, including the provision of Patriot missile systems, with European countries expected to cover costs [4] - Global arms trade is expected to grow by 21% by 2025, with U.S. companies dominating the market [4] - Ukraine's air defense is under significant pressure, with Russian drone attacks increasing fivefold [4][5] - The European Union is cautious about the potential disruption of global energy supply chains and emphasizes the need for stable cooperation [3] Group 3: Political Implications and Market Reactions - Trump's "last ultimatum" is perceived as a political performance aimed at strengthening his image domestically rather than effecting real change in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [8] - The potential for unilateral sanctions to trigger unforeseen global repercussions is highlighted, with increasing skepticism from EU countries regarding Trump's policies [7][8] - Russia's financial system is moving towards de-dollarization, with a growing reliance on the yuan and ruble for cross-border transactions [5]

市场消息：在一系列扩大袭击中，乌克兰无人机据称瞄准了莫斯科和圣彼得堡。 ...

克里姆林宫：（西方）向乌克兰提供武器的问题是俄罗斯议事日程的重点。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent shift in Trump's stance towards Russia, from seeking business cooperation to threatening 100% tariffs, raises questions about the changing international landscape and the effectiveness of such sanctions [1][3]. Group 1: Trump's Tariff Threat - Trump announced a plan involving weapon aid to Ukraine and a threat of 100% tariffs on Russia if a peace agreement is not reached within 50 days [1]. - The bilateral trade volume between the US and Russia is only $3.5 billion in 2024, making the tariff threat less impactful for Russia, which is already under heavy sanctions [1][3]. - Trump's reliance on tariffs as a tool for international intervention reflects his background as a businessman, but the effectiveness of this approach is uncertain given the current geopolitical complexities [3]. Group 2: Impact on International Relations - The proposed tariffs may primarily affect countries that trade with Russia, such as China and India, potentially leading to broader trade implications [3]. - Trump's actions appear to be a political maneuver to gain support domestically and from European allies, rather than a straightforward economic strategy [3][6]. - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict is more complex than the tariff threats suggest, with Russia's strategic goals remaining clear despite international sanctions [4]. Group 3: Domestic and International Reactions - There is growing discontent among the Ukrainian populace regarding the prolonged conflict, which could complicate any increased military aid from the US [6]. - Russia's response indicates a lack of fear towards Trump's threats, suggesting they are prepared for continued pressure from the US [6][8]. - The situation highlights the limitations of sanctions and military aid in resolving deep-rooted geopolitical conflicts, emphasizing that true outcomes will depend on the evolving battlefield dynamics [6][8].

Group 1: Nuclear Safety Concerns - The discovery of numerous small-caliber shell casings near reactors 5 and 6 at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant has heightened safety concerns regarding the facility [1][2] - IAEA Director General Grossi expressed strong concern over the increased risk to nuclear safety due to recent drone attacks and gunfire incidents around the plant [2][3] - The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, under Russian control, has experienced multiple power outages, with the latest being the ninth since the conflict began, raising alarms about its operational stability [3][4] Group 2: Potential Consequences of Nuclear Incidents - A severe nuclear accident at the Zaporizhzhia plant could have catastrophic consequences, comparable to or worse than the Chernobyl disaster, affecting both Ukraine and Russia [4][5] - The plant's reliance on emergency diesel generators for power underscores its vulnerable safety situation, as the cooling systems of shut-down reactors require stable electricity supply to meet safety standards [4] Group 3: Geopolitical Implications - Ukraine appears to be leveraging the heightened nuclear risk at Zaporizhzhia to pressure European nations for greater involvement in the conflict with Russia [3] - The strategic location of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, which generates 25% of Ukraine's electricity, makes it a critical asset in the ongoing conflict [5]