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天目湖(603136)季报点评:25Q3收入降幅环比收窄 动物王国项目终止实施
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:33
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with marketing efforts helping to narrow the revenue drop, but profit margins were affected [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 386 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 83 million yuan, down 2.54% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 140 million yuan, a decrease of 1.23% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 29 million yuan, down 13.19% year-on-year [1]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 54.0%, remaining stable year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 20.4% due to increased sales expenses [1]. Project Updates - The company announced the termination of the Animal Kingdom project due to external conditions and industry environment changes, along with the cessation of related operations [2]. - Other projects are progressing, including the planning and construction of the Nanshan Xiaozhai Phase II project, upgrades to existing facilities, and the completion of conceptual planning for future projects [2]. Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a practitioner of a one-stop tourism model in China, with a comprehensive tourism industry chain [3]. - Despite the negative impact of the terminated Animal Kingdom project on future performance, the company is collaborating with state-owned enterprises to enhance its tourism offerings and is expected to continue focusing on optimizing existing projects and advancing new ones [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 520 million yuan, 570 million yuan, and 620 million yuan, with net profits of 100 million yuan, 130 million yuan, and 140 million yuan respectively, leading to a current price-to-earnings ratio of 30x, 25x, and 22x [3].
天目湖(603136):25Q3收入降幅环比收窄,动物王国项目终止实施
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-28 07:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company has experienced a revenue decline of 4.65% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue of 386 million yuan and a net profit of 83 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.54% [1]. - The termination of the Animal Kingdom project is expected to have a negative impact on future performance, but the company is focusing on optimizing existing projects and advancing new ones [3][2]. - Revenue for Q3 2025 was 140 million yuan, down 1.23% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to Q2 2025, which saw a 9.82% drop [1]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 522 million yuan, 574 million yuan, and 619 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 102 million yuan, 125 million yuan, and 140 million yuan [4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 54.0%, remaining stable year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 20.4% due to increased sales expenses [1]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.38 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.4 times [4].
天目湖(603136):25Q1利润增长26%,全年业绩增长展望积极
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-28 10:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within six months [9][16]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 540 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 14.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 100 million yuan, down 28.8% year-on-year due to external market conditions [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 100 million yuan, a slight decline of 1.6% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 26.45% year-on-year, indicating effective cost control [1][3]. - The company aims for a revenue of 580 million yuan in 2025, representing an 8.6% growth, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 22.8% year-on-year [4]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the scenic area business is projected to generate 280 million yuan, down 13.0% year-on-year, with specific declines in revenue from various attractions [2]. - The hotel business is expected to see a revenue drop of 23.1% to 160 million yuan, while the water world business is anticipated to decline by 41.3% to 7.46 million yuan [2]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for 2024 is forecasted at 52.4%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with various business segments experiencing declines in gross margins [3]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 41.4%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting better cost management [3]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts a net profit of 140.59 million yuan for 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 21, and 18 for the years 2025 to 2027 [4][6]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the years 2025 to 2027 are 8.94%, 9.31%, and 9.52%, respectively [6].