Core Viewpoint - The company Tianmu Lake (603136.SH) has reported a continuous decline in revenue for five consecutive quarters, with a significant drop in both revenue and net profit for 2024, indicating a challenging development situation amidst a recovering domestic tourism market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Core Scenic Area Business - The core scenic area business, which accounts for over 50% of the company's revenue, experienced a significant decline, with revenue for 2024 reaching 282.4 million yuan, down 13.03% year-on-year, and main profit dropping by 32.5% [2][3][4]. - The main profit margin for the scenic area business decreased to 70.43%, a reduction of 0.81 percentage points compared to the previous year [2][3]. - The two major 5A scenic areas, Shanshui Garden and Nanshan Bamboo Sea, both saw declines in revenue and main profit for 2024, with Shanshui Garden's revenue down 17.47% and Nanshan Bamboo Sea's down 7.58% [4][5]. Group 2: Hotel Business - The hotel business, which contributes nearly 30% to the company's revenue, also faced a sharp decline, with 2024 revenue falling to 159.4 million yuan, a decrease of 23.1%, and main profit down 27.86% [6][7]. - The gross profit margin for the hotel business dropped significantly from 29.88% to 21.4%, indicating substantial operational pressure [6][7]. - The performance of the hot spring and water world businesses, aimed at boosting off-peak season revenue, also saw significant declines, with the water world business revenue plummeting by 41.28% [7]. Group 3: Fundraising Projects - The company has two fundraising projects initiated in 2020 that have faced multiple delays, with the expected completion dates pushed back to December 2025 [8][10]. - The South Mountain Xiaozhai project and the Yushui Hot Spring renovation project have seen minimal progress, with only 8.14% of the projects completed as of the latest updates [10]. - The prolonged delays and changing market conditions raise uncertainties about the future performance of these projects, which were intended to enhance the company's competitiveness and profitability [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with a slight recovery in Q1 2025, indicating challenges in the external environment affecting various business lines [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 536 million, a year-on-year decrease of 14.87%, and a net profit of 101 million, down 27.77% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 105 million, a decrease of 1.6%, but net profit increased by 34.46% to 13 million [1][3]. - The overall gross margin in 2024 decreased by 1.92 percentage points to 52.42%, while the net margin fell by 4.17 percentage points to 22.55% [2]. Business Segment Analysis - Revenue from various business lines declined due to external environmental factors, with the water park segment experiencing the most significant drop of 41.28% [2]. - The revenue changes for 2024 by business line were as follows: scenic area business down 13.03%, water world down 41.28%, hot spring business down 10.4%, hotel business down 23.1%, and travel agency business down 4.54% [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved by 3.27 percentage points to 41.44%, while the expense ratio increased by 1.49 percentage points to 21.24% [3]. - The company’s strategic focus includes seeking quality acquisition opportunities and upgrading existing projects, such as the Yushui Hot Spring and Longxing Island projects [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the scenic area sector, with plans for future growth through new projects and geographical expansion [4]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 126 million, 144 million, and 161 million, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 26X, 23X, and 20X [4].