先分析上证指数。 上证指数，月线级别的走势来看，尽管本月还剩下两个交易日，但是本月的月K线和目前的K线差距不大。这样的K线，本身就释放了调整信号。周期面 来看，最近几个月的上涨，到本月为止，走了五个有效的上涨周期，到了变盘节点，本月处在小幅度震荡调整状态。因此，目前走势来看，十月份大盘指 数大概率还是以调整为主。本次调整的目标，是月线级别的五单位均线。目前，这条均线上行的速度比较快，到下个月就可以看到对应的点位在3700点附 近。当然了，接下来大盘指数在现有的平台震荡，还是采用下探的方式完成调整，还需要进一步观察。 同时，我们还可以发现，月线级别存在一个长达数年的大型中枢结构，这个结构在去年九月份实现了有效突破，意味着未来大盘指数上涨的空间非常大， 突破2007年的高点，是基本没有悬念的。但是，最近一段时间，大盘指数突破了2021年八月份左右的高点，也有回踩的需求。 下周，A股节前还剩下两个交易日，大家面临的困惑，想必都一样。因此，今天重点分析长假临近，持股还是持币？ 一、大盘指数分析 今天，重点分析一下上证指数和科创50指数的月线级别走势，解读下周以及接下来一段时间大盘指数走势。 科创50指数，月线级别的走 ...

Market Analysis - The index successfully surpassed the 3357 point level, which is a significant concentration area for trading, indicating a high probability of further upward movement towards 3389 points [1][4] - Following the initial touch of 3389 points, the index experienced a slight pullback, closing at 3385 points, suggesting that it has not yet firmly established above the 3389 point level [4] - The market outlook indicates that as long as the index does not fall below 3357 points during any pullbacks, the likelihood of breaking through 3389 points remains high, with a potential target of over 3405 points in the coming week [6][8] Silver Market Performance - The silver market has shown remarkable performance, significantly outperforming gold, driven by multiple factors including a historical high gold-silver ratio of 1:100, indicating silver's relative undervaluation [9] - The surge in silver prices is also attributed to the booming renewable energy sector, particularly the demand for silver in photovoltaic panels, with an expected supply gap of 8800 tons by 2025 [9] - Investor enthusiasm is reflected in the nearly 8% increase in silver ETF holdings since February, with notable stock performances from companies like Silver Holdings and Hunan Silver, indicating strong market sentiment [9]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index opened at 3352 points, fluctuated throughout the day, reached a low of 3344 points and a high of 3372 points, closing at 3369 points with increased trading volume compared to the previous trading day [1] - The index formed a small bullish candlestick pattern, indicating a strong performance throughout the day without filling the short-term gap [1] Future Outlook - The price rebounded upon touching the 5-day moving average, achieving a recent high but faced resistance at the corresponding consolidation level [3] - The index broke through the 3359 level during the day, and if it does not fall below this level in the next trading session, it may challenge the 3439 level [3] - The upward resistance level from the low of 3040 is projected at around 3443, with a significant pressure point at 3375 for the next day [3] - A bullish pattern is forming as the price moves along the 5-hour moving average, but short-term resistance is expected from the left-side platform [3] - If the price breaks above the 3439 high, the next resistance level is around 3457 [3] - It is advised to monitor the price for potential gaps and to wait for a pullback to the important support level of 3265 before making any moves [3]

这是从大的结构的角度来看，从空间的角度，明天这个位置压力在哪里？其实就在第二条这个斜线就是 3509 3494 3439，这个地方有一条斜线拉过来，这应该是短线这个地方我们找到的最近的一条斜线也是 最大的一个最近的压力点，这就是上证指数现在这个地方的一种状态。明天的应对，我相信大家应该多 多少少应该心里面有点感觉了，因为有几次的大事件作为参照，有情绪的释放作为参照，再加上短线这 个位置可以参照的空间。 面对这种盘面，在这个阶段里面我们其实也可以有一些参考，比如说我们可以参考10月8号，也可以参 考12月10号，同时我们可以反向参考2025年的4月7号，也就是说一种短线的某一个方向的极端情绪或者 氛围出来了以后，市场一般都会走向一种小的高潮，要么就是抛售的高潮，有可能就是买入的高潮。所 以抛开当下这个位置指数的结构不讲，那么明天这个位置应该是一个情绪的释放点，我们我们应该怎么 应对？那我们就看刚才我所讲的那三个位置，这个市场最终它的实际上的走势和我们的情绪是怎么去反 应？那么我们简单的回到指数的结构，今天下午多多头也是顺应了一分钟级别，三买的框架就是没有跌 破3350，然后呢拉起来收在了3369，所以明天一高开 ...