2026年开年，什么资产最疯狂？不是黄金，而是白银！ 如果你还只盯着金价看，那你可能已经错过了这一轮贵金属市场最猛烈的行情。继2025年白银价格狂飙175%之后，2026年的白银不仅没有停下脚步，反而 以更"脱缰"的姿态创下历史新高 。 在深圳水贝，投资者们正在抢购一种"新贵"——投资银条；在工厂里，生产线甚至为了它连夜赶工。今天，我们就来深度聊聊，站在当前的历史高位，投资 银条究竟还有没有价值？ 现货白银价格在2026年1月下旬一举突破117.00美元/盎司，创下历史新高 。如果把这个数字拆解开来，会更震撼：这个价格是2020年低点（11.23美元）的整 整10倍 。 白银的涨势有多凶猛？来看一组直观的对比。根据得物App的数据，在近一周的时间里，投资银条价格飙涨了41% 。作为对比，投资金条的涨幅仅为8.5%。 这意味着，白银的涨幅是黄金的4.8倍 。 在深圳水贝零售市场，1000g的投资银条价格已经高达30860元 。而在央视财经的镜头下，一公斤的标准投资银条，在2025年9月价格刚破1万元，不到4个月 就突破了2万元 。价格的持续拉升，让原本主打首饰生产的工厂也不得不调整策略，加班加点将银条生产从"副 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that both gold and silver prices have seen significant increases, with gold rising to $5147.760 per ounce, up 0.72%, and silver reaching $86.979 per ounce, up 2.85% [1][3]. - The opening price for gold was $5108.140, with a daily high of $5171.920 and a low of $5097.720, reflecting a trading range of 1.45% [2]. - For silver, the opening price was $84.690, with a daily high of $87.269 and a low of $84.569, showing a trading range of 3.19% [3]. Group 2 - Institutions remain optimistic about the future of gold prices, with ANZ Bank predicting a rise to $5800 per ounce in the second quarter of this year [3]. - China Merchants Bank Capital Market Research Institute has a more aggressive forecast, suggesting that gold prices could challenge $6500 per ounce this year, driven by a focus on the reconstruction of dollar credit and global order [3].

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surpassed the $5000 mark, reaching $5038.5 per ounce, indicating a strong demand for precious metals despite mixed market sentiments among investors [1][2]. Group 1: International Market Dynamics - The international gold market has achieved a significant milestone with spot gold prices stabilizing above $5000, reporting a daily increase of 2.48% [1]. - Precious metals, including silver, platinum, and palladium, have shown a general upward trend, reflecting strong demand for these assets [1]. - Market expectations remain divided, with 33% of Wall Street analysts bullish on gold prices, while 25% are bearish, and 42% expect prices to remain stable [1]. Group 2: Retail and Wholesale Pricing - Major retail brands in China, such as Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook, maintain high prices for gold jewelry, ranging from 1529 to 1534 CNY per gram, with craftsmanship and brand premiums contributing to the elevated costs [3]. - In the Shenzhen market, wholesale prices for gold are significantly lower, around 1300 CNY per gram, indicating a substantial price gap between retail and wholesale [4]. - Consumers face a premium cost exceeding 200 CNY per gram when purchasing jewelry from brand stores, leading to significant asset depreciation upon resale [5]. Group 3: Recovery Market and Investment Insights - The 2026 edition of the Panda gold coin has a clear official price guide, with various weights priced accordingly, appealing to collectors [6]. - The current gold market presents four distinct pricing tiers, with the international raw material price around $5038 per ounce and domestic retail prices exceeding 1500 CNY per gram [6]. - The recovery market values gold based on its metal content, with recovery prices around 1115 CNY per gram for gold, indicating that brand stories do not influence recovery values [7]. Group 4: Exchange Trends and Recovery Prices - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has seen varying declines in gold and silver products, influenced by market sentiment and expectations [8]. - Recovery prices for gold and silver are closely aligned with their metal values, with gold recovery at approximately 1115 CNY per gram and silver at about 18.25 CNY per gram [8]. Group 5: Market Expectations and Investment Strategies - The volatility in precious metals is heightened by market sensitivity to Federal Reserve policies and dollar liquidity changes, with geopolitical risks and debt pressures potentially supporting gold's value as an asset [9][11]. - Institutional voices are raising target prices, driven by ongoing diversification needs from central banks and investors [11]. - Silver's dual attributes as a financial and industrial metal make it particularly sensitive to both interest rates and industrial demand, especially in sectors like photovoltaics and electric vehicles [11].

Group 1: Domestic Gold Retail and Wholesale Prices - Domestic gold retail prices have generally decreased, with major brands quoting between 1480-1500 RMB per gram [1][2] - Specific brand prices include: Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook at 1482 RMB, Chow Sang Sang at 1484 RMB, and Lao Feng Xiang at 1500 RMB [2] - The wholesale price in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market remains stable at 1247 RMB per gram, indicating a significant brand premium and processing costs in retail pricing [5] Group 2: International Gold Prices and Shanghai Market - International spot gold is priced at 4821.46 USD per ounce, up by 46.98 USD, equivalent to approximately 1075.61 RMB per gram [6] - Shanghai Gold Exchange contracts have seen a general decline, with Au(T D) at 1083.80 RMB per gram, down by 21.46 RMB [6] - The silver market has experienced a sharp decline, with Ag(T D) dropping to 18080 RMB per kilogram, a decrease of 2458 RMB, reflecting market volatility [7] Group 3: Precious Metal Recycling Prices - Recycling prices for gold and other precious metals remain relatively stable, with significant differences from retail prices [8] - Specific recycling prices include: 1040 RMB per gram for gold (99.9%), 393 RMB for platinum, and 17.0 RMB for silver [9] Group 4: Gold Investment Channels and Recommendations - Gold investment channels include jewelry from gold stores, bank gold bars, and wholesale markets, with notable differences in cost-effectiveness [11] - Jewelry prices include high processing fees and brand premiums, with actual gold price accounting for about 70% [11] - For investment purposes, bank gold bars or paper gold are recommended to closely follow international gold price fluctuations, while wholesale markets are suitable for bulk purchases [11] Group 5: Market Trends and Dynamics - In January 2026, Asian gold ETFs saw a net inflow of 10 billion USD, marking a record high and reflecting geopolitical uncertainties and inflation expectations [12] - Global gold trading volume increased significantly, with an average daily transaction amount of 623 billion USD, a 52% month-on-month growth [13] - The silver market is under pressure, with recent margin increases by exchanges indicating heightened volatility and risk for investors [13]

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京2月12日电（左元）1月30日，COMEX白银期货一度暴跌35%，创历史最大单日跌幅，并在其后的几个交易日波动加剧、脉冲式下挫。拉长 周期，这段走势如同一张巨大的天幕，令白银浩浩荡荡的牛市行情骤然终结，单就技术走势而言，白银短期甚至中期再创新高的概率极低。从基本面的维 度，多数机构则依然看好其长期涨势，但短期建议规避风险。 "看对方向，挣不到钱" 2025年全年大涨300%，进入2026年仅一周多的时间又经历瀑布式腰斩。在白银这轮史诗级行情里，大量投资者参与其中，有人大幅盈利，也有人背负巨 大亏损。 如此大的波动之下，预测中长期方向已经毫无意义，短期无论是做多还是做空，都如同"火中取栗"。实际上，白银本轮行情在节奏上与以往差别极大，很 多投资者看对了方向却颗粒无收甚至背负亏损。 比如，自2024年下半年开始计算，COMEX白银一年半时间最高上涨了90美元／盎司，而其中有80美元涨幅是在最后5个月内实现的。在2025年8月底加速 上行之前的一年多时间里，白银漫长的震荡、小幅攀升的行情消磨掉了多数投资者的耐心和资金，当行情真正来临时却未能及时"上车"。而在近年的其他 行情里（如2020 ...

Group 1 - The international precious metals market experienced a significant surge, with spot gold reaching $5,100 per ounce for the first time since January 30, marking a daily increase of 1.56%. Spot silver saw a dramatic rise of over 6%, reaching $85.85 per ounce before slightly retreating [1] - Gold stocks performed well, with Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) rising over 9%, Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) increasing nearly 8%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold (06693.HK) up approximately 6% [1] - Bank of China announced an adjustment to its gold accumulation product purchase conditions, increasing the minimum purchase amount from 950 yuan to 1,200 yuan, effective February 12, 2026, while maintaining the additional purchase amount at 200 yuan [1] Group 2 - Huayuan Futures indicated that the Federal Reserve still has considerable policy space, suggesting that the current interest rate cut cycle may be prolonged due to frequent inflation disturbances, which could extend the bullish window for gold [4] - Forecasts from major banks suggest a bullish outlook for gold prices, with Societe Generale predicting a rise to $6,000 per ounce, Wells Fargo raising its target to $6,300, and JPMorgan estimating a potential price of around $8,000 per ounce by the end of the decade if private sector demand continues to grow [5] - The World Silver Association reported that the silver market is expected to experience a supply gap for the sixth consecutive year in 2026, with a gap of 67 million ounces anticipated, driven by factors such as tight physical supply in London and geopolitical uncertainties [5]

董事认为本次投资符合公司及股东整体利益，条款公平合理。 免责声明：本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。 如何抓住黄金波段机会？聪明钱的选择，黄金+股票一键搞定>> 观点网讯：2月11日，祈福生活服务宣布于2026年2月11日下达银条购买指令并完成配对，预计2月13日 完成交易，对价将在结算时以现金支付。 根据公告，本次投资标的为约15万安士已分配银条，交易对价约9810万港元，资金来源为部分白银出售 所得款项。 本次白银投资连同此前四批黄金投资合并后构成主要交易，已自持有公司72.89%股权的控股股东取得 书面批准，无需召开股东大会，公司预计于3月9日或之前向股东寄发相关通函。 ...

祈福生活服务(03686)发布公告，于2026年2月11日，本集团通过动用部分白银出售事项所得款项透过该 银行下达指令购买约15万安士已分配银条(即白银投资)，对价约为9810万港元(即人民币8710万元)，而 有关指令已于同日进行配对。白银投资预期将于2026年2月13日完成，而上述对价预期将由本集团于结 算时以现金支付。 ...

2026年初贵金属的"过山车"行情，成为全球金融市场最跌宕起伏的剧情，其中大幅波动的白银，无疑是这场风暴的主角。 白银狂欢在1月底戛然而止。1月29日，现货白银价格升至121.65美元/盎司，创下历史新高，不到一个月涨幅超过67%。转折接踵而至，1月30日白银价格 最高跌幅超36%，创下近40年最大单日跌幅。受此影响，国投白银LOF（161226）2月2日净值下跌31.5%，创下国内公募基金最大单日跌幅。 近日，白银价格仍在剧烈波动，一度从70美元升至90美元，2月5日再度大跌近20%，2月6日最低跌至64美元，距离1月底的高点几乎腰斩。截至发稿，现 货白银报价83美元/盎司，日涨幅超3%。国投白银LOF净值跟随市场震荡，场内价格经历五个跌停，目前溢价率仍超35%。更引人注目的是，大部分投资 者对国投瑞银的估值调整操作并不买单，小红书上掀起了一波"维权热"。 白银为何闪崩？美联储下一任主席人选凯文·沃什被认为是关键导火索。除此之外，价格不断创下新高的白银已然成为全球最拥挤的交易之一，宏观的风 吹草动在程序化交易与高杠杆资金的助推下，流动性紧张与多头平仓形成连锁反应，最终导致价格在短期内断崖式下跌。 "白银在本 ...

2月10日9时38分，伦敦现货黄金报价5020.02美元/盎司，较前一日下跌0.20%，日内波动区间集中在5007-5047 美元。 纽约黄金期货同步回调至5044.9美元/盎司，跌幅0.68%。 国内市场则表现强势，上海黄金交易所黄金T D报1118.62元/克，上涨0.15%；沪金主连期货合约涨至1121.1元/克，涨幅0.47%。 线下消费市场热度攀升。 周大福、周生生等品牌足金饰品报价达1560元/克，老凤祥为1556元/克，较1月底历史 高位回落约20%，但仍比国内大盘价高出300-400元/克。 银行投资金条价格区间为1136-1148元/克，建设银行、 工商银行等渠道现货紧缺，需线上预约配送。 波动溯源：从暴涨到急跌的28天 金价实时数据：内外盘分化明显 线下实况：金店排队长龙与保险箱荒 2月10日北方小年当日，北京、广州等地金店客流量显著增加。 广州太古汇某知名金店购金队伍延续至店外， 投资金条客户与礼品需求消费者共同推高销量。 与此同时，黄金回收业务量同步激增，深圳水贝市场回收价参 考1115-1123元/克，部分商户单日回收量环比上涨30%。 银行保险箱服务呈现"一箱难求"。 招商银行北京 ...