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伯特利(603596):2025Q2业绩短暂承压,盈利能力环比改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-08-31 08:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company, with a 6-month target price of 75.3 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 47.69 CNY [5][8]. Core Insights - The company experienced a temporary pressure on its Q2 2025 performance, with revenue of 2.526 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 19.66% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 252 million CNY, up 1.8% year-on-year but down 6.8% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The next-generation braking technology, EMB, has seen regulatory progress that exceeds expectations, positioning the company as a core player in the EMB sector. The new regulations will take effect on January 1, 2026, and the company has successfully developed its first functional EMB prototype [3]. - The company is accelerating its global customer expansion, with ongoing capacity expansion at its Mexico plant [4]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 1.52 billion CNY, 2.02 billion CNY, and 2.71 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19, 14.3, and 10.7 [5][14]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 19.19%, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.56 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.22 percentage points. The main business gross margin was 17.24%, reflecting improved profitability despite cost pressures [12]. - The company’s sales volume for smart electronic control in Q2 2025 was 1.4 million sets, a year-on-year increase of 30%, while the sales volume for disc brakes was 870,000 sets, up 22% year-on-year [12]. Capacity and Production - The Mexico plant has achieved a production capacity of 4 million sets for steering knuckles, with plans for further expansion to include 5.5 million sets of aluminum steering knuckles and additional capacities for control arms and EPB [13]. - The company has secured contracts with a North American electric vehicle manufacturer and a German joint venture for lightweight projects, with expected total sales revenues of approximately 1.22 billion USD and 600 million CNY, respectively [13].
伯特利(603596):2025Q1营收增长强劲,线控制动产品持续放量
Guotou Securities· 2025-04-30 04:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 2.638 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million yuan, up 28.79% year-on-year [1][2]. - The sales volume of the intelligent electronic control segment increased significantly, with 1.46 million units sold in Q1 2025, representing a 58% year-on-year growth. The disc brake sales reached 930,000 units, up 36% year-on-year, while lightweight brake components sold 3.44 million units, a 23% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company is positioned as a core player in the next-generation braking technology, with significant progress in EMB regulations and successful development of initial functional samples [3]. - The company is expanding its global customer base and increasing production capacity at its Mexican facility [4]. Financial Summary - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.5 billion, 2 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.5, 17.7, and 13.2 times [5][14]. - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 17.97%, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.09 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.24 percentage points [2]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 36.03 billion yuan, with a current share price of 59.40 yuan and a target price of 75.3 yuan for the next six months [8].