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外高桥(600648):业务结构调整,展望资产良性循环
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 14.10 CNY [7]. Core Views - The company has seen revenue growth but a decline in profit, with a slight decrease in gross margin. The successful completion of a share issuance and the acceleration of real estate ABS issuance will help further activate existing assets [3][14]. - The company is adjusting its business structure, focusing on property management, trade and services, and gradually exiting real estate sales [14]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is 7,695 million CNY, with a projected decrease to 7,240 million CNY in 2024, followed by a slight increase to 7,299 million CNY in 2025. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline from 929 million CNY in 2023 to 849 million CNY in 2025 [5][15]. - The gross profit margin is projected to decrease from 35.5% in 2023 to 29.7% in 2025, while the net profit margin is expected to decline from 12.4% to 11.9% over the same period [15]. Business Structure Adjustment - In property management, the company is experiencing both quantity and quality improvements, with steady project construction and effective collaboration in the pharmaceutical industry [14]. - In trade and services, the company is leveraging opportunities from the Silk Road e-commerce initiative and the Free Trade Zone enhancement strategy to expand its business scale [14]. - The company is gradually exiting real estate sales, focusing on the sale of commodity housing and accelerating the disposal of non-core assets such as parking spaces and shops [14]. Capital Raising and Asset Management - The company successfully completed a share issuance of 224 million shares at a price of 11.02 CNY per share, raising a total of 2.474 billion CNY. Additionally, the company issued various direct financing products totaling 6 billion CNY, with an average financing cost reduction of 33 percentage points [14]. - The ongoing push for real estate ABS issuance is expected to further activate existing assets and create a positive cycle in the development and operation of industrial parks [14].