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李宁(02331):业绩表现超预期,整体经营趋稳
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-28 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.82 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.74 billion yuan, down 11.0% year-on-year, slightly exceeding expectations. The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 870 million yuan, with a payout ratio of 50% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In H1 2025, the company's revenue reached 14.82 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.74 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 11.0%. The performance was slightly better than expected, and the company intends to distribute an interim dividend of 870 million yuan, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 50% [2][4]. Channel Performance - Revenue from direct sales, wholesale, and e-commerce channels in H1 2025 was 3.38 billion yuan, 6.88 billion yuan, and 4.30 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3%, +4%, and +7%. The running and training categories were the main drivers of revenue growth, while basketball and lifestyle categories continued to decline [6]. Operational Metrics - The overall operating profit margin (OPM) was 16.5%, slightly down by 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, but better than market expectations. The gross margin decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 50.0%. The company increased its advertising and marketing expenses, which accounted for 9.0% of revenue, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.59 billion yuan, 2.77 billion yuan, and 2.99 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The current price corresponds to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17, 16, and 15 times for the respective years [8].
李宁(2331.HK):2025H1经营超预期 关注公司长期业绩改善
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-25 04:04
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for H1 2025, with revenue growth of 3.3% but a decline in net profit by 11%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability despite revenue increases [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for H1 2025 reached 14.817 billion yuan, with a gross margin decrease of 0.4 percentage points to 50% due to deeper discounts in direct sales and an increased share of franchise channels [1] - Operating profit increased by 1.5% to 2.438 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 11% to 1.74 billion yuan, primarily due to adjustments in the domestic and foreign funding structure leading to higher tax provisions [1] - The company maintained a dividend payout ratio of 50%, consistent with the previous year, emphasizing shareholder returns [1] Business Segments Offline Business - Wholesale revenue grew by 5% to 6.48 billion yuan, while direct sales revenue declined by 4% to 3.23 billion yuan due to store adjustments aimed at improving profitability [2] - The number of direct and wholesale stores at the end of H1 2025 was 1,278 and 4,821 respectively, reflecting a net closure of 19 direct stores and an addition of 1 wholesale store [2] E-commerce - E-commerce sales showed strong growth with a high double-digit increase, outperforming offline sales, although retail discounts increased by approximately 1 percentage point [2] Product Performance - The company’s adult apparel revenue grew by 2%, with significant growth in running and training categories at 15% each, while basketball and lifestyle categories saw declines of 20% and 7% respectively [3] - The total sales of professional running shoes exceeded 14 million pairs, with key series performing well [3] - The children’s apparel segment also showed positive growth, with offline revenue increasing by 10%-20% and a net closure of 33 stores [3] Cash Flow and Inventory - Operating cash inflow for H1 2025 was 2.411 billion yuan, a decrease of 12%, but the company maintained a healthy cash reserve of 19.191 billion yuan, up 6% from the beginning of the year [3] - Inventory decreased by 7% to 2.4 billion yuan, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio maintained [3] Future Outlook - The company expects revenue for 2025 to remain flat, with a projected decline in net profit by 21.5% due to increased expenses related to Olympic sponsorships [4] - The company is focusing on optimizing product and marketing strategies, with plans to enhance brand influence through Olympic-related activities [4] - Long-term growth is anticipated through the expansion of product categories and improved operational efficiency [4] Earnings Forecast - Projected earnings for 2025-2027 are 2.366 billion, 2.540 billion, and 2.759 billion yuan respectively, with a PE ratio of 20 times for 2025 [5]