王悦 wangyue03@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 06 | 月 | 27 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | 13.70 | | | | | 一 年 内 高 / 低 | 最 | 最 | | 18.18/4.02 | | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | 12,172.62 | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | 11,877.96 | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | 888.51 | | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | 41.56 | | | | | 每股净资产（元/股） | | | | 4.19 | | | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | | | 证券研究报告 纺织服饰 | 饰品 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 01 日 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 ding ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual results and Q1 2025 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit for 2024, while Q1 2025 demonstrated a strong recovery in profitability. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.52 billion yuan, an increase of 10.5%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was 190 million yuan, down 41.9%. Excluding the 180 million yuan impairment of FIOA brand goodwill, the net profit was 350 million yuan, a decrease of 5.1% [1] - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.66 billion yuan, an increase of 18.4%, but the net profit turned negative at -120 million yuan year-on-year [2] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 2.25 billion yuan, up 25.4%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 190 million yuan, an increase of 44.4% [3] Group 2: Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from various product categories included 2.97 billion yuan from fashion jewelry, 2.95 billion yuan from traditional gold, 270 million yuan from leather goods, and 260 million yuan from brand licensing and franchise services, with year-on-year changes of -0.6%, +30.2%, -27.4%, and +22.8% respectively [4] - Revenue by channel in 2024 showed self-operated stores at 3.02 billion yuan, franchise agents at 3.28 billion yuan, and wholesale at 190 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -7.4%, +32.4%, and +41.3% respectively [4] - In Q1 2025, the company’s revenue growth significantly outperformed the industry, with same-store sales growth of approximately 40% in January-February and about 35% in March [4] Group 3: Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for 2024 was 23.6%, a decrease of 2.5 percentage points, primarily due to a higher proportion of lower-margin gold products and franchises. The gross margins for fashion jewelry and traditional gold were 28.8% (-1.9 percentage points) and 9.1% (+0.4 percentage points) respectively. In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 22.9%, down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.0 percentage point quarter-on-quarter [5] - The expense ratios for 2024 were 11.7% for sales, 2.1% for management, 1.0% for R&D, and 0.5% for financial expenses, with year-on-year changes of -2.3 percentage points, -0.1 percentage points, flat, and flat respectively. In Q1 2025, the expense ratios showed a similar trend [5] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 1.9 billion yuan, and after excluding the impairment, the adjusted net profit was 3.5 billion yuan, down 5.1% year-on-year, resulting in an adjusted net profit margin of 5.4% (-0.9 percentage points). In Q1 2025, the net profit margin was 8.4%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points [5] Group 4: Expansion and Market Strategy - The company is expanding its franchise model, with a total of 1,511 jewelry stores by the end of 2024, including a net increase of 147 franchise stores despite a broader industry trend of store closures [5] - The company successfully entered the Southeast Asian market with operations in Malaysia and Thailand, laying the groundwork for future international expansion [6] - The company maintains a strong brand positioning focused on "young, oriental fashion," which is expected to continue driving growth, with projected net profits of 470 million yuan and 570 million yuan for 2025 and 2026 respectively, leading to an upgraded rating to "strong buy" [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company,潮宏基, has shown strong performance in the first quarter of 2025, with net profit growth outpacing revenue growth, attributed to its strategic focus on becoming a favored brand among young consumers and effective product differentiation [1] Company Overview - 泉果基金, established on February 8, 2022, manages assets totaling 16.838 billion yuan across six funds, with five fund managers [1] - The company has reported a net increase of 129 stores in 2024, despite a broader industry trend of store closures, indicating robust growth [1] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of 2025,潮宏基's net profit growth exceeded expectations, driven by enhanced product strength and refined terminal operations [1] - The company maintains a stable dividend policy, with expectations for gradual increases in per-share dividends as the company scales and performance improves [1] Strategic Focus - The company aims to navigate a complex external environment in 2025 with a strategy centered on "focusing on core business, 1+N brand strategy, all-channel marketing, and internationalization" [1] - The brand strategy includes enhancing product strength and operational management to improve store performance, alongside a digital transformation to solidify core competitive advantages [1] Product Development and Brand Building -潮宏基 emphasizes a systematic approach to product development, focusing on consumer preferences and utilizing both internal and external design teams [1] - The company has successfully launched new product lines, including collaborations with popular IPs, which have been well-received by customers [1] International Expansion -潮宏基 has opened two overseas stores in Southeast Asia, which have performed well, indicating promising market opportunities for future international expansion [1] - The company plans to accelerate its overseas market layout, leveraging its brand presence in new regions [1]

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