美国政府停摆破纪录的影响有多大？最严重的是这三个连锁反应，它们都在戳美国的软肋：第一，美元 霸权的信心动摇了。美国财政部像"貔貅"一样吸走了7000亿现金，全部堆在美联储账户上不花，这样的 紧缩效果比美联储加息几次还要狠。市场利率已经突破了美联储的目标区间，比特币跌破了10万美元， 全球都在抛售风险资产。以前大家信任美元，是因为认为美国稳；可现在，美国自己先乱了，谁还敢把 所有的钱都放在美元里？第二，盟友们开始"留后手"。欧洲担心对乌克兰的援助会断，北约峰会可能被 推迟；日韩则担心美军部署不稳，悄悄在寻找其他安全保障；甚至连沙特也在能源外交中偷偷平衡中美 关系。盟友们要的是一个靠谱的大哥，而不是一个随时会掉链子的队友！第三，美国的全球影响力急剧 下降。俄罗斯已经在叙利亚和非洲加强行动，到处宣扬"你看，美国多虚弱"。以前，美国靠实力说话， 现在全世界看着它在内耗，连经济数据都无法发布，谁还会听它的？ 那美国政府停摆究竟什么时候能结束呢？高盛认为，可能会在本月中旬，等到发不出工资的人越来越 多，双方才会被迫妥协。而一旦政府重新开门，万亿的现金注入市场，小型股票和加密货币可能会反 弹。不过，短期的反弹并不能弥补长期 ...

Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its third week due to the Senate's repeated failure to pass a temporary funding bill, affecting nearly a million families and key industries, while shaking market confidence [1][2][4]. Group 1: Economic Impact - The shutdown is estimated to cause economic losses of up to $15 billion per week, with systemic damage becoming increasingly evident [4][9]. - The transportation sector is particularly hard-hit, with over 13,000 air traffic controllers working without pay, leading to significant flight delays and cancellations [10][12]. - The real estate market faces uncertainty due to the interruption of the National Flood Insurance Program and the suspension of various loan approvals, potentially delaying or halting home transactions [12][13]. Group 2: Federal Employees' Struggles - Approximately 700,000 to 750,000 federal employees are on forced leave, while many essential workers are required to work without pay, leading to financial strain and increased anxiety among families [6][7]. - To cope with income disruptions, many federal employees are seeking side jobs, with some taking on multiple roles to make ends meet [7][8]. Group 3: Political Stalemate - The ongoing political deadlock is characterized by extreme polarization, with both parties unwilling to compromise, making a resolution unlikely in the short term [14][15]. - Experts predict that this shutdown could become the longest in U.S. history, as both parties engage in strategic maneuvers to influence voter sentiment ahead of upcoming elections [15][16].