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创新新材(600361):利润低于预期 海外电解铝进展顺利
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 00:53
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the market environment despite a slight increase in revenue [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 39.141 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.05%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 349 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.69% [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 19.977 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.67%, and net profit was 148 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50.21% [1]. - The overall performance was below expectations, with a significant drop in net profit and adjusted net profit [1]. Sales Volume and Product Structure - In H1 2025, the company sold 77,200 tons of profiles, a year-on-year increase of 43.93%, and 501,300 tons of aluminum rod and cable products, a year-on-year increase of 13.83% [2]. - Sales of bars decreased by 2.19% to 1,470,600 tons, and sales of plates and foils decreased by 47.78% to 138,700 tons, reflecting a shift in product structure towards high-end products [2]. Pricing and Costs - The average aluminum price in H1 2025 was 20,300 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 2.62% [2]. - Processing fees for aluminum rods and bars were 510 and 660 yuan/ton, with year-on-year changes of +17.9% and -6.5%, respectively [2]. - The overall gross margin was 3.04%, a decrease of 0.71 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 0.89%, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Industry Position and Future Prospects - The company holds the leading market share in aluminum wire and rod products, with domestic and global market shares of 18.6% and 16.0%, respectively [3]. - The Saudi Red Sea project is progressing well, with an expected internal rate of return of 22.08% (after tax), which could contribute significantly to future investment returns [3]. - The company is expected to gradually recover its performance, with projected net profits of 800 million, 966 million, and 1.564 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [3].