以下文章来源于格致君 ，作者格致君的后花园 格致君 . 穷究一切。 首席推荐语：少生未必是坏事，未来优生优育更重要，人的价值也会更加凸显。 2025年一晃就过去了，各类年末的总结数据又纷至沓来。 最近联合国人口司发了组数字：他们预测2025年中国新生儿可能只有871万左右。也就是说， 中国新生人口 占全球总出生人口的比例，要掉到7%以下了。 就算按2024年中国约954万的新生儿和全球出生人口估算，这个比例也就勉强维持在7.4%上下。而回到上世 纪八十年代，中国新生儿一度占到全球近五分之一。 这一起一落之间，一场巨大的人口结构转型，正在我们眼前静悄悄地上演。 与新生儿数量持续探底形成鲜明对比的，是另一头数据的"膨胀"：2025年，全国高考报名人数冲到1335万， 高校毕业生规模也创下1222万的历史新高。 这一降一升，挤在中间的这代年轻人，正活在一场无声的"人生错配"里。 01 中国人为啥生不动了 中国过去七十年的人口曲线，画出来跟过山车似的。 上世纪五六十年代，每年新生儿动不动就两千多万，那时候一家四五个孩子是常态。到了八十年代，虽然 计划生育了，但因为上一波婴儿潮的孩子陆续到了生育年龄，又推高了一波小高峰 ...

以下文章来源于格致君 ，作者格致君的后花园 格致君 . 穷究一切。 就算按2024年中国约954万的新生儿和全球出生人口估算，这个比例也就勉强维持在7.4%上下。而回 到上世纪八十年代，中国新生儿一度占到全球近五分之一。 这一起一落之间，一场巨大的人口结构转型，正在我们眼前静悄悄地上演。 与新生儿数量持续探底形成鲜明对比的，是另一头数据的"膨胀"：2025年，全国高考报名人数冲到 1335万，高校毕业生规模也创下1222万的历史新高。 这一降一升， 挤在中间的这代年轻人，正活在一场无声的"人生错配"里。 本文来自微信公众号： 格致君 ，作者：格致君的后花园，题图来自：AI生成 2025年一晃就过去了，各类年末的总结数据又纷至沓来。 最近联合国人口司发了组数字：他们预测2025年中国新生儿可能只有871万左右。也就是说， 中国 新生人口占全球总出生人口的比例，要掉到7%以下了。 一、中国人为啥生不动了 中国过去七十年的人口曲线，画出来跟过山车似的。 上世纪五六十年代，每年新生儿动不动就两千多万，那时候一家四五个孩子是常态。到了八十年代， 虽然计划生育了，但因为上一波婴儿潮的孩子陆续到了生育年龄，又推高了一波小高 ...

Core Insights - The forum on the silver economy aims to promote high-quality development and policy formulation for the aging population, highlighting the need for institutional support for the elderly industry [1][3] Group 1: Policy and Economic Framework - Experts emphasize the importance of integrating theory and practice in silver economy research, with Chengdu showcasing significant potential in policy practice and industry leadership [3][4] - Sichuan Province has developed a "7+N" industrial system and a "3+12" regional layout to support the silver economy, with a clear development blueprint outlined in the "Key Industry Chain Work Plan" [4] - Chengdu is identified as a core engine for silver economy development, focusing on seven major industries and establishing dedicated industrial parks [4] Group 2: Financial Institutions and Services - Financial institutions are encouraged to align with policy directions and innovate personal pension products, expanding investment options [4][5] - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China has established a comprehensive pension service system, advocating for increased resource investment in pension finance [5][6] Group 3: Collaborative Efforts and Future Directions - Experts call for a collaborative approach among government, enterprises, and society to transform planning into reality, emphasizing the need for a supportive business environment and specialized funds for the silver economy [6] - Recommendations for enterprises include investing in technology for elderly products, developing differentiated offerings based on local resources, and extending quality services to communities and families [6]

Core Insights - India has surpassed China to become the world's most populous country, with a current population of approximately 1.46 billion, projected to reach 1.7 billion by 2025, before declining in the following decades [1][2] - The decline in fertility rates is a significant concern, with the total fertility rate dropping to 1.9 children per woman, below the replacement level of 2.1, indicating a potential long-term demographic challenge for India [1][2] Group 1 - The report titled "The Real Reproductive Crisis" highlights the urgent issue of declining birth rates in India, which is essential for sustaining economic growth and population stability [1] - Historical context shows that in 1960, India's population was around 436 million, with women averaging nearly 6 children each, reflecting lower education levels and limited reproductive rights [1][2] - Improvements in education, access to reproductive health services, and women's empowerment have contributed to the current trend of lower fertility rates, with women now averaging about two children [1][2] Group 2 - The decline in fertility rates is part of a broader demographic transition experienced by developing societies, influenced by increased education for women, urbanization, and rising costs of child-rearing [2] - While smaller family sizes may pose challenges to population dividends, they can lead to better health outcomes for children and greater autonomy for women [2] - Despite government initiatives aimed at controlling population growth, the trend towards smaller families and women's empowerment is likely to continue, indicating a shift in societal norms regarding childbirth [2]