从非共识到共识的投资思维

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泡泡玛特割了谁韭菜,没故事的IP靠什么,Labubu全球杀疯,包搭子比包贵!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 01:41
Core Insights - The article discusses the fluctuating stock price of Pop Mart since its IPO, highlighting the importance of analyzing the journey from its low point to peak rather than just the final outcome [1] - The core controversy surrounding Pop Mart revolves around the "blind box economy" and the differing perceptions of "emotional value consumption" [3] - Pop Mart's success challenges traditional IP narrative models by allowing consumers to project personal emotions onto its character designs, creating a unique emotional interaction [4] Business Model and Strategy - Unlike Disney, which relies on intricate storytelling, Pop Mart uses "emotionally blank" character designs like Molly and Labubu to resonate with consumers across diverse cultural backgrounds [4] - The company's competitive advantage lies in its platform-based IP operation capabilities, which have been strengthened through collaborations with global artists [4] - Pop Mart's supply chain and channel strategies create significant barriers to entry, including high mold costs and prime retail locations in major global markets [4] Global Expansion and Financial Performance - Pop Mart's globalization strategy, which combines local IP with global platforms, has led to substantial growth opportunities, particularly in markets like Thailand and the U.S. [8] - The explosive growth in overseas markets has optimized Pop Mart's revenue structure and significantly increased its net profit margin, driven by a light-asset growth model similar to the internet industry [10] Investment Insights - The case of Pop Mart illustrates a shift from "non-consensus" to "consensus" investment thinking, emphasizing the importance of grassroots research and direct market engagement [11] - Investors are advised to identify clear entry points based on financial reports and industry dynamics, particularly when overseas market performance exceeds expectations [11] - The strategy of "left-side observation, right-side verification" helps mitigate early entry risks while capturing growth opportunities as market logic becomes more accepted [12] Consumer Behavior and Market Trends - The unique advantages of retail investors include the ability to conduct flexible, on-the-ground research, allowing them to capture emerging consumer trends more effectively [13] - Pop Mart's success reflects the diversification of the Chinese consumer market and highlights the hidden demand truths behind seemingly counterintuitive business phenomena [13]