Core Viewpoint - Allianz Investment emphasizes that Asian markets, particularly the Chinese stock market, are key diversification choices for investors who are currently overexposed to US equities [1][4]. Group 1: US Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Allianz's Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, Zeng Zheng, predicts further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, with a terminal rate of around 3.5% by mid-2026 [2]. - Zeng notes that the likelihood of the Fed choosing to cut rates is greater than maintaining the current rates, although the exact timing remains uncertain [2]. - Fixed income is highlighted as a core tool for capital preservation amid macroeconomic volatility, with a shift in return drivers expected from credit spreads to interest rate spreads by 2026 [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Asia - Zeng Yonghui, Chief Investment Officer for Asia Pacific equities, points out that many investors are overly concentrated in US stocks, particularly in large tech sectors, and are now reallocating to Asian assets [4]. - The current low allocation of global investors to Asian stocks presents a significant opportunity, especially as Asian stocks have a low correlation with US stocks [4]. - Four key themes driving investment opportunities in Asian stocks include innovation in technology, corporate reforms in major Asian economies, supply chain diversification, and emerging consumer trends [5]. Group 3: China's Economic Strategy - Allianz's Senior Economist, Tang Jicheng, identifies two main focuses of China's economic strategy: continued investment in advanced manufacturing and boosting domestic consumption [7]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines five strategic areas for attention, including modern industrial systems, technological breakthroughs, a unified domestic market, human-centered urbanization, and international cooperation [8]. Group 4: Multi-Asset Investment Strategies - Allianz's Head of Growth Multi-Asset, Hartwig Kos, notes that risk assets remain attractive, with a shift towards more diversified global allocations beyond US equities [10]. - The traditional "60/40" stock-bond portfolio remains viable, but flexibility and inclusion of non-core risk exposures like emerging market bonds and gold are essential for resilience [10]. - Gold is reaffirmed as a strategic asset, increasingly driven by geopolitical uncertainties and de-dollarization, making it a crucial component of a diversified investment portfolio [10]. Group 5: Sustainable Investment Trends - Allianz's Head of Sustainable and Impact Investing, Matt Christensen, indicates that sustainable investment regulation is entering a new phase, with a shift from mere disclosure to clearer product classifications in the EU [11]. - Impact investing is maturing, with growing recognition of achieving market-level returns, particularly in private markets, supported by clearer standards for outcomes and reporting [12].

Core Viewpoint - Allianz Investment emphasizes that the Asian market, particularly the Chinese stock market, is a key diversification choice for investors who are currently overexposed to the US stock market [10][11]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Allianz Investment's Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, Zeng Zheng, predicts that the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates, with the terminal rate expected to be around 3.5% by mid-2026 [5][7]. - Zeng notes that recent US policy signals suggest a potential stabilization in inflation data, although employment data may weaken [6][7]. - The investment return drivers are shifting, with 2025 returns driven by credit spread narrowing, while 2026 returns are likely to be primarily driven by spreads [8]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Asia - Zeng highlights that many investors are overly concentrated in US stocks, particularly in large tech sectors, and there is a trend of Asian investors reallocating funds back to Asian assets [11]. - Four key themes driving investment opportunities in Asian stocks include: 1. Innovation in technology manufacturing, especially in semiconductors, AI, and biotechnology [12]. 2. Corporate reforms in China, Korea, Japan, and Singapore aimed at enhancing shareholder value [12]. 3. Supply chain diversification benefiting markets like India due to reduced geopolitical concentration [12]. 4. Emerging consumer trends driven by domestic consumption and digital infrastructure, particularly in China and India [12]. Group 3: China's Economic Strategy - Allianz Investment's Senior Economist, Tang Jicheng, identifies two main focuses of China's economic strategy: continued investment in advanced manufacturing and boosting domestic consumption [14]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests five strategic areas to watch: 1. Building a modern industrial system with a focus on advanced manufacturing and green transformation [15]. 2. Achieving substantial technological breakthroughs to enhance innovation capabilities [15]. 3. Establishing a strong domestic market to promote free flow of production factors [15]. 4. Promoting human-centered urbanization for balanced regional development [15]. 5. Strengthening international cooperation to enhance bilateral investments [15]. Group 4: Asset Allocation and Gold - Allianz Investment's Head of Multi-Asset Growth, Hartwig Kos, notes that risk assets remain attractive, with a shift towards more diversified global allocations beyond the US stock market [19]. - Gold has reestablished its status as a strategic asset, increasingly driven by geopolitical uncertainties and de-dollarization, making it a crucial component of a diversified investment portfolio [20]. - Hartwig Kos anticipates that the trend of investing in gold will continue until 2026, supported by retail investment flows and geopolitical tensions [20]. Group 5: Sustainable Investment Trends - Allianz Investment's Head of Sustainable and Impact Investing, Matt Christensen, indicates that sustainable investment regulation is entering a new phase, with a shift from mere disclosure to clearer product classifications in the EU [21]. - Impact investing is maturing, with growing recognition of achieving market-level returns, particularly in private markets [21]. - Allianz has developed proprietary tools to integrate ESG and impact risk analysis into portfolio construction, enabling scenario testing and risk mitigation strategies across asset classes [22].

责任编辑：杨赐 他建议，研究设置市民化率这样一个指标，在就业地享受义务教育、医疗保障、社会保障、住房保障的 农业转移人口就是市民化的人口，而不要再去考虑户籍究竟在哪里，并要求所有的城市都要设置这样一 个指标，争取到基本实现现代化的时候，基本解决3亿人融入城市的问题。 11月14日消息，在今天举行的第十六届财新峰会上，关于"十五五"新规划、新蓝图，第十三届全国政协 常委、经济委员会副主任杨伟民表示，要提高农业转移人口的市民化，常年在城市就业和进入但没有融 入城市的3亿农业转移人口，是形成消费拉动发展模式最有潜力的一个大群体。推进以人为本的城镇 化，要让农业产业人口融入城市，享受就业地常住地的公共服务。 ...