Core Insights - The foreign exchange market in China showed stable expectations and orderly transactions in July 2025, with non-bank sector cross-border receipts at historical highs [1][2] - The net inflow of funds from goods trade increased by 33% month-on-month, maintaining a high operational level [1][2] Group 1: Bank Settlement and Foreign Exchange - In July, banks settled foreign exchange with a total of 233.6 billion USD and sold 210.8 billion USD, representing month-on-month increases of 12% and 16% respectively [1] - The exchange settlement rate for enterprises and individuals slightly increased, while the selling rate remained stable, indicating stable market expectations and active trading [1] Group 2: Cross-Border Fund Flows - In July, the scale of bank customer foreign-related receipts reached 690.4 billion USD, with payments of 698.1 billion USD, resulting in a slight deficit of 7.7 billion USD, reflecting a balanced cross-border fund flow [2] - Cumulative surplus for the first seven months was 119.5 billion USD, indicating a continued net inflow of cross-border funds [2] Group 3: Market Resilience and Economic Development - Despite increased volatility in the international foreign exchange market, the steady progress of high-quality economic development in China and the enhanced resilience of the foreign exchange market are expected to support stable market operations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The resilience of China's foreign exchange market is continuously improving, enhancing its ability to respond to external shocks [1] Macro Level Summary - The market-oriented formation mechanism of the RMB exchange rate is being continuously improved, leading to increased exchange rate flexibility that can timely release external pressures and promote supply-demand balance [1] Micro Level Summary - Awareness of exchange rate risk neutrality among enterprises is steadily increasing, with RMB cross-border transactions growing steadily. In the first half of the year, the proportion of enterprises' foreign exchange hedging and the proportion of RMB cross-border receipts and payments under goods trade both reached around 30%, marking historical highs. This reduction in foreign exchange risk exposure helps maintain rational trading in the market [1] Policy Level Summary - The foreign exchange market has accumulated rich experience in counter-cyclical regulation and has a wealth of policy tools in reserve. The effectiveness of foreign exchange regulation is steadily improving, and the ability to prevent and mitigate external shock risks is continuously enhanced. There is confidence and capability to maintain the stable operation of the foreign exchange market [1]