（来源：直新闻） 直新闻：俄罗斯将军萨尔瓦罗夫被暗杀，究竟是谁干的？乌克兰还是美国？ 特约评论员 陈冰：这是一个好问题，西方媒体也在质疑，俄罗斯总参谋部将军萨尔瓦罗夫被暗杀，究竟是乌克兰特工干的，还是美国情报人员干的。萨 尔瓦罗夫是一年多来，第三名被暗杀的俄罗斯高级将领。他是俄罗斯对乌作战中的"关键人物"，他领导的作战训练部门直接参与制定和推进对乌军事行 动，三位被暗杀的将军中就数他最重要。 特约评论员 陈冰：先说特朗普的所谓停战谈判进展顺利，这样的话在今年他不知说了多少次了，每次都是吹牛，每次都被普京的一两句话挑破停战泡 沫。现在判断俄乌是否停战，就别听特朗普吹牛了，他说话不算数，而是要看普京怎么表态，普京的话才管用。就说这一次，特朗普说停战谈判"进展顺 利"，俄罗斯副外长马上说"进展缓慢"。俄罗斯总统发言人说，停战谈判是一个"工作过程"，而不是转折点，把特朗普的脸打得啪啪响。 俄军将领被暗杀后，俄罗斯连续两天两次袭击了乌克兰黑海港口敖德萨，并损坏了港口设施和一艘船只。按照泽连斯基的最新通报，俄军至少对乌克兰13 个地区发动了攻击，包括袭击乌克兰的能源设施，首都基辅及多个地区发生紧急停电，看来连欧洲呼吁的在 ...

Report Investment Rating - Gold: ★★★, indicating a predicted upward trend [1] - Silver: ★★★, indicating a predicted upward trend [1] Core Viewpoints - Last week, precious metals showed a strong sideways movement. Geopolitical negotiations between the US and Russia stalled, and the possibility of the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiation remains uncertain. Fed Chair Powell's dovish speech at the Jackson Hole central bank annual meeting led to a drop in the US dollar and a short-term jump in precious metals. A rate cut in September is almost certain, and the degree and persistence of the rate cut will be debated later. If the US economic data weakens significantly, the upside potential for gold may open up; if the economy has a relatively soft landing, be cautious at high levels. Short-term international gold and silver are in a sideways range with key resistance above. Maintain the idea of buying on dips [1]. - This week, focus on the US PCE data [1]. Summaries by Related Topics Fed's Stance - Harker believes the Fed should be cautious about rate cuts; a significant weakening of the job market may prompt a rate cut, and the Fed is still far from its inflation target [2]. - Collins thinks the risks of the dual mandate are roughly balanced. Employment growth has slowed, and there is a reason to wait [2]. - Musalem says the risks in the job market are rising but not yet apparent. If the risks intensify, the policy rate may need adjustment [2]. - Trump believes Powell should have cut rates a year ago, and it's too late to signal a rate cut now. He also threatens to fire Fed Governor Cook [2]. Russia-Ukraine Situation - Trump sets a "two - week" timeline, which may increase the intensity of the Russia-Ukraine conflict [2]. - The US Vice President says new sanctions on Russia are "not impossible" [2]. - Zelensky is ready to take measures for peace and is cautious about Russia's signals [2].