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“99%的AI公司都是泡沫”
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-18 14:12
Core Viewpoint - The CEO of Fiverr, Micha Kaufman, emphasizes that 99% of AI companies are likely to be bubbles, as most do not provide significant value or innovation, and the market will eventually clear itself [27][29]. Group 1: AI's Impact on Employment - AI is perceived as a threat to various professions, with Kaufman stating that it will automate many tasks, leading to a need for individuals to enhance their skills or consider changing careers [7][11]. - The CEO encourages employees to aim for full automation of their current tasks, which would free up time for more strategic thinking and creativity [11][12]. - There is a growing concern about the fear and resistance to AI among employees, which Kaufman believes should be addressed through personal responsibility for self-improvement [12][13]. Group 2: The Future of Work - The current job market is compared to the dot-com bubble, with Kaufman suggesting that many young people are disillusioned with work, but those who seek meaning and purpose will continue to thrive [15][16]. - The importance of competition and the drive for resources is highlighted, indicating that individuals must adapt to the changing landscape to avoid becoming burdens [16]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and AI Bubble - Kaufman identifies a saturation of AI startups, predicting that many will fail due to oversupply and lack of differentiation [18][28]. - The concept of "cloning time" is introduced, where the speed of product replication has drastically decreased, making it harder for new entrants to establish a unique market position [18][19]. - The CEO stresses that true innovation and value creation are essential for survival in the AI space, as many current offerings lack differentiation [19][29]. Group 4: The Role of Founders - In a market where technology is democratized, the unique value of a startup increasingly relies on the capabilities and vision of its founders [24][25]. - Kaufman emphasizes the importance of strong leadership and the ability to navigate challenges, as successful companies often have resilient teams that can adapt and overcome obstacles [25]. Group 5: The Future of Content Creation - The discussion on copyright highlights concerns that AI-generated content may undermine the motivation for human creativity, as original creators may not receive recognition or compensation [31][34]. - Kaufman argues that the essence of creativity and the role of humans in content creation must be preserved, despite the rise of AI [34]. Group 6: The Evolution of Business Strategy - The CEO notes that the rapid pace of technological change makes it difficult to predict the future, contrasting it with the predictability of past technological advancements like Moore's Law [38]. - Companies must remain agile and responsive to market changes, focusing on speed and direction to maintain competitive advantage [44][46].
Fiverr CEO 内部信曝光后万字回应:99% 的 AI 公司都是泡沫
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 01:20
Group 1 - Fiverr's CEO Micha Kaufman emphasizes the need for individuals to adapt to the changing job landscape influenced by AI, suggesting that traditional roles may become obsolete and that workers should focus on automating their tasks to free up time for more complex thinking [2][11][5] - The company has successfully navigated various technological shifts since its founding in 2010, including the transition from PC to mobile internet and the rise of the gig economy [2][3] - Fiverr went public in 2019 with a valuation of $650 million, and its revenue surged to $189.5 million in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the shift to remote work [3][2] Group 2 - Kaufman warns that 99% of AI startups are likely to fail within one to two years, with only a few companies that provide foundational infrastructure or solve specific problems surviving [4][30] - He stresses that true innovation should focus on identifying new problems rather than merely optimizing existing products [4][30] - Speed is identified as a critical competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving AI market, where being first to test and validate ideas can determine a company's survival [4][30] Group 3 - The conversation highlights a collective anxiety regarding AI's impact on employment, with Kaufman stating that individuals must continuously update their skills and knowledge to remain relevant [11][14][16] - He argues that the essence of human value lies in creativity, aesthetic judgment, and moral discernment, which machines cannot replicate [11][14] - The current AI landscape is compared to the dot-com bubble, suggesting that many companies are entering the market without offering substantial value, leading to an inevitable market correction [30][19] Group 4 - Kaufman believes that the rapid pace of AI development has made traditional predictive models obsolete, as the industry is now characterized by uncertainty and volatility [39][40] - He notes that the market is currently oversaturated with AI companies, and only a few will emerge as leaders, similar to the consolidation seen in the cloud services market [32][40] - The importance of human creativity and the unique contributions of individuals are emphasized, as technology alone cannot drive success without the right people behind it [26][27]