Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has significantly raised China's economic growth forecast for this year by 0.8 percentage points to 4.8%, reflecting stronger-than-expected economic activity in the first half of the year and lower actual tariff rates compared to previous predictions [1][1][1] - The global economic growth forecasts for this year and next year have been adjusted to 3.0% and 3.1% respectively, with increases of 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points from the previous April predictions [1][1][1] - Developed economies are expected to achieve a growth rate of 1.5%, up by 0.1 percentage points from previous estimates, with the U.S. economy projected to grow by 1.9% [1][1][1] Group 2 - Emerging markets and developing economies are forecasted to grow at a rate of 4.1%, which is an increase of 0.4 percentage points from earlier predictions [1][1][1] - Trade dynamics continue to dominate the global economic outlook, with some positive developments in trade negotiations providing support for global economic resilience, despite high historical tariff levels and significant policy uncertainty [1][1][1]