从日线级别来看，黄金整体趋势依然保持强势多头结构。价格稳固运行在100日指数移动均线之上，中 期趋势向上明确；布林带持续开口，显示趋势性行情仍在延续。 动能指标方面，14日RSI已升至70上方，处于明显超买区域，提示短线存在技术性整理或高位震荡的可 能，但尚未出现明确的反转信号。若多头动能延续，金价有望进一步突破上行空间或指向更高目标； 综合来看，黄金当前处于"强趋势中的高位阶段"。地缘政治不确定性与全球货币政策宽松预期，共同构 成了金价的中长期支撑逻辑。 12月23日，在全球地缘局势持续紧张、经济不确定性上升的背景下，黄金价格在亚洲时段再度走强。过 去一个月金价累计上涨约10%，2025年以来涨幅接近70%，避险属性持续放大。与此同时，美联储中长 期降息预期强化，进一步降低持有黄金的机会成本。尽管技术指标显示短线偏热，但整体趋势仍维持多 头主导 从日线级别来看，黄金整体趋势依然保持强势多头结构。价格稳固运行在100日指数移动均线之上，中 期趋势向上明确；布林带持续开口，显示趋势性行情仍在延续。 动能指标方面，14日RSI已升至70上方，处于明显超买区域，提示短线存在技术性整理或高位震荡的可 能，但尚未出现明 ...

Core Insights - The global gold market experienced a historic moment on March 31, with London spot gold prices breaking through the key psychological level of $3100 per ounce, reaching a peak of $3101.51 per ounce, marking a new all-time high [1] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical instability, escalating trade tensions, and expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, prompting investors to shift funds towards gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - Since the beginning of 2025, gold prices have cumulatively increased by over 18%, reinforcing gold's position in the global financial market [1] Market Dynamics - The continuous rise in gold prices is supported by its unique attributes as a safe-haven asset and is closely linked to expectations of loose global monetary policies [1] - The potential for a weakening U.S. dollar due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is expected to further enhance gold's attractiveness [1] - Central banks globally are predicted to increase their gold purchases to approximately 1300 tons per year, providing strong support for the gold market [1] Future Outlook - The market sentiment towards future gold price trends is generally optimistic, with many institutions and analysts believing that gold prices will continue to rise due to sustained risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policies [1] - Some institutions even predict that the central price of gold could surpass $3800 per ounce [1]