IMF指出，全球经济面临美国引发的重大贸易干扰和不确定性，但得益于财政刺激力度高于预期、金融 环境宽松、私营部门灵活应对以及政策框架改善等多重因素，仍展现出一定韧性。 报告预计，新兴市场与发展中经济体经济增长在2026年至2027年将保持在4.0%以上，发达经济体经济 在2026年和2027年将分别增长1.8%和1.7%。 报告预计，全球总体通胀率将从2025年的4.1%降至2026年的3.8%，2027年进一步降至3.4%。 转自：成都日报锦观 IMF小幅上调今年增长预期 警告不确定性让全球经济承压 新华社布鲁塞尔1月19日电 （记者 康逸 丁英华） 国际货币基金组织（IMF）19日在比利时首都布鲁 塞尔发布《世界经济展望报告》更新内容，小幅上调2026年世界经济增长预期。IMF指出，贸易紧张局 势、地缘政治冲突加剧等不确定性因素仍可能对全球经济活动造成更大压力。 报告预计，2026年世界经济将增长3.3%，较去年10月预测值上调0.2个百分点；2027年将增长3.2%，与 去年10月预测值持平。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3%, citing various factors that contribute to economic resilience despite ongoing uncertainties [1] Economic Growth Projections - The IMF projects global economic growth of 3.3% in 2026, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous forecast in October [1] - For 2027, the growth rate is expected to remain stable at 3.2%, unchanged from the last forecast [1] - Emerging markets and developing economies are anticipated to grow at over 4.0% from 2026 to 2027, while developed economies are projected to grow by 1.8% in 2026 and 1.7% in 2027 [1] Inflation Expectations - The global overall inflation rate is expected to decrease from 4.1% in 2025 to 3.8% in 2026, and further down to 3.4% in 2027 [1]

Group 1 - The OECD has revised down its global economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.9%, a decrease of 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points respectively from earlier predictions made in March [1] - The report highlights that increased trade barriers and uncertainty in economic and trade policies have negatively impacted business and consumer confidence, hindering trade and investment [1][2] - The United States, Canada, and Mexico are expected to experience significant growth slowdowns, with the U.S. projected to grow at 1.6% and 1.5% in 2025 and 2026, down by 0.6 and 0.1 percentage points from previous forecasts [1] Group 2 - The OECD anticipates that the overall inflation rate for G20 countries will decrease from 6.2% in 2024 to 3.6% in 2025 and 3.2% in 2026, although the U.S. is an exception with higher inflation rates projected [1] - The report emphasizes the need for countries to work together to address uncertainties, particularly by avoiding further trade fragmentation and barriers, which could help restore growth and investment [2] - The OECD's earlier mid-term economic outlook in March had projected higher growth rates of 3.1% and 3.0% for 2025 and 2026, indicating a significant downward revision in the latest report [2]

金十数据4月22日讯，国际货币基金组织（IMF）预测，2025年发达经济体整体增长率预计为1.4%。其 中，美国由于政策不确定性上升、贸易紧张局势加剧以及需求动能减弱，经济增长预计将放缓至 1.8%，比年初预测下调了0.9个百分点。欧元区增长预计为0.8%，比之前下调了0.2个百分点。新兴市场 和发展中经济体增长预计将在2025年放缓至3.7%，2026年回升至3.9%。与此同时，国际货币基金组织 预计全球通胀回落速度将略低于此前预期。全球整体通胀率预计在2025年降至4.3%，2026年降至 3.6%。发达经济体的通胀预期有所上调，而新兴市场和发展中经济体略有下调。 IMF：关税冲击下 2025年发达经济体整体增长率预计为1.4% ...

IMF世界经济展望报告：预计2025年全球通胀率将达到4.3%，2026年将达到3.6%，发达经济体的通胀预 期将显著上调。 ...