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全球金融变局
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美元要“失宠”?全球央行狂买黄金,背后真相惊人!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 16:35
Group 1 - Central banks globally are increasingly accumulating gold, with nearly half planning to continue purchasing in the next year, indicating a significant shift in investment strategy [1][7] - The global central bank gold holdings are projected to surpass U.S. Treasury holdings by mid-2025 for the first time since 1996, reflecting a growing preference for gold over U.S. debt [3][5] - Over 90% of central banks believe the current "gold rush" will persist, with no central bank planning to reduce their gold holdings, showcasing a strong consensus among these institutions [7] Group 2 - The U.S. dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves has dropped from 72% to 57.8%, indicating a decline in confidence in the dollar [9] - The U.S. government's financial pressures, including significant interest payments on debt, are causing concerns among other nations about the reliability of the dollar as a reserve currency [11] - A notable trend is the repatriation of gold by central banks, with 59% choosing to store their gold domestically by 2025, a significant increase from previous years [11] Group 3 - Emerging economies are actively increasing their gold reserves, viewing it as both an investment and a symbol of national status, similar to how individuals save for property [11] - The cross-border use of the Chinese yuan has surged, with a 35% increase in transactions with ASEAN, and the yuan's acceptance is expanding into Africa and the Middle East [12] - China's gold reserves currently represent only 4.2% of its foreign exchange reserves, indicating substantial potential for growth in gold purchases to reach G20 averages [14] Group 4 - The World Bank predicts that gold's share in global reserve assets could rise from 13% to 22% by 2030, suggesting a potential resurgence of gold as a key component of the monetary system [14] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has seen a 47% year-on-year increase in trading volume, reflecting heightened domestic interest in gold investments [14]