智通财经APP获悉，就在日本首相高市早苗宣布该国即将实现28年来首次基本财政盈余后不到一个月， 最新官方预估数据显示，其近期推出的经济刺激计划已使政府偏离了这一轨道。 日本内阁府本周四发布的最新中长期经济展望报告显示，在4月起的新财年，不计公共债务付息成本的 基本财政收支预计将录得约8000亿日元(约合51亿美元)赤字，占国内生产总值(GDP)的0.1%。尽管这是 日本自2001年设立该财政目标以来的最小赤字规模，但政府在去年8月的基准情景测算中，还曾预计该 财年将实现3.6万亿日元的财政盈余。 值得注意的是，内阁府此次采用的基本财政收支统计口径，比高市早苗去年12月提及的口径更宽泛。这 位首相当时援引的基本为年度初始预算对应的收支指标，而内阁府的宽口径数据不仅包含初始预算，还 涵盖财年内的其他支出，同时纳入中央和地方政府及其他公共基金的开支。 长期以来，实现这一更宽口径下的基本财政收支平衡一直是日本核心的财政目标。不过高市早苗近期却 淡化了这一目标，转而将降低公共债务占GDP的比例列为工作重点。事实上，即便是这一宽口径指标， 其短期测算结果在去年也已从预期盈余转为赤字。 尽管从较窄口径来看，高市早苗此前宣称 ...

Core Insights - The World Bank's report predicts Congo (Brazzaville)'s GDP growth rates of 2.9% for 2025 and 3.2% for 2026, a downward revision of 0.4 percentage points from the IMF's earlier forecast of 3.3% for 2025 [1] Economic Indicators - The fiscal budget balance as a percentage of GDP is projected to be 2.7% in 2024, 3.0% in 2025, and 3.4% in 2026, indicating a growth trend [1] - Public debt as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease from 93.5% in 2024 to 89.2% in 2025, and further to 83.9% in 2026, showing a declining trend [1] - Overall, the report presents a moderately positive outlook on the economic situation in Congo [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Russian economy is projected to maintain high growth in 2024, with GDP growth expected to reach 4.3%, which is 0.2 percentage points higher than preliminary data from the Federal State Statistics Service [1] Economic Growth - The GDP growth rate for Russia in December of the previous year was reported at 4.5% [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its forecast for Russia's GDP growth in 2023 from 1.4% in January to 1.5% [1] Public Debt and Budget - The share of public debt has decreased, and the budget deficit remains within planned limits [1] Inflation Forecast - The IMF predicts that Russia's inflation rate will reach 9.3% by 2025 [1]