美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 12月25日，特朗普在社交媒体上发文称："祝大家圣诞快乐，也祝那些竭尽全力破坏我们国家的激进左 翼败类圣诞快乐，但他们注定会彻底失败。我们不再有开放的边境、女性体育项目中的男性运动员、人 人都可以变性，也没有软弱无力的执法部门。 我们拥有的是创纪录的股市和401K养老金账户、几十年来最低的犯罪率、零通胀，以及昨天公布的 4.3%的GDP增长率，比预期高出两个百分点。关税为我们带来了数万亿美元的增长和繁荣，以及前所 未有的强大国家安全。我们再次赢得了尊重，或许是前所未有的尊重。" ...

此外，根据中非国家银行专家分析，截至2025年8月底，刚果（布）银行发放的未偿贷款总额增长 27.9%，达18164亿中非法郎；不良贷款增长15.7%，达到2648亿中非法郎。市场活动中，需求增长 4.7%，未偿贷款增长12.1%，达26593亿中非法郎。 《中部非洲通讯社》报道，12月8日，刚果（布）国家经济金融委员会（CNEF）（中非国家银行 内部机构）在布拉柴维尔举行了本年度最后一次工作会议，会议由财政部长克里斯蒂安·约卡主持，旨 在分析中非经济共同体国家的宏观经济形势并进行合理预测。 会议指出，由于石油行业持续加大投资以及非石油行业的强劲表现，刚2025年第三季度的经济发展 状况良好。基于此，CNEF预计刚经济发展态势将继续向好，2025年实际GDP增长率将达到2.8%，高于 2024年的1.5%。价格方面，由于某些食品价格上涨和电力供应中断情况，预计通胀率将保持在3.0%左 右（接近共同体平均水平），低于2024年的3.1%。 （原标题：刚果（布）2025年第三季度经济发展良好） 在中非经济共同体地区层面，经济发展综合指数同比增长6.7%，其中三季度为8.0%，去年同期为 9.3%。截至2025年9 ...

（原标题：波黑联邦2025年最低工资预计上调2.7%） 波黑国家台12月18日报道。波黑联邦经济与社会理事会近日在会议上确定，波黑联邦2025年最低工 资预计将上调约2.7%。波黑联邦财政部长托尼·克拉列维奇指出，调整依据为2022年通过的计算方法， 其中消费者价格涨幅与实际国内生产总值（GDP）增幅各占50%的权重。 波黑联邦公务员及公共机构雇员独立工会主席萨米尔·库尔托维奇表示，工会、雇主与政府间展开 了一场高质量的社会对话。工会将持续推动提高工资与保障工人权益。各方一致认为，当前达成的共识 是基于现有条件的最佳解决方案，期待联邦政府依照既定方法与官方统计，在近期内正式确定最低工资 调整方案。（驻波黑使馆经商处） 克拉列维奇说明，今年前九个月消费者价格涨幅为3.6%，上半年GDP增长率为1.8%，据此推算工 资涨幅约2.7%。最终调整幅度将在联邦统计局公布官方数据后由政府决定。会议同时明确，2026年最 低工资将继续按现行方法确定。 ...

International News - Japan's economic data underperformed expectations, with Q3 GDP at an annualized rate of -2.3%, lower than the forecast of -2.0% [1][5] - The international precious metals market showed volatility, with spot gold surpassing $4200 per ounce, gaining 0.09% intraday; meanwhile, New York futures gold exceeded $4230 per ounce, declining 0.32% intraday [1][5] - In the energy market, U.S. natural gas futures fell over 3.00%, currently reported at $4.101 per million British thermal units [2][6] - The cryptocurrency market has been rising, with Bitcoin's price experiencing fluctuations, breaking above $91000, with an intraday increase of 2.13%; it previously briefly surpassed $90000, with an intraday rise of 0.89%; Ethereum also increased, surpassing $3100, with an intraday gain of 2.15% [2][6] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the U.S. GDP growth rate is expected to reach 3% this year [3][7] Domestic News - In response to Japan's claims regarding "radar illumination," China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs firmly rejected Japan's so-called negotiations and has refuted them on the spot [8] - The spokesperson emphasized that the truth is that Japanese fighter jets frequently interfere with China's normal military activities, posing the greatest risk to maritime and air security [8] - China has lodged counter-negotiations with Japan in both Beijing and Tokyo, strongly urging Japan to cease its disruptive actions against China's normal training activities and to stop all irresponsible false claims and political manipulation [8]

Group 1 - The median disposable income for Chinese residents in the first three quarters of 2025 is 27,149 yuan, translating to approximately 2,714 yuan per month, indicating that over half of the population has a monthly disposable income below this level [1][2] - A monthly salary of 5,000 yuan is above the income of more than 70% of the population, as it falls between the upper-middle income group with an average of 3,949.75 yuan and the high-income group with an average of 7,509.67 yuan [4] - Approximately 80 listed companies have an average employee salary below 6,000 yuan, reflecting the income levels in a significant portion of the corporate sector [7] Group 2 - The average disposable income statistics include all demographics, but when focusing on the 734 million employed individuals, a salary of 5,000 yuan is positioned in the middle range [9] - Family burdens significantly impact the perception of income; for a family of three with one earner at 5,000 yuan, the per capita disposable income drops below 2,000 yuan [9] - Regional disparities in income perception are notable; in major cities like Shanghai and Beijing, the average disposable income is around 3,760.3 yuan, but high living costs can consume a large portion of this income [11] Group 3 - The group earning around 5,000 yuan plays a crucial role in the economy, contributing to over 52% of economic growth through final consumption expenditure [13] - This income group supports domestic markets for essential goods, such as domestic automobiles and appliances, despite not being able to afford luxury items [15] - The disparity in income across industries is significant, with financial sector salaries averaging around 36,000 yuan, while agriculture and hospitality sectors average just over 10,000 yuan [18] Group 4 - There is a pressing need to address income disparities across industries and regions to enhance social equity and unlock consumer potential [18] - For individuals, skill enhancement is vital, as high-skilled manufacturing sectors are growing faster than the average industrial growth rate [20] - The average worker earning around 5,000 yuan is essential to the economic foundation, representing a significant portion of the labor force [20][22]

Core Insights - The U.S. services sector showed strong expansion in November, with service demand growing at the fastest pace of the year [1] - The manufacturing sector also reported robust output growth, contributing to an expected annualized GDP growth rate of 2.5% in the fourth quarter [1] - Favorable financial conditions, including declining interest rates and a rising stock market, are supporting the economy's resilience [1] Economic Activity - Financial services activity surged in November, indicating continued economic strength [1] - Both consumer services and business services are expanding, although customer demand is under pressure due to affordability issues [1] Pricing and Inflation Concerns - Service charge prices increased at a faster rate in November as businesses attempt to pass on higher costs, often related to tariffs [1] - There are concerns that rising prices may hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to further cut interest rates, potentially limiting the expansion of the financial services sector [1]

Core Insights - The UK Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) projects a budget surplus of £21.7 billion for the fiscal year 2029-2030, an increase from the previous forecast of £9.9 billion in March [1] - The proposed tax policy changes are expected to generate an additional £26.1 billion in tax revenue by the fiscal year 2029-2030 [1] - The medium-term productivity growth forecast has been revised down from 1.3% to 1.0% [1] Economic Projections - GDP growth rate for 2025 is projected at 1.5%, an increase from the earlier estimate of 1.0% made in March [1] - There remains significant uncertainty regarding the future direction of US and global trade policies, with many trading partners facing the threat of tariff increases [1] Fiscal Strategy - Approximately three-quarters of the planned reduction in borrowing over the next five years will be achieved through tax increases [1] - The UK government aims to achieve a balanced current budget by the fiscal year 2029-2030 [1]

Group 1 - Deutsche Bank projects a GDP growth rate of 2.4% for the United States in 2026 [1] - The global GDP growth rate is expected to be 3.1% in 2026 according to Deutsche Bank [1]

Core Insights - As of October 1, Azerbaijan's foreign exchange reserves exceeded $81.5 billion, reflecting a 14.7% increase since the beginning of the year, sufficient to cover 37 months of imports [1] - The public debt stands at 253.7 billion manats ($14.92 billion), which is 19.5% of GDP, with internal debt at 170.5 billion manats ($10.03 billion) and external debt at 83.2 billion manats ($4.89 billion) [1] - The Central Bank forecasts a GDP growth rate of 2.2% for 2025, with the non-oil and gas sector expected to grow by 3.7%, and a GDP growth rate of 2% for 2026, with the non-oil and gas sector projected to grow by 4.4% [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. Senate has taken a crucial step towards ending a record-length government shutdown, with several moderate Democrats breaking party leadership's blockade to support a deal [2] - The Senate passed a procedural motion to advance the bill with a vote of 60 to 40, but the final vote timing remains uncertain [2] - The agreement framework includes full-year budgets for the Department of Agriculture, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and Congress itself, while funding for other government departments will be maintained until January 30 of the following year [2] Group 2 - The shutdown crisis is causing an estimated economic loss of approximately $15 billion per week for the U.S. economy [3] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that by mid-November, the shutdown could reduce the annualized quarterly GDP growth rate by 1.5 percentage points [3] - Consumer confidence index has dropped to a three-year low due to anxiety stemming from the shutdown, inflation, and the job market [3]