Core Viewpoint - The report from Guohai Franklin Fund indicates that the A-share market in 2026 is expected to be influenced by a "slow bull" market characterized by structural differentiation, with significant performance from the technology sector and resource revaluation [1][15]. Group 1: Technology Growth - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the core driver of the fourth industrial revolution, with its impact expected to surpass that of the internet and mobile internet eras [3][4]. - The AI sector is anticipated to experience substantial growth in 2026, driven by advancements in domestic manufacturing technology and the mass production of GPUs, alongside established advantages in large model development in China [5]. - The focus for investment in the AI industry should be on commercial opportunities in application and the technological iteration path in computing power, with a recognition of potential short-term disruptions in stock selection due to hardware technology changes [4][5]. Group 2: Resource Revaluation - The report notes a significant increase in the prices of non-ferrous metals, driven by geopolitical tensions, de-globalization trends, and the rising demand for strategic resources due to the AI revolution [7][8]. - The supply-side dynamics are influenced by the U.S. implementing tariffs and localization policies, while China continues to manage its advantages in rare earths and other strategic materials [7]. - The potential for value revaluation trends to extend into oil and agricultural products is highlighted, with oil prices being a critical factor affecting global inflation and economic policies [8]. Group 3: Domestic Demand Stabilization - The decline in real estate prices since 2021 has led to a contraction in local government and household balance sheets, contributing to weak domestic demand [10][11]. - Short-term stabilization of domestic demand relies on balancing the asset-liability sheets of households, governments, and enterprises, while long-term recovery will depend on fundamental changes in economic driving models [10]. - The direction of real estate policy will be crucial for the market structure in 2026, determining whether it will adopt a conservative "support" strategy or a more aggressive "stimulus" approach [11]. Group 4: National Competition - The report suggests that a stable external trade environment is essential for the continuation of strong performance in foreign demand-driven sectors [13]. - The U.S. is expected to adopt a more pragmatic foreign policy, which may lead to a phase of stability in U.S.-China relations and improved ties with Europe [13]. - Despite potential trade disputes in Southeast Asia, China's ability to manage these challenges has significantly improved compared to the past [13]. Conclusion - Overall, Guohai Franklin Fund maintains an optimistic outlook for the A-share market in 2026, expecting a better environment than in 2025, with a continued focus on technology growth and resource revaluation [15].

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund, specifically the Jiaoyin State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund (519756), reported a profit of 115 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.1026 yuan. The fund's net value growth rate was 6.38%, and its total size reached 2.133 billion yuan by the end of the first half of the year [2]. Fund Performance - As of September 3, the fund's unit net value was 1.863 yuan. The fund manager, Shen Nan, has managed three funds that have all yielded positive returns over the past year. The highest return among these is from the Jiaoyin Ruisi Mixed (LOF) at 50.08%, while the Jiaoyin State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund recorded a return of 31.55% [2][5]. - The fund's performance over different time frames includes a 4.12% growth rate over the last three months, 9.79% over the last six months, and 31.55% over the last year, ranking it 832/880, 695/880, and 557/880 respectively among comparable funds [5]. Valuation Metrics - As of June 30, 2025, the fund's weighted average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was approximately 33.98 times, compared to the industry average of 15.75 times. The weighted average price-to-book (P/B) ratio was about 1.65 times, while the industry average was 2.52 times. The weighted average price-to-sales (P/S) ratio was around 0.76 times, against an industry average of 2.16 times [10]. Growth Metrics - For the first half of 2025, the fund's weighted average revenue growth rate was 0%, and the weighted average net profit growth rate was -0.26%. The weighted annualized return on equity was 0.05% [17]. Fund Composition and Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the fund had a total of 81,900 holders, collectively holding 1.177 billion shares. Institutional investors held 46.49% of the shares, while individual investors accounted for 53.51%. The fund's top ten holdings included companies such as SF Holding, Aero Engine Corporation of China, and China Chemical Engineering [36][40]. - The fund's turnover rate for the last six months was approximately 102.82%, remaining below the industry average for three consecutive years [38]. Investment Strategy - The fund management anticipates a favorable investment window as liquidity improves and the domestic economy stabilizes. The focus will be on sectors benefiting from manufacturing upgrades, domestic demand stabilization, and technological breakthroughs. The strategy includes aligning with the latest reforms in state-owned enterprises and exploring investment opportunities in private enterprises that can benefit from these reforms [2].