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6月工业利润边际改善 回升态势需要更多政策加力支持
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-28 13:04
Core Viewpoint - The industrial profit landscape in China shows signs of marginal recovery in June, with manufacturing profits turning positive, but overall industrial profits still face challenges due to insufficient demand and cost pressures [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - In June, profits of industrial enterprises reached 715.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.3%, but the decline narrowed compared to May [1]. - For the first half of the year, profits totaled 3,436.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [1]. - Manufacturing profits improved from a 4.1% decline in May to a 1.4% increase in June, indicating a recovery trend [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Profits - The industrial production index increased by 6.8% year-on-year in June, driven by strong export performance and domestic demand during the 618 shopping festival [2]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% year-on-year in June, continuing to exert pressure on profit margins [2]. - Profit margins for industrial enterprises averaged 5.15% in the first half of the year, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.26 percentage points [2]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The equipment manufacturing sector showed significant profit growth, with revenues increasing by 7.0% year-on-year in June and profits rising by 9.6% [4]. - The automotive industry experienced a remarkable profit increase of 96.8%, driven by promotional activities and investment returns [4]. - Mining sector profits faced a larger decline due to price weakness and falling profit margins [2][4]. Group 4: Policy and Future Outlook - Recent government policies aim to stabilize employment and support industrial growth through various measures, including capacity replacement and technological upgrades [5]. - The continuation of demand expansion policies is expected to support profit recovery for industrial enterprises [5]. - The impact of "anti-involution" policies on market competition and profit margins will be crucial for future profitability [5].