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外汇交易员· 2025-12-04 06:34
#报告 高盛:近期中国路演的关键宏观议题辩论——境内投资者比境外客户更担心持续的房价下跌和内需疲弱;客户对中国股市持积极态度......None (@None):None ...
袁海霞 :出口韧性犹存 关税博弈下需多策并举稳外贸
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-06-15 15:05
Core Viewpoint - China's export resilience remains despite a slowdown in growth, influenced by tariff negotiations and market conditions [1][4][5] Export Performance - In May, China's total export amount reached $316.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, but a decline of 3.3 percentage points from the previous month [2] - The export growth rate to the US significantly dropped to -34.5%, with the US accounting for only 9.1% of China's total exports [2][3] - Exports to ASEAN and EU showed strong growth, with ASEAN exports increasing by 14.8% and EU exports by 12% [3] Import Performance - China's import amount in May was $212.88 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.4%, indicating a weakening domestic demand [4] - Key imports such as coal, crude oil, and natural gas saw significant declines, while high-tech products and machinery imports provided some support [4] Market Outlook - The ongoing tariff negotiations present considerable uncertainty, which may further impact exports in the second half of the year [5] - The company suggests enhancing negotiations with the US while also focusing on domestic economic strategies to boost demand and maintain export stability [5]