冶炼减亏

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西部矿业(601168):2025年半年报点评:产量、冶炼减亏超预期,玉龙三期扩产可期
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-07-29 06:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the next six months [11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 31.62 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.59%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.87 billion yuan, up 15.35% year-on-year [1]. - The production of copper, lead, zinc, and molybdenum exceeded expectations, with significant increases in output compared to the previous year. The company achieved a copper production of 91,800 tons, zinc at 62,900 tons, lead at 35,000 tons, and molybdenum at 2,525 tons, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 7.7%, 18.6%, 24.6%, and 31.3% [2]. - The company is set to expand its copper production capacity from 150,000 tons to 200,000 tons following the approval of the third phase of the Yulong Copper Mine project, which is expected to enhance long-term production potential [3]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 3.9 billion yuan, 4.4 billion yuan, and 4.98 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 10.5, 9.3, and 8.2 [3]. - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are 50.03 billion yuan for 2024, 58.01 billion yuan for 2025, and 58.51 billion yuan for 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 17.02%, 15.95%, and 0.87% respectively [4]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 40.84 billion yuan, with a closing price of 17.14 yuan per share [5]. Production and Cost Efficiency - The report highlights improvements in production efficiency, with significant increases in recovery rates for copper and molybdenum in various processing units, indicating enhanced operational performance [3]. - The smelting segment has shown a reduction in losses, with losses narrowing from 790 million yuan in the second half of 2024 to 430 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [2]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a 3% increase over the past month, a 17% increase over three months, and a 19% increase over the past year, indicating a positive market trend [7].