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Trust in the market leads to long-term gains, Jim Cramer says
CNBC· 2025-09-30 23:09
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday stressed his belief that the market can be vehicle for wealth in the long term, suggesting that investors park their money in both index funds and growth stocks."We've been blessed with a tremendous market here, I know that," Cramer said. "But it won't always be. You have to learn to trust the market."According to Cramer, it's wise to have a "bifurcated portfolio," with half devoted to index funds and the other half into five stocks — including one solid speculative investment a ...
瑞银Joni Teves:黄金仍被低估 可逢低买入|中环观察
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-10 13:49
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of new tariffs imposed by the U.S. on imports from 14 countries, which has led to a decline in gold prices, while central banks continue to increase their gold reserves, indicating a strong demand for gold as a diversified asset amidst geopolitical risks [2][4]. Group 1: Tariffs and Gold Prices - U.S. President Trump announced tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% on imports from 14 countries starting August 1, contributing to a drop in gold prices, which fell below $3,300 per ounce, a decrease of approximately $200 from the historical high in late April [2]. - Despite the decline in gold prices, global central banks have been net buyers of gold, with a reported purchase of 20 tons in May, and China's gold reserves increased by 70,000 ounces by the end of June [2][3]. Group 2: Central Bank Demand - The trend of central banks purchasing gold has been ongoing for over a decade, driven by the need for asset diversification, particularly in light of increasing geopolitical risks [2][4]. - It is projected that global central banks will purchase over 1,000 tons of gold annually from 2022 to 2024, accounting for about 25% of total global gold demand each year, which is seen as a significant factor in the recent rise in gold prices [2]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - Investors are expected to continue diversifying their portfolios, with gold being a favored asset due to its low correlation with other assets and its status as a physical asset [5][7]. - The current macroeconomic uncertainties and geopolitical risks are likely to keep gold as a preferred choice for risk-averse investors, with expectations of increased gold prices in the coming quarters [5][6]. Group 4: Future Price Predictions - UBS has raised its gold price target for the end of 2025 to $3,500 per ounce, citing ongoing investor interest in gold as a diversification strategy amidst economic uncertainties [5]. - Short-term market dynamics may allow for further price corrections, but there remains significant interest in buying gold at lower prices, indicating a potential for price recovery [8]. Group 5: Indicators for Gold Price Movements - Key indicators for assessing short-term gold price movements include tracking gold ETF fund flows, futures market positions, and physical investment market indicators such as premiums or discounts in key markets like India and China [9].
达利欧最新发声:今天的很多现象,与上世纪三十年代惊人相似
聪明投资者· 2025-04-09 04:11
"系统性的秩序崩溃,一生只遇一次。但历史上,它从未缺席。" "我确实同意'不制造东西是个大问题',但问题是,我们是否具备制造能力?" 桥水基金创始人瑞·达利欧4月7日在LinkedIn上发布了一篇文章,谈及关税问题。 他表示,我们当前正目睹一场典型的货币、政治与地缘政治秩序的崩溃。这种类型的系统崩溃大约一生 只会发生一次,但历史上每当存在类似不可持续的条件时,它们就会发生。 美东时间4月8日,瑞·达利欧接受CNBC访谈,在15分钟的对话中,再次强调了自己的观点。而面对三位 王牌主持人的犀利提问,达利欧也有一说一。 他没有给出热词,也没有唱衰,更像一位老练的机械师,打开系统,审视结构,拆解压力,试图回答一 个本质的问题:我们还能维持现有的运行方式吗? 在这场访谈中,达利欧用他一贯的思考框架,提供了目前谈论关税的本质背景:存在的三大秩序正在瓦 解,而人类历史上的五种重要力量也始终在作用着,"关税其实是在应对全球失衡的问题"。 他承认,完全同意"不制造东西是个大问题",也认同制造业回流的目标,"但是,我们是否具备制造能 力?这是一个更深的结构性问题。" 达利欧的人间清醒在于,他把美国人口结构剖出来看,并认为可行性太 ...