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现在加盟瑞幸还能赚钱吗
新财富· 2025-10-15 08:05
Core Insights - The article discusses the growth dynamics of the chain restaurant industry, emphasizing the importance of same-store sales growth over mere expansion [3][5][6]. Group 1: Growth Drivers - The four main growth drivers for chain restaurants are opening new stores, expanding product offerings, increasing prices, and reducing costs [3]. - In the U.S. market, companies like Wingstop, Starbucks, and McDonald's have demonstrated sustained same-store sales growth for 10-20 years, contrasting with the rapid but unsustainable expansion seen in China's market prior to 2021 [3][5]. Group 2: Investment Logic - The investment logic in China has been primarily focused on a "single-store model + opening space" approach, where rapid store openings lead to higher valuations despite unsustainable same-store growth [5][6]. - The comparison of Luckin Coffee's performance in 2019 and 2021 illustrates the shift towards prioritizing same-store growth, with significant increases in customer transactions and sales volume [6][9]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - Key metrics determining single-store revenue include the number of customers, average transaction value, and purchase frequency. Luckin Coffee saw a rise in average monthly transactions per store from 2,288 in 2019 to 3,138 in 2021, alongside an increase in average selling price from 10.36 CNY to 13.68 CNY [9][10]. - The introduction of the "生椰拿铁" (Coconut Latte) significantly boosted Luckin's sales, leading to a 33% increase in customer numbers during its launch season [10]. Group 4: Franchise Opportunities - Luckin Coffee has established a strong reputation in the franchise market, with various franchise models available, including fixed-point new partner franchises and store-led franchises [12][28]. - The initial investment for franchisees can exceed 600,000 CNY, factoring in renovation, equipment, and other hidden costs [18][20]. - Different franchise models, such as school-based stores, show varying profitability based on location and operational costs, with potential monthly profits ranging from 4,000 CNY to 70,000 CNY depending on market conditions [30][33].