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【周度分析】车市扫描(2026年3月16日-3月22日)
乘联分会· 2026-03-25 08:35
Market Overview - From March 1 to 22, the national passenger car market retail sales reached 920,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 16%, but a month-on-month increase of 19%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 3.498 million units, down 18% year-on-year [2] - During the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 1.084 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 14%, but a month-on-month increase of 62%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 4.578 million units, down 11% year-on-year [2] New Energy Vehicles - Retail sales of new energy passenger cars from March 1 to 22 totaled 495,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, but a month-on-month increase of 66%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 1.556 million units, down 23% year-on-year [2] - Wholesale sales of new energy passenger cars during the same period reached 543,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 15%, but a month-on-month increase of 71%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 2.133 million units, down 10% year-on-year [2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the retail market was 53.9%, while the wholesale penetration rate was 50.1% [2] Production Trends - In the first three weeks of March, production of pure fuel light vehicles was 637,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 19%, but a month-on-month increase of 58%. Production of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles totaled 245,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 23%, but a month-on-month increase of 87% [3] Weekly Sales Performance - Daily average retail sales for the first week of March were 31,000 units, down 24% year-on-year and down 25% month-on-month. The second week saw an increase to 45,000 units, down 19% year-on-year but up 42% month-on-month. The third week recorded 51,000 units, down 7% year-on-year but up 62% month-on-month [5] - The overall market performance in March is characterized as relatively stable, with expectations for a gradual recovery in the following weeks [5] Inventory and Market Sentiment - As of the end of February 2026, the national passenger car industry inventory was 3.33 million units, a decrease of 240,000 units from the previous month, indicating a positive trend in inventory control [11] - The industry is experiencing pressure from high raw material prices and geopolitical uncertainties, which are negatively impacting fuel vehicle sales [6] - The market is currently in a challenging phase, with dealers under pressure and waiting for new product launches and clearer market conditions [6][9] Battery Market Analysis - In February, the production of power and other batteries reached 142 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 19%. The cumulative production for January and February was 310 GWh, up 22% year-on-year [10] - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles has shown significant growth, with a notable increase in the penetration rate of heavy trucks and light trucks [13]
瑞达期货碳酸锂产业日报-20251023
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-10-23 10:28
碳酸锂产业日报 2025/10/23 研究员: 陈思嘉 期货从业资格号F03118799 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0022803 免责声明 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | 主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 79,940.00 | +2820.00↑ 前20名净持仓(日,手) | -177,549.00 | -17641.00↓ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约持仓量(日,手) | 419,147.00 | +65916.00↑ 近远月合约价差(日,元/吨) | -100.00 | +840.00↑ | 广期所仓单(日,手/吨) | 28,759.00 | -260.00↓ | | | | | 电池级碳酸锂平均价(日,元/吨) | 74,800.00 | +450.00↑ 工业级碳酸锂平均价(日,万元/吨) | 72,550.00 | +450.00↑ | 现货市场 | -5,140.00 | -2370.00↓ ...