Vitamin Sector - The vitamin sector is expected to benefit from price increases in 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenue projected to grow by 22.5% and net profit by 162.6% year-on-year in 2024 [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit are anticipated to continue their upward trend, with increases of 10.8% and 110.3% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The demand for feed-grade vitamins remains rigid, and certain concentrated supply structures are expected to support price increases for products like Vitamin E, D3, and folic acid [1] Fine Chemicals Sector - The fine chemicals sector is projected to outperform the basic chemicals sector in 2024 and Q1 2025, with a decline of only 4.2% in 2024 compared to a 5.1% drop in basic chemicals [2] - By the end of Q1 2025, the fine chemicals index is expected to rebound to 6905.55 points, reflecting an 8.5% increase year-to-date, surpassing basic chemicals by 2.4 percentage points [2] - The fine chemicals industry benefits from relatively inelastic downstream demand and high production barriers, making it more resilient during downturns and more elastic during recoveries [2] Amino Acids Sector - The amino acids sector is forecasted to see revenue growth of 8.9% and net profit growth of 55.0% in 2024, driven by recovering demand and lower raw material costs [3] - In Q1 2025, the sector is expected to continue benefiting from lower corn prices and increased export demand, with revenue and net profit projected to rise by 9.0% and 74.6% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Notably, methionine prices are anticipated to rise due to low channel inventory and market expectations, presenting potential opportunities for price increases [3] Pesticides Sector - The pesticides sector is showing signs of a cyclical rebound from 2024 to Q1 2025, despite an overall oversupply in 2024 leading to a revenue decline of 2.3% and a net profit drop of 73% [4] - In Q1 2025, certain pesticide products are expected to experience rapid price increases due to temporary supply-demand imbalances, resulting in a revenue increase of 4.5% and a net profit increase of 57.2% year-on-year [4] - Future price increases may be driven by strong demand for specific crops and supply constraints due to uncontrollable factors [4] Sweeteners Sector - The sweeteners sector is projected to show resilience in revenue with a 2.1% increase in 2024, although net profit is expected to decline by 32.5% due to price drops in core products [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue is anticipated to grow by 7.1% and net profit by 81.1%, benefiting from price increases initiated in late 2024 and ongoing demand for functional sugars [5] - The sector may see further price increases for sucralose and potential growth opportunities following the approval of natural sweetener allulose in the domestic market [5]

以下文章来源于广发期货研究 ，作者广发期货研究所 广发期货研究 . 推送广发期货研究所的最新报告和观点 文 | 张晓珍 来源 | 广发期货研究 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 行情导读： 今日在油价继续上涨乏力情况下，而化工板块集体上行，但涨幅分化严重。其中苯乙烯主力 合约涨停，涨幅5.99%；丁二烯橡胶涨幅5.85%，PX涨幅2.82%，而PP涨幅仅有1.29%。 化工板块集体大涨，但涨幅分化，背后主要驱动是什么？ 此次化工板块上涨的核心驱动是中美经贸谈判取得实质性进展且超出市场预期。中美日内瓦 经贸联合声明公布，双方承诺将于2025年5月14日前采取暂缓部分税率实施，将建立机制继 续就经贸关系进行协商。这一消息出台后，市场信心得到明显提振。市场宏观预期的修复叠 加各品种自身基本面影响，使得化工板块涨幅有所分化。 苯乙烯来看，此前受原料纯苯供需偏弱格局拖累，苯乙烯绝对价格跌幅较大，但苯乙烯自身 供需面良好，二季度在苯乙烯装置集中检修叠加下游3S短期刚需尚可情况下，苯乙烯港口 库存持续下降。隆众数据显示，周一江苏港口库存5.67万吨，同比24年当期低11.82%。加 之今日盘中消息面带动（据华瑞资讯了 ...